FanGraphs Fantasy Baseball

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  1. Nice outlay of the averages. Can we see a cumulative frequency graph of their home runs or extra base hits?

    Comment by mattr84 — January 26, 2012 @ 12:51 pm

  2. I voted Morse, but I’d give Ike Davis an option in the poll. If he’s healthy. In the counting categories Davis might be hurt by his team and park though.

    Comment by Oliver — January 26, 2012 @ 1:04 pm

  3. Idk why but i reallyyyyy believe in Ike Davis

    Comment by Melkman — January 26, 2012 @ 1:30 pm

  4. In the end of the year, it wouldn’t be at all surprising to see Davis as the 2nd best 1bman, and should be included in the discussion. However, preseason, it’s hard to project him because he missed so much of last year, and his hot start was obviously not sustainable through a whole year.

    Comment by Matt K — January 26, 2012 @ 1:47 pm

  5. What I think should be taken from this write-up is that there really is no sure thing at first base outside of Votto in NL onlys. Personally, I’d rather roll with with a guy like Ike. Hopefully his hot start from last year was real. The fences are being moved in, so the real worry is the team around him, I think.

    IKE 2012!

    Comment by Mocking bird — January 26, 2012 @ 1:48 pm

  6. number me among the ike davis believers.

    also, fwiw, while the author correctly notes we don’t know if howard will be ready by opening day, he’s on the normal recovery path for achilles surgery. the major concern isn’t missed time necessarily but lack of leg strength (obviously impt for power) early in the year.

    Comment by cable fixer — January 26, 2012 @ 3:43 pm

  7. Why is it so hard to believe Ike can sustain something around a .300/.380/.540 line? It’s not like he was hitting .350/.420/.600 when he went down.

    Maybe the batting average comes down a little, maybe not. He cut his K rate early on last year. ISO was in line with what he did in the minors. I suppose his .344 BABIP was a little high, but nothing crazy. He posted a .321 mark as a rookie.

    Comment by paul — January 26, 2012 @ 3:55 pm

  8. Minor nitpick, but Morse was never to my knowledge an Astro. He played for the Astros of the AL, the Mariners.

    Comment by josh — January 26, 2012 @ 4:08 pm

  9. Freeman’s 2011 campaign (as a 21 year old) was superior (albeit by slim margins) to Davis’s 2010 (as a 23 year old). Coming off a pretty significant injury, not sure how Davis can clearly rank above Freeman, hot start or not.

    Comment by Andrew — January 26, 2012 @ 5:02 pm

  10. It’s a poorly written sentence, but it does not say what you think it says.

    Comment by Terry — January 26, 2012 @ 6:45 pm

  11. Keep in mind, Davis will have a terrible supporting cast IF he can get healthy. Could he be the 2nd best, NL-only fantasy 1b? Sure. Should we expect that? Absolutely not.

    Comment by Brad Johnson — January 27, 2012 @ 9:38 am

  12. Correct me if I am wrong but isn’t Morse projected to be in the Nationals OF while Adam LaRoche gets most of the 1B AB’s? I know he is a 1B in spirit but, technically, he really doesn’t fit in this discussion until we see where he actually plays in 2012.

    Comment by Shawn — January 27, 2012 @ 11:46 am

  13. Brandon Belt, naturally.

    Comment by sfgdad66 — January 29, 2012 @ 1:00 am

  14. Not necessarily. The Mets had an above average offense in 2012 overall, and even in second half after Beltran was traded, Davis was out the whole time, and Reyes was merely solid rather than spectacular (.784 OPS vs. .926 in the first half) and played in only 46 games, they scored the 4th most runs in the NL (12th in baseball). Plus now that the walls are coming in, they figure to get at least a small boost in overall offense. I wouldn’t expect them to be a Top 10 offense, but neither would I figure they’ll be bottom 10. Wright and Duda in particular should keep Davis’s counting numbers looking respectable compared to his batting line.

    Comment by MH — January 30, 2012 @ 11:43 am

  15. In 2011*

    Comment by MH — January 30, 2012 @ 12:36 pm

  16. lol, you mean the season where Ike produced 3.5 WAR in 601 PA compared to Freeman’s 1 WAR in 635 PA?

    Comment by Who? — February 21, 2012 @ 5:12 am

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