FanGraphs Fantasy Baseball

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  1. Awesome! This was my comp in the chat. The numbers are even more similar than I expected.

    Comment by Alex — August 27, 2012 @ 3:44 pm

  2. Are the numbers really that similar when one player has almost equal counting stats with close to 20% fewer PAs? Seems like player B would add about 8 HR, 30 RBI, 40 R and 7 SB in his next 300 PA, which would equal the 1840 PA player A has.

    Now the comparison is 40 HR vs 48 HR, 20 SB vs 31 SB, 204 R vs 246 R, and 179 RBI vs 191 RBI. Clearly there is a better player in Player B.

    Comment by James — August 27, 2012 @ 4:33 pm

  3. Excellent points, but my question is who are Player A and Player B? These are not career stats for Gordon and Markasis, who both have many more plate appearances than this. Is it the past three seasons? Surely I am missing something here.

    Comment by Paul — August 27, 2012 @ 6:27 pm

  4. man coulda sworn I wrote that somewhere. Yeah, last three years. updated the text. I think James overstates the difference. If you look at their peripherals, the similarities hold, and health is a skill, most likely, so I’ll stand behind this comp.

    Comment by Eno Sarris — August 27, 2012 @ 6:37 pm

  5. I do agree with the comp, but only because of the parks they play in. If Gordon played at Camden Yards the homer numbers would be much higher than last season. He’s scared of the dimensions at the K and has now completely bought into being a gap/high avg. hitter.

    Comment by Paul — August 27, 2012 @ 9:50 pm

  6. Alex Gordon is who we thought they were.

    Comment by IronyMan — August 28, 2012 @ 9:59 am

  7. It seems weird that Markakis is only 4 months older than Gordon. Amazing what an earlier start to a MLB career can do to perceptions of a player.

    Comment by Robert J. Baumann — August 28, 2012 @ 10:31 am

  8. ENO -

    Sure health is a skill. But Gordon didn’t have fewer PA over the past 3 years because of health, he played part of 2010 in the minors. That accounts for the 300 PA difference.

    Also which peripherals show that the similarities hold? I think you’re dismissing my point without actually looking at the comp. I don’t have a dog in this fight, I just think comparing two players with differing PAs and pointing to how close the counting stats are seems like really shoddy analysis.

    Comment by James — August 29, 2012 @ 5:02 pm

  9. James, there are a bunch of words around the chart. In them, you’ll find that these two players have very similar ISOs, Speed Scores, and surrounding offenses. They both have good plate discipline, make good contact, and have good line drive rates most years. It’s not just the counting stats, that was step one.

    Comment by Eno Sarris — August 29, 2012 @ 5:05 pm

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