FanGraphs Fantasy Baseball

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  1. When MigCab gets 3b eligibility, does he jump over Joey Bats for the #1 spot? I’m thinking yes.

    Also, with Wright having to go back to NY for a rib-cage exam, how far do you think that drops him on this list?

    Comment by TheGrandslamwich — March 12, 2012 @ 10:49 am

  2. The big bummer with Sandoval is that his run production sucks – averaging just 77 runs per 162 games in his career. And at this point we shouldn’t expect that to change much – he’s not getting more athletic, and the Giants’ offense looks just as anemic as ever. The batting average and power potential are obviously sexy, but Sandoval is too highly regarded for a guy who’s only really calling card is his high batting average and good-but-not-great power.

    Comment by kid — March 12, 2012 @ 10:51 am

  3. Miggy would be the #1 3B

    Comment by Zach Sanders — March 12, 2012 @ 11:01 am

  4. i think jeff’s ranking of ryan zimmerman needs to be thrown out due to his obvious pro-zimmerman bias

    Comment by wily mo — March 12, 2012 @ 11:12 am

  5. For some reason, I feel like Brett Lawrie should be more polarizing but I guess it’s just a tier thing. One of my favourite things to do with these types of lists is to sort via stdev. It’s easy enough to keep things sorted in your head if you just assign max ranking plus one to all unranked players.

    Comment by Kris — March 12, 2012 @ 11:25 am

  6. I think ranking him there means they think he’ll hit 30 HR. I don’t understand it any other way.

    I personally think Beltre is a cut above the ones after Bautista/Longoria but that’s just me. it’s a tightly bunched group after Longoria so I’d imagine if 20 people ranked the 3B #3-#11 you’d get 20 different rankings.

    there is such an epic cliff from Youk down to Prado 2 slots later.

    Comment by jsp2014 — March 12, 2012 @ 11:25 am

  7. I believe I have Pablo projected for 27 HRs. It’s the batting average of .300 that really helps.

    Comment by Mike Podhorzer — March 12, 2012 @ 11:32 am

  8. As much as I want to criticize fantasy owners for drafting Lawrie so early given his limited experience and potentially fluky big year in 2011, I simply can’t do it given his 20+ steals potential. That’s really a great downside cushion. It’s similar to Hosmer who I initially thought was massively overvalued, but those 10+ steals at 1st are huge, and he’s actually properly valued.

    Comment by Mike Podhorzer — March 12, 2012 @ 11:34 am

  9. No Casey Blake–I figured he has to be higher than quite a few guys on the list, just based on playing time, if nothing else.

    Comment by wahooo — March 12, 2012 @ 11:53 am

  10. For Panda to be the third best 3B he’s going to have to hit .340 or something ridiculous to compensate for the fact that he’s only been scoring 75-80 runs per full season and only driving in 85 or so. There’s not necessarily a reason why those runs/RBI numbers can’t go up, but there’s not a reason why they should go up, either. Same spot in the batting order, roughly the same offensive support.

    Looking at last season only 27 HR seems like an OK projection, but that’s still erring on the side of optimism considering he’s at slightly over 22 HR per 162 games for his big league career. In no way am I saying that Pablo isn’t a fine player, he absolutely is, but some of the guys below him like Zim, Wright and Beltre have much better shots at 100 runs, 100 RBI and at least as much (and likely better) power.

    Comment by kid — March 12, 2012 @ 1:10 pm

  11. I’m glad that you guys are doing rankings in this format this year.

    Hanley?

    Comment by hifilofi — March 12, 2012 @ 2:10 pm

  12. At least Ryan spells his right unlike his teammate Jordan.

    Comment by Jeff Zimmerman — March 12, 2012 @ 3:49 pm

  13. I understand that you guys are not placing Miguel or Hanley in the 3B rankings because they are not yet eligible there. But, virtually everyone who drafts Miguel will be drafting him at 3B. If these rankings are meant to be used for draft purposes, why not include them, even if they are not yet eligible?

    Comment by jake — March 12, 2012 @ 4:31 pm

  14. If Sarris is the only one to rank Pedro Alvarez as high as #19, how did he finish at #19 in Staff Consensus?

    Comment by JD — March 12, 2012 @ 5:48 pm

  15. Agree on Sandoval. It doesn’t make much sense to rank him above Beltre to me, your looking at potentially 60 less R/RBI combined there.

    Comment by Adam — March 12, 2012 @ 6:02 pm

  16. Because of the problematic way they’ve tabulated these things. Adrian Beltre and Brett Lawrie both tied for fifth, but Ryan Zimmerman, listed after both, is sixth. He should be seventh, and Aramis Ramirez eighth, but they’ve made the whole list this way. Alvarez should actually be #25.

    Comment by Bronnt — March 12, 2012 @ 6:04 pm

  17. I think you have to get one of the guys from Youk or higher. I wouldn’t really care which one of the three of A Rod, Youk, and Aramis I got but If I didn’t have a 3rd basemen before then you really have to grab one of those guys. Pretty big drop off after that tier.

    Comment by Adam — March 12, 2012 @ 6:07 pm

  18. Wow. I might have to reconsider my draft strategy. Or at least, see how things go on draft day. It isn’t until seeing things here like this that I realize how much depth there is at the position. Third base has been fairly slim in recent years, enough that in my pre-draft rankings (where I’ve made a ton of positional scarcity edits) I pushed Longoria up the middle of the first round.

    But now that I’ve really looked at it, I can actually wait. A-Rod is basically the 10th or 11th best fantasy option at third base, if you include Miguel Cabrera. 20ish home runs, an OBP around .350, and a hearty number of runs and RBIs if A-Rod stays healthy. Then I could take a late round flier on someone like Brent Morel to fill in if he’s hurt. Even if I miss on A-Rod, I still could maybe get Youkilis, or at worst, Moustakas. I might even live with Chase Headley.

    I need to amend my draft strategy…again.

    Comment by Bronnt — March 12, 2012 @ 6:20 pm

  19. Really surprised that Zimmerman is so low. Aside from last year when he was obviously hurt for a good portion of the year he’s a roughly .900 OPS hitter and will get a solid 20-30 homers and should be good for 90/90 on the counting stats. (I’m also not convinced that Beltre outproduces ZImmerman this year) Does Lawrie provide that in this season? In a dynasty league I get it, but thinking 2012 only I don’t see it. I also imagine MLB pitchers figuring him out a bit and there being a month or two where he craters this season, before he makes an adjustment

    Comment by KCExile — March 12, 2012 @ 6:38 pm

  20. It’s the health issues. It’s been a while, but he missed a good portion of 2008 with health issues, then he missed a couple weeks in 2010, and then 60 games last year. If he’s healthy for 150 games, you’re getting him discounted, but the uncertainty hurts his price tag.

    Comment by Bronnt — March 12, 2012 @ 11:38 pm

  21. What’s with the hate on Beltre? Dude played 80% of the season last year and still had 80/30/100

    Comment by Richie — March 13, 2012 @ 12:33 pm

  22. Why Sandoval over Beltre? If it’s because of injury issues, it’s not like Panda’s been the bastion of health.

    Comment by kid — March 13, 2012 @ 3:48 pm

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