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2/9/1975 (42 y, 1 m, 14 d)
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Guerrero will sign a one-day contract with the Angels in order to retire as a member of the organization, Jeff Fletcher of the Orange County Register reports. (3/31/2014)
Vladimir Guerrero and the Best Truly Bad Ball Hitt»
Eno Sarris (FanGraphs)
Vladimir Guerrero and Quantifying Pitcher Fear
Craig Edwards (FanGraphs)
If You Vote for Vlad, You Have to Vote for Walker
Paul Swydan (FanGraphs)
Sunday Notes: Vladimir, Redmond, Michigan-OSU, Sch»
David Laurila (FanGraphs)
A First Look at the Hall of Fame Ballot
Craig Edwards (FanGraphs)
(Click Year to Expand /
Year in Review:
Vlad’s 2009 began ignominiously when, in March, he accidentally revealed that he’d actually been born in 1975 – and not 1976, as he’d maintained for his entire MLB career. In the end, it made a kind of sense, as Guerrero proceeded to play like someone who’d aged two years, posting career lows in wOBA (.343), wRC+ (110), and WAR (0.8) in the fewest plate appearances (407) since his second year in the league. The 14.6% walk rate was one of the highest of Vlad’s career but is probably the result less of plate discipline proper and more of selectivity based on lowered expectations. In fact, the Dominican posted his lowest Z-Contact% – that is, contact on swings on pitches within the strike zone – since 2002, as far back as FanGraphs’ records go for that particular metric.
The Year Ahead:
The Angels didn’t offer salary arbitration to him, so Vlad relocated to Texas where he will assume the full-time DH role. In 2009, Coach Mike Scioscia allowed Vlad a grand total of two games – 16 innings – in right field. So what you have here, then, is a roughly league-average hitter ill-equipped to handle any sort of duties afield. As Dave Cameron noted in a post at FanGraphs on Dec. 18, the pool of DH candidates is considerably larger than the number of jobs available. Still, when he does play, Vlad’s still a pretty good fantasy producer, as he proved in 2009 by finishing 147th overall – that is, the 13th round – on a per-game production basis. (Carson Cistulli)
After a 2009 that saw Vlad post his first sub-.300 batting average (.295) since a 27-PA cup of coffee in 1996 and his lowest home-run total (15) since the 11 he hit in 354 plate appearances as a second-year player, Guerrero looked more like himself in 2010, his first with Texas. After Guerrero signed with the Rangers, there was quite a bit of talk about Guerrero's past performance at the Ballpark, where he'd batted .394 as a visiting player; however, any improvement was likely due to two main factors: first, a pretty significant decrease in strikeout rate (10.1% after hovering in the mid-14% range the past two seasons) and, second, a significant increase in plate appearances (643 in 2010 after 407 in 2009). At 36, decline is the likeliest contingency in both categories. That said, he's still an above-average hitter -- and, with 16 games started in the outfield, could qualify there in 2011. (Carson Cistulli)
The Quick Opinion:
Appears to still be an above-average baseball hitter and, owing to his 16 outfield starts, might very well qualify there in some formats come 2011.
The 2.9% walk rate was lower than ever, and the power started to desert Guerrero last season. He's still capable of making contact with anything thrown near the strike zone, but he's a liability on the basepaths and in the field. That would be useful if Guerrero was a middle infielder or catcher, but he's a designated hitter now. If he gets another opportunity with a team, Guerrero should provide a decent average, but he's unlikely to provide spectacular power or on-base skills. His time as a useful fantasy option may have reached its' end. (Chris Cwik)
The Quick Opinion:
Guerrero's declining power makes him nothing more than a high-average hitter. At his position, that's not a useful skill set.
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Updated: Thursday, March 23, 2017 3:36 AM ET
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