Help Support FanGraphs



Colby Lewis
Birthdate: 8/2/1979 (37 y, 7 m, 27 d)     Bats/Throws: R/R     Height/Weight: 6-4/240     Position: P
Drafted: 1999 June Amateur Draft - Round: 1s, Pick: 8, Overall: 38, Team: Texas Rangers
Contract: $6M / 1 Years (2016)
RotoWire News: Lewis will start Game 3 of the ALDS against the Blue Jays on Sunday, Rangers VP of Comm. John Blake reports. (10/7/2016)
Profiles:  2011  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  (Click Year to Expand / Close)
Profile: Lewis saw a drop in strikeout rate for the third straight season (down to 16%) and was predictably stung by the home run boom (he had a career 1.3 home runs per nine rate coming into ’16) and yet his earned run average dropped by nearly a full run somehow. This is why statistics like Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) are useful. Lewis’ reflects that his skills have been relatively the same despite a volatile ERA: 4.46, 4.17, and 4.81 FIP the last three years, but 5.18, 4.66, and 3.71 ERA. At his best, Lewis has been an innings-eating WHIP asset (due to consistently low walk totals) with a decent strikeout rate (20-23%), but now in his late-30s, he is a super sketchy spot-starter at best. His strikeout rate hasn’t been north of 18% since 2012 and without a career-best .241 BABIP and full season career-best 75% left on base rate (he had a 78% for 15.3 IP in ’04), his ERA would’ve been pushing 5.00 in 2016. He needs a new team at the time of this writing and he’d be best served to find a spacious home ballpark, but even signing with Pittsburgh and adding velocity to his Weaverian 87 MPH fastball wouldn’t give him any real fantasy value. (Paul Sporer)

The Quick Opinion: Lewis’ days of 200 innings are likely done, not so much because he can’t make it through the workload, but because he really shouldn’t be given that many as it would like result in an ERA near or perhaps north of 5.00.

If you would like to make a projection for this player, please Log In or Register.