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  1. Isn’t a big part of Peavy’s xFIP because of his relatively depressed K/9 rate? He’s striking out 4% more batters than he was last season, but thanks to the lack of batters reaching base, his K/9 is nearly identical. If he had a 24.1% K% last season, his K/9 would have been slightly over 9.

    Comment by Feeding the Abscess — April 30, 2012 @ 10:41 am

  2. You mention that Peavy’s super-low ground ball rate will regress, which I agree. But won’t that be a good thing?

    Comment by junker23 — April 30, 2012 @ 10:41 am

  3. Just traded Peavy, Choo and Butler for Weaver in a 5×5, H2H 10 teams keeper league with OBP. I´m fairly well covered with hitters (I have Miggy, Hamilton and Cargo for these positions) and wanted to consolidate best players, but I have this nagging fear that by the end of the year Peavy can be almost as good as Weaver.

    Comment by FabioSaoPaulo — April 30, 2012 @ 11:54 am

  4. Any openings in your league?

    Comment by Mike P — April 30, 2012 @ 12:40 pm

  5. It won´t be much fun for you unless you speak portuguese, but you are welcome to join next year if you want ( I know you were kidding). I just did not get from your sarcasm if you think I got robbed, or if you think I robbed the guy. I think I did pretty well, but I may be delusional, of course.

    Comment by FabioSaoPaulo — April 30, 2012 @ 1:08 pm

  6. Just traded Peavy+Heyward for Felix+Markakis+Venters

    Comment by TraderD — April 30, 2012 @ 4:40 pm

  7. Obviously you meant Jeff Weaver…right? Otherwise, I don’t get his sarcasm either.

    Comment by Los — April 30, 2012 @ 6:59 pm

  8. Having watched all Peavy’s starts, I’ve noticed something that may be screwing with pitch classification: he appears to be throwing all of the same pitches he always did, but each of them at multiple speeds. It’s strange but it’s been very effective. I suppose that it’s working for him because he’s the type of guy that changes his arm slot constantly anyway, so the differences in his motion from pitch to pitch is expected anyway.

    Comment by Eminor3rd — May 1, 2012 @ 12:14 pm

  9. For BABIP, yes, For HRs, no.

    Comment by Eminor3rd — May 1, 2012 @ 12:15 pm

  10. I just got offered Peavy for Norris and Nicasio in a 16 team pts. keeper league (12 keepers).
    My other SPs are Price, Zimmerman, Hudson, Morrow and Hammel.
    I also have Trevor Bauer on my MiL roster so he may be able to help me later.

    Should I pull the trigger on this trade? Peavy is sure to regress, but just how much? I saw him against the Orioles and he looked like the Peavy of old.

    My only concern is his injury history. On the other hand, Norris throws a lot of sliders–could be be an injury risk as well.

    Comment by balticfox1917 — May 1, 2012 @ 2:42 pm

  11. Exactly, so his super-low HR/FB rate regressing towards the norm shouldn’t hurt him as badly as xFIP thinks it will. (If he has the similar regression in GB%.)

    Comment by junker23 — May 1, 2012 @ 3:39 pm

  12. Trade withdrawn so the question is moot.

    Comment by balticfox1917 — May 1, 2012 @ 5:19 pm

  13. BIS does not classify two-seam and four-seam fastballs.

    Comment by Eric — May 17, 2012 @ 4:44 pm

  14. Just traded Peavy for Jose Reyes straight up

    Comment by brucebooker — May 17, 2012 @ 8:10 pm

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