Roto Riteup: May 2, 2016

Today’s Roto Riteup has an NFL Draft theme…

On the agenda:

  1. News from Rehab
  2. Various News and Notes
  3. Streaming Pitcher Options

News from Rehab

Yu Darvish pitched well in his first in his first rehab assignment at Double-A Frisco. Darvish pitched two scoreless innings striking out two and only walking one. Reports were that he hit 97 mph and threw a nasty breaking pitch. He is currently on track to return before June.

Henderson Alvarez threw four shutout innings for High-A Stockton. He allowed only one walk and one hit during the outing. He is expected to pitch at Triple-A Nashville on Thursday and could return to the Athletics before June.

Shin-Soo Choo is progressing and hopes to begin a rehab assignment sometime in the next two weeks. Currently he is on track to return in mid-May, which would force the Rangers to make a roster decision on what will be a crowded outfield.

Pirates GM Neal Huntington said on Sunday that Jung-ho Kang will play two out of every three games once activated from the disabled list. Kang has started playing in back-to-back games in his rehab assignment, but considering Pittsburgh’s depth in the infield they do not need to overdo it with his return.

Various News and Notes

According to Jon Heyman of MLB Network, Tim Lincecum will hold a showcase for interested teams on Friday in Scottsdale, Arizona. Reportedly, at least 20 teams have expressed some level of interest and it is an #EvenYear, so you never know…

Michael Foltynewicz will be recalled to start monday night for Atlanta. Folty, who was considered a top 100 prospect last season, has pitched well in Triple-A Gwinnett. While his long term future may be in the bullpen, the Braves are willing to give him a shot to show that he belongs in the rotation.

Angel Pagan left Sunday’s game with a mild hamstring strain. While the injury does not appear to be serious, with Joe Panik already day-to-day with groin injury, the Giants could be forced to make a roster move to have some depth on the bench. Mac Williamson would most likely be the first up from Triple-A Sacramento.

Streaming Pitcher Options

If you enjoy streaming pitchers or play DFS, tune into the Roto Riteup for recommendations each and every day.

A pitcher for today: Jon Gray @ SD (James Shields)

Jon Gray throws hard and hopefully his secondary stuff plays up better away from home. I’ll take a shot in a two-start week away from home and in pitcher’s parks. High Risk/High Reward!

A pitcher for tomorrow: Nicholas Tropeano @ MIL (Junior Guerra)

He is not in a great park, but gets to pitch against an awful team in the Brewers and the pitcher hitting.


Roto Riteup: May 1, 2016

Today’s Roto Riteup celebrates the return of a staple.

On the agenda:
1. Fun with arbitrary endpoints
2. Various News and Notes
3. Streaming Pitcher Options

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Bullpen Report: April 30, 2016

Zach Britton left a tied game with a lower body injury and took the loss. Britton struck out the first two batters he faced, and then left the game after Adam Eaton bunted towards him. Vance Worley came in to replace Britton and gave up the inherited run with two walks and a single. We don’t know the severity of Britton’s injury yet, but certainly monitor that situation moving forward. A potential replacement if he were to be shelved for any time would probably be Darren O’Day, who earned his first blown save of the season. O’Day pitched the 8th gave up three hits including a three-run homer by Todd Frazier.
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Roto Riteup: April 30, 2016

Today’s Roto Riteup is ready to embrace the end of NFL Draft season.

On the agenda:
1. Michael Fulmer’s MLB Debut
2. Sean Manaea’s MLB Debut
3. Various News and Notes
4. Streaming Pitcher Options

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The Daily Grind: DFS, Streaming, and More for April 30

Agenda

  1. SaberSim Week
  2. The Daily Grind Invitational and Leaderboard
  3. Daily DFS
  4. SaberSim Observations
  5. Tomorrow’s Targets
  6. Factor Grid

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2016 NL Starting Pitcher Tiers: May Edition

Can you believe we’re almost done with April? It seems like the season just started. I swear baseball weeks move 10x faster than winter weeks. Anyway, it’s time to check in on the National League starting pitchers. I didn’t do an official first run of tiers last month, instead letting my final rankings update serve as my baseline, but from here on out I will be updating monthly per usual.

The release of Drake’s fourth studio album today gave me an easy theme for the May tiers, though I obviously need more than four tiers so I’m including some mixtapes and collaborative albums to get us to eight. They’re just in order of how I like them so “Views” comes in last just because I’ve only listened to it three times so I don’t really have a feel for it yet. I think first impressions with albums are kind of worthless.

I can’t tell you how many times I hated something on first listen only to love it two weeks later after another 10 spins. With due respect, I don’t care what you think about Drake in this particular forum (btw, that probably reads as more aggressive than I’m intending… I’m just saying, it’s tangential to the piece so let’s not get too hung up on it). I know some people don’t like him. I don’t like some music that others love. That’s just how it works. Comedy and music are two subjective arts that I finally stopped telling people how they should feel about once I realized that not everyone had to like what I like.

Let’s get to the pitchers!

If You’re Reading This It’s Too Late

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#2xSP: 5.2-5.8

UPDATE: Ricky Nolasco is starting Sunday and is no longer eligible. We’re rolling with Chris Tillman (v. NYY, v. OAK) instead.

The torrid pace with which we’ve started the season has tempered. Like a step dad, I’m not exactly mad about the early-season results, just disappointed. Here’s where we are through half of Week 3:

6-6 record
4.00 ERA
87.2 total innings
8.3 K/9
2.7 K/BB
1.36 WHIP

Here’s the link to the spreadsheet if you’d like to check it out.

On to this week’s recs (with opponents’ team wRC+ in parentheses):

RHP Ricky Nolasco – 9.7% ESPN – @HOU (108), @CWS (90)

It feels about as clunky as the George W. Bush “fool me once” quote, but Nolasco feels like a decent enough recommendation based on his solid start. Through four starts he’s got plenty of whiffs (7.8 K/9) especially compared to walks (1.0 BB/9), is inducing grounders at a rate he’s never come close to (48.7%), and in part is riding the wave of a flukishly-low BABIP to a four-game solid stretch to start the season. Still, I’m enthused by how he’s attacking the strike zone; his first-pitch strike rate of 59.4% is his highest as a Twin, and his 51.3% zone rate is the highest he’s had since 2008. He’s healthy and he’s finding the strike zone with so-so stuff, propped up by a pretty good slider. He’s not a mixed-league year-long difference maker, but if that’s what you’re looking for you’re in the wrong place. I think he’ll give you enough in the short term here; I also think that’s what the Twins are hoping for between now and say a certain date in late July…. Read the rest of this entry »


2016 First Base Tier Rankings: April Edition

So a month has gone by since I tiered the first basemen for the preseason, which you can check out here:

2016 First Base Tier Rankings: Preseason Rankings

I tried not to be too reactionary by making massive changes unless somebody has garnered more playing time than expected, or suffered an injury or lost their role. In other words, my list is similar to my initial one since one month is not enough of a sample to make significant changes.

In honor of the NHL playoffs and my love for the New York Islanders, I have ordered my tiers by the players with the highest points per game in Islanders history. I welcome and encourage all feedback, but do note that these are subjective and still predictive in nature, as opposed to being reflective of one month. Enjoy!
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Let’s Build a Rotation

In Ottoneu, like any fantasy format, small sample sizes to begin the season drastically impact the standings. The team with the worst pitching in your league has probably allowed more homers than expected. While the team in last place has likely has pitched the fewest innings. It’s easy to blow off these types of starts due the unsustainable performances that aren’t likely to continue (or to front-loading innings). I thought it would be fun to take a different approach today. So let’s play a game…

The rules: Pick 5 SP, total salaries for this rotation of $30 or less based on Ottoneu average values (round up $1 dollar). No picks with an average salary over $12. Arbitrary limitations, I know.

The goal: Build a 5 man rotation assuming you can bank all points that have occurred thus far with the goal of accumulating the most Fangraphs points by seasons end. Let’s make some picks.

Name Avg. $ % Owned P/IP FPTS IP K/9 BB/9 HR/9 ERA FIP
Drew Smyly so far $9.00 99% 6.21 178 28.2 10.36 1.57 0.94 2.51 2.80
Drew Smyly ROS $9.00 99% 4.93 601 122 9.52 2.56 1.11 3.28 3.50
Season Total 5.19 779 150 9.68 2.37 1.08 3.14 3.37

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Random Thoughts: Ottoneu, Tout Wars, Deep Prospects

Ottoneu Lineup

Here is a simple rule for daily lineups with game played limits:

If a player isn’t playing that day and you don’t need the games, move him to the bench.

I lost a game a few days back when a player who I knew wasn’t playing, hit for one at bat. It was for my utility slot which I can easily fill over the season, so I probably lost a few at-bats.

Boring Team

One fun part of a fantasy baseball auction is the ability to get the players an owner wants. Just like everyone else, I have my favorites. The problem is others like these players and they end up coming at a premium price.

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