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5/21/1985 (31 y, 9 m, 5 d)
2006 June Amateur Draft - Round: 1, Pick: 6, Overall: 6, Team: Detroit Tigers
$36M / 4 Years (2015 - 2018)
Miller will return to a setup role this season as Cody Allen remains the closer, Chris Assenheimer of the Chronicle-Telegram reports. (2/18/2017)
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The Perfectly Logical AL Cy Young Award Ballot
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(Click Year to Expand /
Year in Review:
Miller spent 67 days on the DL in 2009: 25 days in April and May with an oblique strain and 43 days throughout August and the beginning of September with an ankle sprain. Thus, he pitched only 80 innings for the Marlins in 2009. As a starter (when he returned from the DL in September, he finished the season pitching out of the bullpen) he had an ERA of 4.84, but his peripherals looked better: He had an xFIP of 4.40. Miller still gives up too many walks, 4.8 per nine innings, but he gets enough ground balls (48% per ball in play) to limit his homers (just 0.79 HR/9) and succeed. His strikeout numbers, 6.6 K/9, were down from 2008 (7.4) and 2007 (7.9).
The Year Ahead:
Miller will compete with the remainder of Florida’s stable of young pitchers (Sean West, Chris Volstad, Anibal Sanchez, Rick VandenHurk) for one of the three rotation spots behind Josh Johnson and Ricky Nolasco. Even if he gets one of the remaining spots, his injury history makes projecting more than 150 innings dicey. A more conservative projection, again assuming he gets a rotation spot, is 125 innings of 4.75 ERA, 1.60 WHIP ball with 105 strikeouts and six wins. The talent is there for him to be a very good strikeout/ground-ball pitcher, but he needs to get the walks under control and rely a little less on his heater, or he will kill your fantasy team’s WHIP. He should only be drafted in NL-only leagues given the uncertainty of his role, his injury history and control problems. (Dave Allen)
In the scope of his entire big league career, 2011 was successful for Miller. Of course, he entered the season with a career 5.84 ERA and the mounting burden of failed promise as a former top-10 prospect in the entire league, so saying it was a relatively successful year in that context isn't saying a ton. Like hitters, pitchers can also hold the dreaded quad-A tag, and that appears to be where Miller is headed. The strikeouts have always been plentiful for Miller, and in the bigs that hasn't been the problem. Miller's big league WHIP is 1.75, due in large part to a career walk rate of 5.4, and 2011 was really no exception in that regard. Miller will return to the Red Sox on a non-guaranteed big league deal, so spring training will be pivotal in deciding his 2012 fate. (Brandon Warne)
The Quick Opinion:
What do you think Big Ben McDonald is up to? Wait, what were we talking about again? Oh, Andrew Miller. Unless he gets the walks in check -- and perhaps even if he does -- keep him way off your fantasy radar. His only real chance at relevance would be getting 10-12 wins on a high-scoring team. Hands off.
Finally converted strictly to the reliever he probably would have been a few years back had he not been the sixth overall pick in the 2006 draft, Miller at last found sustained success in a major league uniform. His strikeout percentage shot up from the middling 16-18% that it had been in the first six seasons of his career to 30.2 percent, a figure that ranked him 20th among relievers who threw at least 40 innings in 2012. Despite the success, the team backburnered him in favor of Craig Breslow when they acquired the reliever at the trading deadline. From his May 6 season debut (he spent the first month-plus boning up for his role as a full-time reliever) until the trading deadline, Miller racked up 12 holds. For the remainder of the season, he picked up just one. Miller's performance should keep him in the team's plans for 2013, and he certainly proved capable of a meaty role, but given the team's revamped 'pen, there's no guarantee that he gets one. (Paul Swydan)
The Quick Opinion:
Miller figures to be one of the lefties in Boston's 2013 bullpen, and could hold some value as a LOOGY, particularly in leagues that count holds, though his role was diminished following the team's acquisition of Craig Breslow.
Andrew Miller didn't have a lot of time to pitch in 2013, but when he did, he proved that his 2012 renaissance as a reliever was not a fluke. Miller's strikeout rate, which jumped from the mid-teens to 30% in 2012, spiked again. His new rate put him next to Steve Delabar as the only non-closers in the top-10 for reliever strikeout rates over the last two seasons. He also maintained his velocity spike, holding a fastball that sits in the mid-90s. His control, the key factor in his fall from grace after being the sixth overall draft pick in 2006, continued to be a bit of an issue (12.6% walk rate), but the punchout rate lets him walk a few more guys than desirable and still hold down a sub-3.00 SIERA. While Miller wasn't terrible against righty hitters (3.34 xFIP), he obliterated lefties (1.33 xFIP). Unfortunately, a left foot injury required surgery and Miller was relegated to watching the Red Sox finish out the year and win the World Series from the dugout. However, the 28-year-old expects to be ready for spring training, and will immediately regain his place as a key left-handed cog at the back end of Boston's bullpen. Fellow southpaw Craig Breslow should also return, but has less pronounced platoon splits and less strikeout prowess, so it wouldn't be surprising to see Miller eventually usurp the higher leverage situations available to a Red Sox left-hander. Unfortunately, with Koji Uehara in place, Miller's fantasy value is primarily limited to holds leagues. He could be a useful waiver wire plug-and-play RP if you need a few extra punchouts in standard leagues. (
The Quick Opinion:
Andrew Miller picked up right where he left off last season, showing that his massive strikeout gains in the bullpen are real. While his 2013 ended early with ligament damage in his left foot, he heads into 2014 healthy and makes for a nice low-cost, high-upside selection in leagues that count holds.
The Yankees have a great lefty reliever for the next four years. In 2014, Andrew Miller reached another level. Using 60 innings pitched as a qualifier, he owned the single best strikeout and strikeout minus walk rates in all of baseball last year: 35.5 K%-BB%, which was 1.2% better than Sean Doolittle and almost 5% better than Wade Davis. Luck wasn't a significant factor. His 2012 season backed up his .263 batting average on balls in play last year -- same goes for his left on base rate and home run to fly ball ratio. In fact, based on the BABIP and HR/FB, we should consider his 2.64 ERA from 2013 UNLUCKY. Miller is an interesting cat. He relies on two pitches (fourseam and slider), yet he had the 20th lowest swing% in all of baseball last year (minimum 60 innings pitched). Most of the pitchers ahead of him on the list (C.J. Wilson had the #1 swing prevention rate) have a deeper repertoire or lack control. Of the pitchers that prevent swings the most, Miller owned the second-lowest walk rate (7.0%). His fastball is above average from a whiff/swing perspective. His slider on the other hand is elite: it had the sixth-best whiff per swing rate. (
The Quick Opinion:
Miller's success against righties will hinge on him remaining effective controlling and
burying his slider
In his first year with the ninth inning role, Andrew Miller saved 36 games and struck out 100 batters in 61.2 innings pitched. On ESPN’s player rater, Miller was the 43rd ranked player overall and the third ranked reliever. Miller’s two pitch arsenal of 94 mph heat and a vicious slider makes him one of the most dominant relievers. While he understandably crushes lefties, he’s top notch against right-handed hitters as well, posting a .444 OPS against last season. To help illustrate how delicious Miller has been -- over the past two seasons he has thrown 124 innings pitched with a 2.03 ERA/1.83 FIP and 203 strikeouts. On a per-inning basis he’s been second to none. However, the Yankees offseason addition of Aroldis Chapman puts Miller back as a setup man where he’ll join teammate Dellin Betances as the top ranked setup man in the league. (Ben Pasinkoff)
The Quick Opinion:
There shouldn’t be many surprises here -- Miller won’t be racking up save totals but he’ll throw around 60 or so innings with 100 or so strikeouts making him an elite non-closing option. Although there are no rumors about a trade, it’s feasible the Yankees could deal from a position of strength, or if they fall out of the race, deal Miller at the deadline. Still, don’t count on saves and instead top holds, strikeouts, and ratio help.
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Updated: Sunday, February 26, 2017 3:33 AM ET
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