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  1. I can attest to this author’s point, I own Rios and would happily trade him to you if you give me a pizza pocket. Not even the good ones, a nasty old pizza pocket would do.

    Comment by kaveh — April 26, 2011 @ 9:55 am

  2. I wish I was in your league… I wish I had a pizza pocket…

    Comment by SKob — April 26, 2011 @ 10:06 am

  3. Shhhhhh, jeez give us a chance to sell Gordon off before you go blowin’ up on us. His positional eligibility should make him really enticing, but yeah, I’m ready to sell. I do think the power and patience will tick up, and he even has a touch of speed too, it just seems like he’s going with what’s working for now, but I don’t think he’s much more than a fourth or fifth outfielder or lower tier third baseman at this point.

    Comment by Mark — April 26, 2011 @ 10:35 am

  4. Rios seems like a great buy, but I just can’t bring myself to do it. Like you’ve said, he’s had such putrid stretches before that I doubt he’ll just snap out of it any time soon…

    Comment by Sean — April 26, 2011 @ 10:41 am

  5. Would 2 of my wife’s pepperoni lean pockets suffice?

    Comment by Dave — April 26, 2011 @ 10:51 am

  6. Funny, I just got an offer of Marcum for Gordon. Time to pull the trigger?

    Comment by Dan — April 26, 2011 @ 10:53 am

  7. I just got Rios for Broxton, which means I”m relying on Boggs and Santos a little too much for saves, but I’m hopeful.

    Comment by jrogers — April 26, 2011 @ 11:09 am

  8. I already cut bait with Rios. I’m not really sure why I drafted him because I don’t like him much from the start, so I would obviously have a short leash, but I thought he’d be a cheaper source of power and steals while not killing me in BA. Boy was I wrong. He now goes in the same category as Jimmy Rollins and BJ Upton as guys I won’t draft regardless of where they fall.

    Comment by Pat — April 26, 2011 @ 11:09 am

  9. I’d trade Hanley and Rios for a sandwich. Upgrade from a pizza pocket.

    Comment by Ben — April 26, 2011 @ 11:17 am

  10. yup

    Comment by Kitten — April 26, 2011 @ 11:28 am

  11. Once again, the conservative sandwich-heavy portfolio pays off for the hungry investor!

    Comment by steex — April 26, 2011 @ 12:27 pm

  12. Trading Gordon for either of Alvarez or Rajai a good idea?

    Comment by J — April 26, 2011 @ 12:31 pm

  13. One trade involving Rios is live at TradeBashers, Rios for Rajai Davis straight up. As of this post 80% prefer Rios.

    http://www.tradebashers.com/mlb/users/8341/trades/alex-rios-cws-versus-rajai-davis-tor

    Comment by Aaron — April 26, 2011 @ 12:51 pm

  14. Post it at TradeBashers.com. You can put in the players involved and league details. Managers vote for the side they prefer, you see the results. A great way to evaluate how reasonable a trade offer might be.

    Comment by Aaron — April 26, 2011 @ 12:53 pm

  15. Hey now. Better check with the lady before you go offering those up.

    Comment by Jason Catania — April 26, 2011 @ 1:49 pm

  16. Yes, especially if you need pitching, I’d grab Marcum.

    Comment by Jason Catania — April 26, 2011 @ 1:50 pm

  17. Can’t argue with this premise — there are some guys who fit this streaky power-speed combo who tend to be on the low side for average. I don’t see anything wrong with owning one, maybe two, but at some point, you start seeing diminishing returns in average and the slumps can be killer. But I hope it was a 10-team league you dropped Rios in, because I still think he’s 15-15 at least. In a 10-teamer, you can afford to go with the hot hand in a lot of cases. So in that situation, Rios could still be available when he gets hot.

    Comment by Jason Catania — April 26, 2011 @ 1:54 pm

  18. With all the recent talks of BAPIP regressing to career norms I wonder why Jose Lopez and Alcides Escobar didn’t manage to regress last season. Maybe BAPIP is affected by things other than luck like quality of contact…NAH

    Comment by adohaj — April 26, 2011 @ 2:01 pm

  19. Lopez’s career BABIP entering 2010 was somewhere in the .280 range, so the fact that he wound up at .254 isn’t exactly a stretch. In his four pre-2010 full seasons, he’d actually had two years with BABIPs right around .310 … but also two sub-.270 BABIP seasons. We’re not talking about a guy who always had a high BABIP and, by some fluke, had his lowest ever last year. And Escobar was a rookie last year, so trying to gauge his BABIP tendencies — beyond, hey, he’s fast, so he should have a high BABIP — isn’t going to bear much fruit.

    I agree that there can be too much emphasis placed on BABIP for a reason why a guy is slumping. But when we’re talking under .200, I think it’s safe to figure it will come up some. Also that’s why I didn’t just stop at BABIP and looked at Rios’ first-pitch strike %.

    Comment by Jason Catania — April 26, 2011 @ 2:28 pm

  20. I wouldn’t trade Gordon for Rajai. Alvarez, probably. But unless you’re in a keeper league, you might be able to do a little better than that. There are a lot of folks who think Gordon’s turned the corner — and who knows, maybe they’re right!

    Comment by AF — April 26, 2011 @ 3:23 pm

  21. I just offered Ogando for Gordon… I figured, my hot start waiver wire pickup with questionable peripherals for his hot start waiver wire pickup with questionable peripherals, I need a longer batting bench, he needs a longer pitching bench, it’s a match made in heaven.

    I’m willing to gamble at those prices, but somehow I doubt he’ll bite.

    Comment by Jason — April 27, 2011 @ 11:59 am

  22. Oh, and I’ve been benching Rios in favor of Coco Crisp. I rarely drop players I drafted before round 15 or so.

    Comment by Jason — April 27, 2011 @ 12:02 pm

  23. I traded Matt Kemp for Alex Rios and Felix Hernandex. steal.

    Comment by taxbax — April 27, 2011 @ 4:16 pm

  24. As a WSox fan that has watch nearly every game so far, I can tell you that, up until the last 5 games, Rios has been ripping the ball all over the field directly to fielders. His first ten games were actually baffling in terms of bad luck.

    I don’t own him in my league, but based on what I’ve seen, I’d pick him up if I had a chance and needed an OF.

    Comment by Mike H — April 27, 2011 @ 5:11 pm

  25. One argument against Gordon is his lack of home runs, but his 4.5% HR/FB should even out also, and it’s not like he’s hitting them with a limp wrist judging by his 0% IFFB. And hell, don’t they say that doubles eventually turn into home runs?

    Sure, he can’t keep this average up all season, but I’d be willing to bet he starts smacking some homers.

    Comment by Alex — April 27, 2011 @ 11:12 pm

  26. I’d also like to point out that a one Albert Pujols happens to have an 84.6% contact rate this season for pitches outside the strike zone, far up from a career average of 67.3. Joey Votto’s 68.3% contact rate outside the strike zone isn’t anything to scoff at, either.

    Inflated Bapip? How about Matt Holliday’s 0.511 Bapip. That’s just insane. Yeah, his grounders are up a bit but not enough to support that data.

    I’m not saying Rios isn’t a good buy-low. I’m just saying there’s nothing in Gordon’s stats that by themselves indicate he can’t keep this up. He’s got the talent to produce.

    Comment by Alex — April 28, 2011 @ 1:06 pm

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