Something to note: Doubront came out averaging about 92 w/ the FB this season but saw his average fastball velocity climb up to the 93-94 range throughout June into early July. It’s tough to argue for capping his innings or that he may fade if he’s actually getting stronger throughout the season. Hopefully the ~92 FBv from his first post ASB start is just rust from the layoff.
Comment by Scott Clarkson — July 19, 2012 @ 3:02 pm
Doubront worries me. I keep feeling like he is more of a sell, than a buy, but my pitching blows and I’m not going to be able to do much better. His K rate is down a lot since his June 13th start. Lefty in Fenway is more often than not going to give up a HR, so I think I side with his FIP more than his xFIP, at least for his ROS results.
I imagine his role is somewhat questionable for next season as well, depending on how he finishes out this one, as I’m sure the Sox will be looking to revamp the rotation in some way.
So…. both buy and sell. Or neither. He’ll be good, but then again, it’s possible that he’s not actually gonna be good. Gee, thanks for the tremendously helpful article. I’ll be sure to both buy and sell Doubront at the same time.