Paul Goldschmidt should be in this tier, probably in the third tier. He’s a relatively high risk player but has more upside than any of these guys. Is there some sort of eligibility constraint I’m missing?
Comment by philosofool — December 12, 2011 @ 3:03 pm
for sure, in a keeper league ranking it is fairly insane to consider Carlos Lee more highly ranked than Goldy.
There may not have been much of a change in Dunn’s batted ball profile, but there were huge changes in his plate discipline profile. He swung out of the zone over 8% more than he has over his career. He also made contact out of the zone a ton more than he has in the past; an increase of over 12%. Pitchers seemed to recognize this as he saw fewer pitches in the zone than he ever has. On top of all this, he could not hit a fastball to save his life. I just don’t see the point in drafting him unless you can get him very late drafts, which I don’t see happening.
Butler should be tier 2 in my opinion, though it largely depends on the categories used in your fantasy league. He is still only 25 years old, hits for a good average, high OBP, and solid power. If he were on a better team you would see his Runs and RBI easily surpass 100 on a consistent basis. He also has a much better track record than a bunch of those younger guys listed, so he is far less risky.