- Various Notes
- The Daily Grind Invitational and Leaderboard
- Daily DFS
- SaberSim Observations
- Tomorrow’s Targets
Episode 203 – Hella Lefties
The latest episode of “Field of Streams” is live!
In this episode, Dylan Higgins and Matthew Dewoskin discuss recording “from the road,” Patrick Corbin’s considerable struggles with right-handed batters, a poor matchup for Andew Cashner, knuckleball pitchers potentially faring relatively better against elite hitters, Matt still not being excited about Doug Fister, Corey Seager’s remarkable NL RoY campaign, and Ryan Schimpf being on fire.
I only have one recommendation for you today, folks. I’d love to write a second but sometimes it’s best not to force the issue. Not that there aren’t worthy players out there to consider. But sometimes, what’s out there just isn’t all that compelling and just because you can make an argument in favor of something doesn’t always mean you should. I’m talking to you, Jim Cramer. So without further ado, let’s talk a little Mac Williamson (1% Yahoo, 1.1%ESPN, 3% CBS).
In this episode of OttoGraphs, Tom, Joe, and Trey discuss a hotly debated topic across Ottoneu leagues this summer (and seemingly every summer): veto votes. We break the issue down into three main areas: how to judge a deal you may feel is unfair; what to do if you truly think a deal deserves to be vetoed; and what steps leagues can take to improve communication and help avoid veto trouble before it begins.
As a reminder, OttoGraphs is now available on iTunes! Subscribe using this link or the one below, and if you like what you hear, we’d happily accept ratings or reviews to help us reach new listeners, and potentially recruit some new Ottoneu players! Plus, don’t forget to check out the new Ottoneu Community. A bunch of owners are already on the community discussing Ottoneu strategy, rules, and more, and we’d love to keep growing our numbers! Feel free as always to comment with any questions or suggestions you may have about this episode or future topics. We can be reached individually on Twitter:
Lastly, special thanks to Treemen who provided our intro and outro music. If you like what you hear, please check out their other work at http://treemen.bandcamp.com/
Yesterday, I discussed some of the starting pitchers whose xK% significantly exceeded their actual K% marks, suggesting strikeout rate upside over the rest of the season. Today, I’ll check in on the opposite end of the spectrum, looking at those fantasy relevant starting pitchers whose strikeout rates are far exceeding their xK% marks.
For seven innings, a paltry San Diego Padres offense struggled to get to the red-hot Aaron Sanchez, who has now won 10 consecutive decisions and lowered his ERA to 2.72 (bye, bullpen ideas). Then the bullpen came in, and Alex Dickerson hit the most majestic home run I’ve ever seen at a game live.
No matter your league size, there’s likely someone on the waiver wire who can give you a boost at second base. This week, I’ve identified three under-owned second-sackers who could bolster your production at the position.
Devon Travis (31% Yahoo, 30.3% ESPN, 66% CBS)
For a while, it seemed like Travis had a shot at leading off for the Jays, as he picked up five starts atop the lineup in Jose Bautista‘s absence. However, the 25-year-old was unable to fend off Ezequiel Carrera as the team’s primary leadoff man, and now Bautista is due back soon. Manager John Gibbons recently indicated he’ll likely slot Bautista back into the leadoff spot when he returns.
The dream of “Devon Travis, leadoff hitter” may be a thing of the past, but despite bouncing around between every spot in the order other than third and fourth, Travis is producing well above his ownership rates. Players on CBS have clearly noticed, but there’s no reason he should be so widely available in Yahoo/ESPN leagues. Over the last 30 days, Travis is hitting .325 with three homers, two steals, 15 runs and nine RBI. Pretty darn good for a second baseman who’s likely floating around on your waiver wire.
Today at the Prospect Stock Watch we take a look at a Yankees sleeper prospect, a struggling top draft pick and a reliever stuck in triple-A who could probably be a set-up man for a big league club right now.
Luis Torrens | C | Yankees
Value: Slowly rising
If you want a deep sleeper to invest in, or just to keep an eye on, Torrens is your man. He’d very likely already be in high-A ball at the age of 20 if it weren’t for injury issues over the past two years. Back now and healthy after labrum surgery in 2015, the young catcher hit very well in 12 short-season games to earn a quick promotion to low-A ball. He shows a solid understanding of pitchers and a good eye at the plate, which has allowed him to post a 9-8 BB-K rate so far this year. He’s still learning to drive the ball consistently but he could have at least average power and a better-than-average hit tool for a catcher. If he can avoid the DL, look for Torrens (with the far superior defensive skills) — not Gary Sanchez — to be the Yankees’ catcher of the future.
Episode 202 – It’s Really Weird And I’m Enjoying It Immensely
The latest episode of “Field of Streams” is live!
In this episode, Dylan Higgins and Matthew Dewoskin discuss Chris Sale ad nauseam, an appearance by Matt’s dog, the White Sox beginning their series against the Cubs, Rougned Odor’s remarkably low walk rate as compared to Jacoby Ellsbury’s remarkable high catcher interference rate, actually feeling good about a Didi Gregorius pick, Jake Smolinski doing his job, the return of Preston Tucker, Braden Shipley’s debut, Dallas Keuchel trying to turn things around, and looking for a repeat Jeremy Hellickson performance against the Marlins.
Let’s do one final rest of season xK% update. If you recall, my xK% equation uses Baseball-Reference.com metrics to calculate a pitcher expected strikeout rate. It’s missing a sequencing component, though who knows if that’s even a skill. But even without accounting for such, it has proven to be one of the best expected metrics we have developed, at least by R-squared. So let’s begin with the fantasy relevant starting pitchers whose expected strikeout rates are well above their actual marks, suggesting significant upside over the rest of the season.