Community - FanGraphs Baseball - Comments on Projecting Uncertainty
RSS feed for comments on this post.

## Leave a comment

Line and paragraph breaks automatic, e-mail address never displayed, HTML allowed: `<a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong> `

0.234 Powered by **WordPress**

Your work is very good, and I have a decent feel for what your findings are and their implications.

I really like the way this is written; it has a very scientific feel.

My only problem is that I want to analyze your results, but the charts are only partially labeled.

You have Charts (Abs. R Error, Abs. HR Error, Abs. RBI Error, Abs SB Error, Abs. AVG Error) with Columns (1,2,3) and Rows (STDEV, MEAN, Tango’s Rel, Constant).

I think in Excel, thus I’m having trouble deciphering your raw data. Any help would be much appreciated.

Did you do this in excel? If you did you think I could take a peek at the spreadsheet to figure out your methods?

Thanks a lot

-Matt

Comment by Matt Goldfarb — February 10, 2011 @ 5:55 pm

@Matt: Thanks!

I did the analysis in STATA, but the output is in excel.

The dependent variable in each table is the column header (R absolute error, etc). Each column corresponds to a set of regressors in a different equation. For example, column 3 of the Runs table is

abs_runs_error=a+b*forecast_standard_dev + c*forecast_avg+d*Tango’s_rel+error

and column 2 is

abs_runs_error=a+b*forecast_standard_dev + c*forecast_avg+error

Send me your email and I’ll email you my spreadsheet.

Comment by Will Larson — February 10, 2011 @ 6:06 pm

Thanks, wasn’t looking for such a timely response being as it was an old article; I would really appreciate a look at the sreadsheet, my public email is liftwiththeg@gmail.com.

Thanks so much for your help with trying to understand your work,

Matt

Comment by Matt Goldfarb — February 14, 2011 @ 10:55 pm