FanGraphs Fantasy Baseball

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  1. i’m surprised you haven’t brought in any of the new fielding dependent stats to help look at these. weaver specifically was discussed in those articles, but here he is again with nary a mention.

    Comment by fang graphs — September 17, 2012 @ 9:08 am

  2. Is there a list of every pitcher and their SIERA rankings from high to low/low to high and a breakdown of who is over/under performing?

    Comment by Ryan — September 17, 2012 @ 10:23 am

  3. Lohse has done this the last 5 years he hasn’t been hurt, hellickson has done it every year he’s been in the league and weaver has done it 4 straight years, before this year harang had dome opposite 4 straight years. Based on that this method dosen’t really seem helpful. Matt Cain is not impressed.

    Comment by jesse — September 17, 2012 @ 10:36 am

  4. From what I understand, UZR doesn’t include any play that has a shift present. Also, the rays have been using the shift a lot this year from what I remember. Do you think UZR may be shorting the rays this year?

    Comment by Dan — September 17, 2012 @ 10:53 am

  5. From what I understand, UZR doesn’t include any play that has a shift present. Also, the rays have been using the shift a lot this year from what I remember. Do you think UZR may be shorting the rays this year? ======= w/w /w.gocntrade.c /o/ m =======

    Comment by wanzivuj — September 18, 2012 @ 11:35 am

  6. How many IP would Weaver have to pitch at this rate before it would no longer be considered “luck”? We’re talking 60+ starts in the last 2 years, and 128 in that 4-year period you mentioned. What else might it be? (I’m not being coy or sarcastic; just seems like there could be something else at play.)

    Comment by IanKay — September 28, 2012 @ 12:42 am

  7. LOL, This has got to be the most ridiculous assessment of starting pitching I’ve ever seen.

    Apparently you don’t watch baseball.

    Comment by EliK — September 28, 2012 @ 1:56 pm

  8. Weaver is the NL’s Matt Cain. It’s been a fun easy profit for years, and even now, you don’t have to crazy-pay for him in most leagues.

    Comment by lester bangs — September 28, 2012 @ 4:46 pm

  9. I will say this to every person who relies on statistics for Hellickson, don’t bother. The only test that mildly works is the eye test. Even then you’ll be a bit confused. The guy creates consistent weak contact off the bat and when people get on base, its as if he wills the inning to an end without much damage if any. He’s an absolute fascinating pitcher to watch. You don’t even have to wait to watch him pitch next(his next start is the last Rays game), just take a look at his highlights on the MLB website. Those videos are littered with weak contact. And then just imagine the weak contact happening in those videos happening every game, all the time.

    He’s confusing and yet simple. Don’t bother delving deep into his statistics to try to “figure him out”. Keep it simple with Hellickson. The only thing that makes sense is “weak contact”. Stick with that for now on.

    Comment by Roy J — October 1, 2012 @ 4:28 am

  10. Exactly. There are some pitchers who control quality of contact and/or sequencing more than normal (which is near zero). Hellickson has had a long enough career to establish that he is one of these rare pitchers.

    Comment by MP — October 3, 2012 @ 5:18 pm

  11. So many people think these pitchers are overvalued, that they’re really undervalued now.

    Comment by Travis — October 4, 2012 @ 9:05 pm

  12. Hellickson’s K%, BB%, and GB% all took a step in the right direction this season. His HR/FB% went in the wrong direction. I still look at this year as pointing to positive. But I’ll also admit that I’ve been a Hellickson owner since he made his debut so maybe I’m impervious to the negative.

    Comment by gorillakilla — October 8, 2012 @ 2:32 am

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