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  1. There should totally be an xBABIP stat based on Speed, LD%, GB%, and FB%.

    Comment by Thomas — August 26, 2012 @ 10:36 am

  2. How long has McCann been playing hurt?

    Comment by majnun — August 26, 2012 @ 11:14 am

  3. Dunn’s low BaBIP can also be attributed to him hitting into the shift so often. The Dunn shift has taken away at least 20 would be hits if fielders were in there normal position. One could say that he should try hitting the ball the other way more often but that’s really not his game and would probably take away from his home runs. I can deal with the low AVG as long as he keeps hitting 40-50 HRs a year and walking 100+ times which I don’t think think are unrealistic expectations for Dunn.

    Comment by MattM — August 26, 2012 @ 3:32 pm

  4. ” I can deal with the low AVG as long as he keeps hitting 40-50 HRs a year and walking 100+ times…”

    This is just funny because Dunn has hit more than 40 HRs only once. The rest of the time, it’s pretty much been exactly 40.

    Comment by delv — August 26, 2012 @ 9:04 pm

  5. Dunn’s BABIP probably fluctuates so much due to small sample sizes. With all the home runs, walks, and strikeouts, he’s really only putting a handful of balls into play each year.

    Comment by Jon L. — August 27, 2012 @ 1:52 am

  6. Don’t forget that it should also take into account bunting tendencies, IFFB% (and really HR/FB% with HR distances to estimate if some HR should have been in-play outs, and vice-versa), not to mention whether a player is likely to face a shift and hit “in-play” balls off the Green Monster or the like that will always yield a 1.000 BABIP.

    I have to image this sort of thing is what in-house stat guys have built for MLB teams… but even better, since I’m sure there are publicly-available factors I’ve missed in addition to proprietary information they have at their disposal.

    So it’d be a huge mess to do properly, but it seems like a good xBABIP model that would output to every FanGraphs player page (or whatever site) would be a huge hit — I’m really surprised it hasn’t happened already.

    Comment by ralph — August 27, 2012 @ 2:43 am

  7. He didn’t have enough ABs to qualify for the companion piece… but on that end of the spectrum is Pedro Ciriaco. He’s up to an absurd .431 BABIP.

    Comment by ralph — August 27, 2012 @ 2:47 am

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