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  1. I hope you are wrong about Sizemore….that would be a real shame.

    Comment by R M — March 8, 2011 @ 3:14 pm

  2. Truth be told, Upton does not have a bad attitude and is quite the team player. Unfortunately he has suffered from bad judgement and as bad luck would have it, they have all been caught on camera.

    In 2008 he played the entire playoffs with his shoulder “hanging by a thread” (his words) and hit 6 hr’s in that post-season, if memory serves correct. Word out of camp is the shoulder injury really sapped his power the past 2 years and he altered his plate approach to try and cope. Looking at the hitting metrics I tend to agree as he’s above average with the soft stuff however couldn’t hit a fastball to save his life. He did say he finally started to feel close to 100% by the end of last year and looking at his August and September he hit .261 with 10 HR’s in 192 AB’s. Factor that over his traditional 540 AB’s per season and he’s on a 28 HR pace. Let’s assume he finally is 100% recovered from the injury and we could realistically see .265 30/40. And if you really want to get crazy all you have to do is look at April and May of 2008, before he injured his shoulder, and you’ll se a player who hit .305, stole 17 bags, and had an OBP of .410 (however with only 3 HR’s… Sacrificing power for contact??).

    Strikeouts might always be a problem with him but it is encouraging that he has yet to k this spring (17 AB’s). Hopefully a trend that continues into the season.

    While I would probably not draft him in the 6th round I don’t think you have to this year. He can realistically be a top 5 OF this year and no one would be surprised (which is more than you can say for Wells and Sizemore at this point). For someone who is only 26, and with all that talent, (most scouts say he has more natural ability than his brother) I would certainly keep him on my radar.

    Comment by Evan — March 9, 2011 @ 2:11 am

  3. “I think this former top 5 pick is middle round material at best these days.”

    Well that’s true…and it almost might make him a decent (fantasy) value. I drafted him in a league…as my 4th outfielder. His price is incredibly low right now. Yes, there’s a good chance he’ll be a shell of his former self, but if you get him in the 15th round like I did, there is certainly the potential for a huge profit.

    Comment by Daniel — March 9, 2011 @ 12:06 pm

  4. So the argument is “the injury excuse that was used for his 2009 performance is also good for his 2010 performance”! When does that injury coupon expire?

    As well, small sample size (192 ABs in Aug/Sept 2010) followed by small sample size (17 Spring Training ABs in 2011) means that happy days are here again? Uh yeah, I’ll pass on that logic.

    Not trying to be an ass, just giving the pessimist’s case versus the optimistic one you’re offering.

    Comment by JoeC — March 12, 2011 @ 6:08 am

  5. Upton’s attitude would have me worried about the clubhouse chemistry on my fantasy team too. ..

    Comment by Mat — March 13, 2011 @ 11:27 pm

  6. Proposition: once a player has shown a skill, that skill can be reclaimed. In BJ’s case, there’s no reason to think his eye has permanently worsened. His K rate can come down, and if that’s the case, coupled with his increased ISO, he has extremely high upside.

    Comment by Boourns76 — March 19, 2011 @ 11:13 am

  7. BJ Upton = Drew Stubbs

    People are high on Stubbs and down on Upton. I’ll take Upton at a discount price. I’d rather sacrifice a bit of average than get SB’s from someone who won’t top 5 hrs.

    Comment by Brownie19 — March 19, 2011 @ 2:50 pm

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