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9/9/1983 (33 y, 6 m, 21 d)
2001 June Amateur Draft - Round: 4, Pick: 29, Overall: 135, Team: Atlanta Braves
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Davies was outrighted to Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre on Wednesday. (4/15/2015)
It Took This Long to Release Davies?
Eric Seidman (FanGraphs)
Week 7 Two-Start Pitchers Update
Brian Joura (RotoGraphs)
Is Anyone* On The Royals Worth Drafting? (Part I)
Mike Axisa (RotoGraphs)
Kansas City's Current Rotation
David Golebiewski (FanGraphs)
Robinson Tejeda Versus Kyle Davies
Brian Joura (RotoGraphs)
(Click Year to Expand /
Year in Review:
The former Braves farmhand continued to frustrate fantasy owners, earning a demotion to Triple-A along the way. Davies entered the year looking to build upon on a promising 2008 season in which he posted a 4.22 FIP in 21 big league starts. Rather than finally making good on the talent that allowed him to whiff nearly a batter per inning in the minors, Davies was hammered for a 5.31 FIP in 22 starts. His whiff rate increased from 5.7 to 6.3 K/9, but the 26-year-old lost control of the strike zone. Davies' walk rate ballooned from 3.4 to 4.8 BB/9, as he located a paltry 44% of his pitches within the zone. He often fell behind the hitter, with a 52% first-pitch-strike rate. Davies' change-up was worth 1.8 runs above average per 100 pitches, but his fastball was plastered for a -0.8 runs/100 pitches value.
The Year Ahead:
To stay on the fantasy radar, Davies is going to have to do a better job of painting the black. The control gains that he appeared to make in 2008 were wiped away in 2009. If you're looking for a silver lining, Davies did punch out 8.5 batters per nine innings with 2.7 BB/9 during his punitive stay at Triple-A Omaha. But that minor league dominance didn't manifest once he returned to Kansas City in August, as Davies walked over five hitters per nine frames from that point forward. The right-hander possesses a quality cutter and changeup, but his heater is a batting practice pitch. It's a vicious cycle: Davies has good secondary stuff, but that matters little if he's frequently digging himself out of hitter’s counts. Until Davies proves that he can get a grip on his fastball, he will be a non-entity in most leagues. (David Golebiewski)
Davies has a low fantasy value because he really has few, if any, useful fantasy traits. He walks too many batters. His BB/9 in 2010 was 3.92, which was actually significantly down from his 2009 number of 4.83. Of the starters with more than 160 inning pitched in 2010, he had the fourth worst BB/9 in the league. This high walk total and the Royals' horrible defense and offense leads to pitchers with inadequate fantasy stats. Davies' ERA is going to be high with all the runners he puts on base via the walk. The Royals' defense is one of the league's worst, so there will be more baserunners than if he pitched somewhere else. These runners will eventually come around and score. This can be seen by his high ERAs 5.27 and 5.34 each of the last two seasons, respectively. The Royals' offense will not be able to score enough runs to make up for the runs Davies allows, so his win total is going to be muted to probably somewhere under eight wins. He does have a reasonable strikeout rate of just over 6.00 K/9, but this cannot make up for his other categories. There's no reason to draft Davies, even in deep-mixed or AL-only leagues. There just seems that there are too many other options. Maybe monitor his early-season progress and see if he can keep from walking people. (Jeff Zimmerman)
The Quick Opinion:
Davies' high walk rate is destroying any fantasy value he has currently. Look for pitching help elsewhere.
It is pretty hilarious to be writing a fantasy preview for Kyle Davies. He is on a Minor League contract with the Blue Jays, last I checked, so I guess there is always a chance he and Jeff Mathis could team up to form The Ultimate Battery. At the end of 2008 and beginning of 2009, Davies finally flashed the performance that scouts had seen potentially hiding in his "stuff" all those years ago, but other than that, it has been such a horror show that it is not worth going into how his FIP is better than his ERA, since DIPS theory assumes a population of Major League quality pitchers, and it is pretty safe to say that Davies is not one, at least not at this point. The Royals should have tried him as a reliever years ago, and who knows, stranger things have happened than Kyle Davies suddenly becoming a valuable pitcher. But do you want to be the person in your league that takes that bet? (Matt Klaassen)
The Quick Opinion:
During the 2011 season, one Royals blogger called Kyle Davies "the worst starting pitcher ever." That means he can totally help your fantasy team in 2012, right?
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Updated: Thursday, March 30, 2017 3:38 AM ET
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