• There's Nothing Wrong With Jake Lamb
    by Randy Holt - 8/16 -  3
    How long did you think you were going to get away with this column not being devoted to Jake Lamb in a given week? Regardless, as I listened to the hyperbolic Arizona sports radio throughout this week, Lamb represented a focal point.
  • Roto Riteup
    The most roto-relevant news of the previous day, recapped in a concise format for your morning coffee.
  • Bullpen Report
    Detailed daily updates and charts on every bullpen in the Major Leagues to help you manage your saves and holds.
  • Prospect Coverage
    Our prospect team mines the minors for top prospects and useful pieces alike.
  • MASH Report
    Award-winning in-depth injury report with analysis from Jeff Zimmerman.
  • The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast
    Eno Sarris, Paul Sporer, and Jason Collette lead the RotoGraphs staff in a regular fantasy podcast.
  • Daily Fantasy Strategy
    The RotoGraphs team discusses daily fantasy strategy and then makes picks for the day.
  • Ottoneu Strategy
    Strategy for the year-round FanGraphs Fantasy game.
  • Top 50 Fantasy Prospects
    Marc Hulet adjusts (and updates) his prospect list for fantasy purposes.
  • Field of Streams
    A contest to see who can make the better picks: streaming pitcher and hitter choices for every day of the season in a podcast hosted by Dylan Higgins and Matthew Dewoskin.
C  -  1B  -  2B  -  SS  -  3B  -  OF  -  SP  -  RP

Bullpen Report: August 16, 2017

In a tumultuous season for the Cardinals’ bullpen, it was starting to look like Trevor Rosenthal was creating some stability. He had rattled off seven consecutive saves over a 16-day period, the first six of which were scoreless.

On Wednesday night, it took just eight pitches to ruin that placid state. On his second pitch — a 91.4 mph four-seam fastball — Rosenthal gave up a home run to Xander Bogaerts. Six pitches later, Mitch Moreland took a free pass. Mike Matheny was sufficiently concerned that he removed Rosenthal for Zach Duke. Rosenthal averaged 94.3 mph on the six four-seam fastballs he threw, after he had hovered around 97 mph over his previous six appearances. Unfortunately for the Cardinals, Duke and John Brebbia didn’t fare much better, and the latter gave up Mookie Betts‘ walk-off double.
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Hitter Breakouts: Stickiness Of Stats

A few days back, I start the process of trying to find breakout hitters. I found some possible traits which point to hitters breaking out but didn’t get into the stickiness of the stats over different time frames. I’m back to see how the “breakout” stats main their values over time.

For a quick review, here are the claims I made in the previous article.

Overall, here are the rules.
• K%-BB% (plate discipline) changes by +/- 4.5%.
• Flyball rate (FB%) changes by +/- 3%.
If the above two items can’t explain the change move onto the following three points.
• Pull% change (only) by +/- 5% this value can good or bad depending on the hitter’s other traits.
• Raw power can start decline once a player reaches 30-years-old.
• BABIP changed by +/- 30 points. (A change in plate discipline can cause this change)

I will just start walking through the points comparing the results for the year after the breakout. Also, I will look for hitters breaking out in the season’s first month and how those stats carried forward.

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There’s Nothing Wrong With Jake Lamb

How long did you think you were going to get away with this column not being devoted to Jake Lamb in a given week? Regardless, as I listened to the hyperbolic Arizona sports radio throughout this week, Lamb represented a focal point. With the Diamondbacks hitting the strugglebus since just before the second half of the season began, Lamb was a target for the talking heads, despite this particular instance of discussion taking place a day after he went 3-for-4 against the Chicago Cubs.

With that in mind, it’s probably important to note that there is nothing wrong with Jake Lamb. At least not now.

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Pitcher Spotlight: Chris Stratton’s 10 Strikeout Game

It looked grim for Chris Stratton as he entered his Sunday afternoon start against the Washington Nationals. He held a 5.11 ERA through 15 Triple-A starts in 2017 and had been nothing short of a disappointment in his first two starts in the majors, allowing nine walks and fanning just five en route to seven total earned runs. However, he shocked many with ten strikeouts and just six baserunners in 6.2 shutout innings and suddenly he’s an intriguing option on a barren waiver wire in fantasy leagues. Even though he faced a Nationals lineup that didn’t contain Bryce Harper or Daniel Murphy, performing at this level against any major league lineup is worth a deeper look.

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Ottoneu Most Wanted: August 16, 2017

Contending teams in ottoneu are gearing up for the stretch run, and rebuilding teams are turning every stone over in the hunt for a keeper. Let’s take a look at the most added players in ottoneu over the past week and past month.

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The Daily Grind: Stantonian

Just in case you were going to use him, DraftKings has kindly informed me that Chris Hatcher has been traded to the Athletics. Thus, he will not receive fantasy points. You’re welcome.


  1. Stantonian
  2. Weather Reports
  3. Pitchers to Use and Abuse
  4. SaberSim Says…
  5. TDG Invitational Returns!

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Juan Minaya & Boog Powell: Deep League Wire

It’s time to speculate and to latch on to a new starter that could provide a boost to your counting stats.

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Roto Riteup: August 16, 2017

Found him:



On the Agenda:

1. Kind of Ridiculous Trade Speculation…

2. MLB’s Most Eligible Second Baseman

3. Various News and Notes

4. Streaming Pitcher Options



Kind of Ridiculous Trade Speculation…

According to Jon Heyman of FanRag, the Tigers and Astros are in talks about a potential trade that would send Justin Verlander to Houston. Verlander has cleared revocable waivers, but would have to sign off on any deal that would be made due to his no-trade clause. The Astros are in need of a starter given the recent woes and injury trouble of Lance McCullers, but are unlikely to want to take on the entirety of Verlander’s remaining deal. Given that, it seems unlikely that a deal will be reached without shipping some major prospects to Detroit.

Giancarlo Stanton has cleared revocable waivers without being claimed according to Jeff Passan of Yahoo. There have been numerous reports of teams being interested in the MLB home run leader, but with 295 million dollars due to him over the next ten years and the team being up for sale, it seems unlikely that Stanton will be moved anytime soon.



MLB’s Most Eligible Second Baseman

According to multiple commenters on my last two Roto Riteups, Anthony Rizzo has gained eligibility at second base this week in ESPN, CBS, and Yahoo. Putting aside the fact that this is fairly ridiculous, it poses an interesting question about where Rizzo ranks rest of the season at the position and heading into 2018 if he can muster enough games to hold the eligibility for it.

Rizzo is hitting .262/.384/.504 with 27 home runs and seven stolen bases and currently ranks 10th on ESPN’s player rater at second base. Personally I would rank him 4th moving forward for this season and next behind Jose Altuve, Dee Gordon, and Jose Ramirez.



Various News and Notes

The Pittsburgh Pirates placed Gregory Polanco on the 10-day DL with a hamstring injury. Polanco has had a disappointing, injury riddled season, hitting .255/.311/.407 with ten home runs and eight stolen bases. This injury likely ends the month for him and may drive down his cost for next season.

Joe Panik has been placed on the 7-day DL with a concussion after getting hit in the face with a throw to the plate:

It’s unfortunate for fantasy owners as Panik was starting to heat up after a slow season. Over the course of the month of August Panik was hitting .342/.419/.447. Panik is mostly an empty average player and can be dropped in most mixed league formats.

Andrew Benintendi left Tuesday’s game after being hit in the knee with a pitch. Following the game, manager John Farrell stated that he was hopeful Benintendi would be ok to play on Wednesday. Consider him day-to-day at this time.



Streaming Pitcher Options

A pitcher for today: Ubaldo Jimenez vs. SEA

Over his last four starts, Ubaldo has a 2.63 ERA with 12 strikeouts per nine innings. He gets the struggling Mariners who have lost five of the last six.

A pitcher for tomorrow: NONE

I was tempted to take Edwin Jackson at home, but I can’t pull the trigger.

Bullpen Report: August 15, 2017

• With Tyler Clippard moving to Houston the White Sox bullpen is a bit of a mess. Juan Minaya, Jake Petricka and Gregory Infante could all see the ninth but I’m going to roll out Juan Minaya to start. As of now we haven’t quite heard enough out of White Sox camp to make an exact call but Minaya is probably the best of the bunch. In 27.1 innings pitched Minaya has a 6.61/4.31/3.94 ERA/FIP/xFIP line but also has a 3.26 SIERA and a 31.9% K% and 10.6% BB%. You would like to see fewer walks but beggars can’t quite be choosers. Petricka and Infante aren’t particularly exciting or even usable for that matter in fantasy and I would look to grab Minaya first.

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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 8/15/2017

Here’s the transcript from today’s chat which included a surprising amount of Bogaerts panic.

Brad Johnson: Welcome to rad Johnson baseball chat. I noticed the typo too late, please excuse

Bob: I hate to waste your time asking this question but I’m desperate, so I hope you’ll be kind enough to provide your feedback. Need to fill the C spot in my AL-only league and the “best” options are Castro, Gomes, Vasquez and Chirinos. Any one of them stand out above the rest? Thanks!

Brad Johnson: I think Chirinos’ steady HR production is useful in that format. He’s probably top 10.

Sleepy: Totally thought the “typo” was intentional…

JD15: Alex Bregman has been very hot in the second half. As a whole, how has he compared to your expectations going into the season? Would you consider him a potential keeper at pre-season hype prices?

Brad Johnson: To answer the second part of your question first, that depends on just how hyped he was in your league

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