I think Bill James’ projection was based on something very simple, which was noted in the article: FB%. Take a look at the FB% leaderboards, there is a strong correlation to ISO there. Instead of just relying on regression, James used known strong skills correlations to peg the power increase. I was surprised to read how down on Reddick Red Sox fans were at the end of last season, because the few times I saw him last year I was really impressed. He had already improved his approach immensely before he got to Boston. My only question would be is he able to get the BA up in the near future, or is a low BA, high ISO guy who he is?
“Over 3 MLB season he had only 403 PA’s and hit .278/.332/.500 with 10 HRs. Not exactly numbers that will win a fantasy title.”
Am I misreading something, or is there something wrong with these numbers. By my count, Reddick’s best year in all three triple slash categories was 2012’s .280/.327/.457. Considering he put up a sub-.210 OBP over his previous two years before that, I don’t think those were his career MLB totals.
Comment by AlecTrevelyan006 — August 14, 2012 @ 1:03 am
Comment by Jeff Zimmerman — August 14, 2012 @ 10:03 am