FanGraphs Fantasy Baseball


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  1. It looks like you’re punishing the Tier 7 dudes for under-performing in ranking Dillon Gee, Zambrano, and Bass ahead of them. Gotta think over the rest of the season that the Kennedy/Hudson/Cahills of the NL will pitch to their potential.

    2 snubs- Vance Worley + Kyle Kendrick? Both more valuable than Tier 11, 12 dudes (despite bone spurs)

    Comment by hifilofi — June 6, 2012 @ 9:48 am

  2. Madbum has been pitching absolutely amazingly and his Ks are definitely back. This feels like it was written several starts ago. He should be tier 2 or higher. Both him and Cain seem to be perrenially underrated, and I understand it less for Madbum because he’s so incredibly young to be as polished as he is.

    Comment by Hairball — June 6, 2012 @ 10:28 am

  3. Ted Lilly???

    Comment by sfjb — June 6, 2012 @ 10:45 am

  4. I assume you think James McDonald will keep it up? I believe in his new slider as well and I’m pumped I picked him up off of waivers so I can keep him in the 20th round next year!

    Comment by Parker — June 6, 2012 @ 10:46 am

  5. Upon call-up, where would Bauer be on this list?

    Comment by Andrew — June 6, 2012 @ 11:04 am

  6. Was just offered Matt Moore plus Vance Worley for my Bumgarner. Its a keeper league and I’m contending this year. Pull the trigger?

    Comment by Chad — June 6, 2012 @ 11:19 am

  7. 2.43 BB/9 for Gee puts him 42nd out of 115 qualifiers. That doesn’t seem too bad.

    Comment by trailofhoney — June 6, 2012 @ 11:25 am

  8. I’d want Bumgarner. Bum & Moore are both 22 y.o. with huge upside. Difference is that Bumgarner is actually pitching well, while Moore has been inconsistent and pitches in the AL East. In a keeper you could argue for either one over the other due to age and potential, but this year I’d want to stick with Bumgarner.

    Comment by BStu185 — June 6, 2012 @ 12:03 pm

  9. is Ricky Romero really not better than any of these guys?

    Comment by C note — June 6, 2012 @ 12:24 pm

  10. …kidding, there always has to be at least one who gets AL and NL mixed up :)

    Comment by C note — June 6, 2012 @ 12:24 pm

  11. you did not just rank Gio Gonzalez as the #1 fantasy pitcher in the NL, ahead of Greinke, Hamels and Lee? Really?

    also, I’m going to rub my eyes and pretend you didn’t just rank James McDonald ahead of Clayton F’ing Kershaw and Matt Cain.

    seriously, don’t you think that’s being a big reactionary? These are REST OF SEASON rankings, you REALLY would take McDonald (or even Anibal or Johan) ahead of Clayton Kershaw?!

    Comment by batpig — June 6, 2012 @ 1:48 pm

  12. Buy low on Lincecum and Josh Johnson:

    Comment by Mark — June 6, 2012 @ 1:51 pm

  13. The Kershaw placement is positively hilarious.

    Comment by Matt NW — June 6, 2012 @ 7:00 pm

  14. This list is…

    …making me assume that the author (Dan Wade) is not leading his fantasy team to any trophies this year.

    Dig deeper Dan, or maybe you dug too deep, and need rope.

    Comment by But — June 6, 2012 @ 7:29 pm

  15. You got to be kidding me with this crap… thanks for the laugh though

    Comment by HighHeater — June 6, 2012 @ 9:45 pm

  16. Horrible rankings. Bleacher Report-esque. Please never write another article again.

    Comment by baseball guru — June 6, 2012 @ 11:09 pm

  17. This would be the perfect list if this was the first season of major league baseball in history and nobody had ever seen any of these guys pitch before.

    Comment by Brian — June 7, 2012 @ 3:08 am

  18. This list is basically just a slightly adjusted SIERA leaderboard. I love SIERA as much as the next guy, but you need a bigger sample than 2 months to base your entire rankings on it.

    Comment by Matt Hunter — June 7, 2012 @ 9:19 am

  19. Could you please explain how Cueto, the indisputable ace of the Reds staff, is in Tier 9? So you are saying Cueto is the same as Homer Bailey but worse than Latos? Do you watch baseball?

    Comment by Sixto Lezcano — June 7, 2012 @ 9:39 am

  20. Holy crap. This article just screams…”I’m overreacting to the first 2 months of this season.”

    I like James McDonald, but that’s just ridiculous.

    Comment by Matt — June 7, 2012 @ 12:39 pm

  21. it drives me nuts when a FG author drops a big turd like this and then isn’t man enough to come defend their rankings in the comments section. These are very legitimate concerns (McDonald being the most obvious one) and DW should be willing to justify the rankings and provide evidence that he’s actually put real thought into this.

    The Kershaw/Cain ranking behind McD/Johan/Anibal is the most obvious problem at the top, some other egregious examples going down the list:

    – Latos and Hanson all the way down in tier 7? while Erik Bedard’s injury risk sits in Tier 5? WTF? Bedard’s stats haven’t even been that good this season and he pitches for a horrible team, limiting his W potential.

    – Also Anthony Bass in tier 5? Perhaps DW hasn’t been watching but the regression stick has already hit Mr. Bass pretty hard.

    – Jaime Garcia’s about-to-explode elbow and diminishing K-rate still up in tier 4, ahead of Hanson, Latos, Zimmerman, Garza?

    – Adam Wainwright and his 3.19 xFIP / 3.21 SIERRA down in tier 6, behind Bass, Bedard, et al and aligned with big Z and AJ?

    – Really? Ian Kennedy (3.46 SIERRA right in line with last year and an improved K-rate) is just as valuable going forward as Gee and Niese?

    Comment by batpig — June 7, 2012 @ 12:51 pm

  22. lol this is horrible. can you honestly say you’d rather own Jeff Samardzija, Capuano, and Edwin Jackson, over proven pitchers like Garza and Gallardo???? clueless.

    Comment by Ryan T — June 8, 2012 @ 3:20 am

  23. Yeah, this is the craziest ranking I’ve seen this year. Something the last place guy in my league might come up with.

    Comment by stefangfg — June 8, 2012 @ 3:33 am

  24. Anyone who puts that current value on Halladay is a fool. You have to be realistic with long term injuries, and properly consider the significant downside.

    Comment by lester bangs — June 8, 2012 @ 7:28 am

  25. Even considering he wasn’t yet on the DL when you posted this, you have Garcia as the Cardinals’ 2nd best starter (and only 1 spot behind the #1 starter) and claim you’re low on him? In what alternate dimension is that true?! Lohse has been much better than Garcia (both last year and this year), Wainwright will only get better and better as the season goes on, while Garcia has been somewhat disappointing so far. Also, it’s Garcia’s shoulder that’s the problem, not his elbow which has been healthy for over 2 years.

    As for Shelby Miller, there are still no plans to see him in the Majors before September even with Garcia out. Miller has an ERA of about 5 at AAA and is not ready yet, especially with both Carpenter and Garcia coming back in a month and a half or so.

    Comment by Lanidrac — June 10, 2012 @ 1:37 am

  26. I was wondering where you put Christian Friedrich. His peripherals have been pretty good high strikeout rate in the minors before the callup and a very low walk rate.

    Comment by Steve — June 10, 2012 @ 10:04 am

  27. I hope no one pays you for your thoughts. If so, they are being robbed. Cards fan.

    Comment by jeff marsh — June 11, 2012 @ 12:53 pm

  28. Johnny Cueto has been a beast all season long, and is in the 9th tier while Lincecum remains in the third for some odd reason. Wow… and Josh Johnson, Wainwright, and a few other guys. Wainwright’s ERA is down to 4.75 while his BAPIP is almost as high as Lincecums’s but he doesn’t walk virtually 5 guys a game. Oh, and he’s coming off a crazy arm injury so he’s supposed to be rounding into shape(which he is)and pitches in a ballpark that’s a hitter’s park.

    Wainwright – 5-7, 4.75 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, take a few bad starts off his season and his ERA would be under 4 with a WHIP around 1.15. He also had another solid outing tonight giving up 2 while striking out 7 in in 7 and only giving up 5 hits.

    Lincecum – 2-7, 6.00 ERA, 1.58 ERA, and has a fastball that is losing velocity… he’s not built to be pitch 10 seasons. And he’s giving up more line drives than ever so people can’t write that off as bad luck.

    Wow… 13 starts in a season where a guy hasn’t been hurt in his career but has shown all the signs of a serious decline due to velocity, his ever rising WHIP, and inability to throw secondary pitches as well due to a serious decrease in velocity. Every other Giants pitcher is pitching like an all-star(from Cain to even Zito.)

    Comment by Kyle — June 13, 2012 @ 3:16 am

  29. I’m having a lot of issues with these rankings. As many have mentioned–some rankings appear reactive. However, some appear a little entrenched in the past. I tend to think it trends towards the former. As I write this, only 9 days after you wrote this, it appears the disparity between this ranking and reality has become all too evident. There, slap on the back of your hand, you’re all bad and no good at all, for shame, etc… Granted, there’s hindsight and all that, but how about a do-over?

    Comment by Nate — June 14, 2012 @ 8:29 pm

  30. All I know is I own Beachy, Garza, Tim Hudson, Ian Kennedy, Latos, Bedard, Minor and Nicasio (NL only). My ERA has gone up more than half a run over the past month and the only guy I trust is Beachy. I did all my homework this year, using all of the sabermetric stats and so far I have a handful of busts on my staff. I’m done paying for starting pitching. Shoulda known better.

    Comment by MikeInNJ — June 14, 2012 @ 10:43 pm

  31. I’ve always appreciated these mid-season rankings list, but this article isn’t helping anyone win their league or even offer a semblance of real baseball knowledge. The Cain/Kershaw snub is egregious… “Kershaw hasn’t been anywhere as good as he was last year”. You cannot be serious… how about you watch a baseball game before posting this filth.

    Comment by something blue — June 15, 2012 @ 12:07 pm

  32. Kershaw was pretty mediocre during the 1st half of last season until he became historically great in 2nd half. We have a good 4th years of sample size of Clayton Kershaw and he’s just much better in the second half of the season. Lower WHIP, ERA, xFIP, SIERA, etc. I expect him to pick things up soon as we get into July.

    Also, in your last ranking he was a top tier pitcher. Has that much changed in ~90 innings to alter your opinion in him? Cain should also be in the 1st tier.

    Comment by Mr.Man — June 16, 2012 @ 3:08 pm

  33. anthony bass? hes like cory luebke but just not near as good?? seems a bit off

    Comment by brett — June 16, 2012 @ 6:03 pm

  34. Wow….all I can say is, starting pitching is incredibly deep. So many guys who could put up gems.

    Comment by R M — June 18, 2012 @ 2:12 pm

  35. He also said Lynn hasn’t been striking anyone out. Well, a he……a kind……. of has a k/9 near 10…….

    Comment by mattmatt — June 18, 2012 @ 3:55 pm

  36. “Dickey has pitched better than this ranking, I will cop to that, but “knuckleballer” and “consistently excellent production” aren’t exactly synonyms in my book just yet. The longer he makes hitters look positively foolish the way he is now, the higher he’ll rise on this list.”

    How high do you have him now, Mr. Wade?

    Comment by dannyrainge — June 18, 2012 @ 9:31 pm

  37. Check out Mike Leake’s splits…

    OBP decreasing steadily, babip steady, k/bb rate up, Xfip on the way down

    If you redid these rankings today would you move him up to tier nine? Miley’s obviously going up despite the statistics…his controlled pitching is phenomenal.

    Comment by G Dome — June 20, 2012 @ 11:01 pm

  38. I’d like to play in your Fantasy league, if this is how you would value available pitchers!

    Comment by bensomi — June 22, 2012 @ 2:39 pm

  39. Ouch.

    Comment by Steve — June 23, 2012 @ 2:14 am

  40. Worst list I’ve seen on this site by far. Wow. Wandy in tier 9? Behind Zito?! Hahaha

    Comment by Steve — July 27, 2012 @ 10:47 pm

  41. looks like you ranked Vogelsong around 43rd among NL starters? come on.

    Comment by oops_ — August 12, 2012 @ 3:51 pm

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