Comments on: 3 Guys I Won’t Buy in 2012 ottoneu Leagues

By: PG

PG — Sat, 17 Mar 2012 00:54:25 +0000

Asdrubal played 2B in 2007. Peralta was SS. I do remember him having some fantastic defensive plays that series against the Yanks though.

By: Chicago Mark

Chicago Mark — Fri, 16 Mar 2012 21:05:47 +0000

I’ll take the over on each number Chad. I’ll be in Cleveland tomorrow. Going to the R&R HOF and then a hockey game at Gilmour Academy. Have a great day.
Chicago Mark
Ps. It’s funny, I think my thoughts on Cabrera are in the minority.

By: Chad Young

Chad Young — Fri, 16 Mar 2012 16:21:23 +0000

Lot’s of questions about Cabrera. Look, I don’t dislike Cabrera. In fact, I have loved Cabrera since he first came up for the Indians. I have been referring to him as Captain since the 2007 Indians-Yankees ALDS, which started when it became clear that the Indians had a better SS than the Yankees (not better for his career, but certainly better moving forward). But I feel like everyone is expecting this .280/20/20 line, and I think .274/14/12 is more likely. That is a good SS, but it isn’t a 20/20 season. At the end of the day, I hope I am wrong. As a lifelong Indians fan, I am hoping that his breakout last year was more of a “Jose Bautista changing his approach (on a much smaller scale)” thing, and less of a “Brady Anderson anyone can get lucky for a few months” thing. I just think, looking at his track record, that we will see a return to doubles power, rather than the blossoming of a true power-hitting SS.

By: Chicago Mark

Chicago Mark — Fri, 16 Mar 2012 07:58:50 +0000

It’s a great web site and yes, the writers should think on their own. Everybody is just expecting Asdrubal to regress a lot. I see a young hitter that seems to have tried to some success to change his approach. If he can purposely hit more fly balls he can probably make better contact overall and even hit more line drives. So I see a better hitter overall. And he should get stronger so those “just enough’s” may stay home runs. I don’t know if 280/20/20 is regression or not. And I wouldn’t draft/pay $25 for him because it’s on the wrong end of profit possibility. So I guess I’m agreeing with Chad on that one. Shoot, it looks as if he’s keeping him at $3. So there’s a lot of profit there. But I disagree with everyone expecting a big drop off. We might be looking at Brandon Phillips lite here.
Good job and good profit Chad.
That is all……again.

By: hartmtown

hartmtown — Fri, 16 Mar 2012 06:59:29 +0000

Thanks, that’s very helpful. Yeah, there’s no cost to either guy — we have to keep 5 guys, but it’s a snake draft after that. I would imagine guys like Santana, Napoli, Mauer, and maybe Wieters will all be kept, while I think Andrus is really the only other SS that might be kept. From what I’ve read, it just seems likely that a lesser SS (e.g. Ramirez, Peralta, or Escobar) should more closely approximate the value of Cabrera than would a lesser catcher to Avila.

By: Chad Young

Chad Young — Fri, 16 Mar 2012 06:44:46 +0000

Is there a cost to keeping a player? And if so, what is it for each guy? Looking at the positions in the AL, you have: Santana, Napoli, Mauer, Wieters, Avila, Arencibia, Martin, Perez, and Doumit all in or among the top 250 picks on MockDraftCentral’s ADP. For SS, it’s Andrus, Cabrera, Jeter, Hardy, Aybar, Ramirez, Peralta, Escobar. I don’t think one is a lot deeper than the other. I think it comes down to where your draft will be deepest. If most of those SS are going to be on the board, but not the catchers, drop Cabrera. If the SS are all being kept and all the catchers are fair game, drop Avila. All things being equal, I’d keep Asdrubal, but it’s close.

By: hartmtown

hartmtown — Fri, 16 Mar 2012 05:55:07 +0000

I’m in an 8-team AL only league. I’m trying to decide between Cabrera or Avila for my last keeper spot. Any thoughts out there from the Fangraph or Rotograph community? Both positions lack depth, with C perhaps comparatively having even less depth than SS in AL leagues. Both players have a pretty good chance of regressing.

Anyway, I know this is not really a fantasy advice forum, but I’m just trying to firm things up before our draft next week.

By: Chike

Chike — Fri, 16 Mar 2012 03:56:18 +0000

That’s good information to have. Thank you!

By: Chad Young

Chad Young — Fri, 16 Mar 2012 02:46:52 +0000

In one of my articles on that, I mentioned Colby Rasmus and Corey Hart as guys to look at. Michael Morse is another I would expect to see fewer first pitch strikes. Elvis Andrus, as well.

As for guys I expect to see more strikes…Johnny Damon and Vernon Wells were in the article, but I’d add Nelson Cruz to that list.

By: DKulich44 (@DKulich44)

DKulich44 (@DKulich44) — Fri, 16 Mar 2012 01:07:03 +0000

There are multiple writers here, who are allowed (encouraged, actually) to think for themselves. They all use information to draw conclusions. Pretty sure that makes for a better website, no?