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  1. Not sure I’m going to give you much credit for the Prince one as bold. 30 is well within the error bar of a 33 projection. He averaged 35 the last two years, so moving to the much tougher league and learning new SPs & parks made it pretty easy to see him knocking 5 off of that average. You got the prediction right, but it really wasn’t all that bold. 25 or lower would’ve been.

    Additionally, a lot of your others were far more bold (Gio, Ubaldo, Carp) which helps make the Prince one look less bold by comparison.

    Comment by Paul Sporer — October 2, 2012 @ 11:34 am

  2. Prince is legit, and I’ll spot you Ike Davis, but I think you can book Adam Dunn as the Comeback Player, since he was so incredibly appalling in 2011 (-3.0 WAR) and actually good in 2012 (1.9 WAR).

    Comment by Cookierojas16 — October 2, 2012 @ 11:48 am

  3. Even when I get one right, I really get it wrong…sad…

    To be honest, I hear what you are saying about 33 vs. 30, but when I socialized this back in spring training, I did so by offering an over/under of 30.5 to a number of intelligent baseball people…and every single one of them took the over. To me, that made this pretty bold. Of course Prince could go out and hit 3 tonight and 2 tomorrow and make this all moot.

    Comment by Chad Young — October 2, 2012 @ 12:33 pm

  4. I screwed up by including an award in the prediction here. In spirit, I think this was right on, and I should have stated that Morneau would bounce back and provide legitimate value, as contrasted with many other folks saying he would play like 25 games and no more.

    That said, while I don’t think Morneau will get this award, I think he is a better candidate than Dunn. Past winners have almost all been returning from injury or off-the-field issues, not just being horribly terrible baseball players for a year. In 2008, Cliff Lee and Brad Lidge both won without injury as the primary thing they came back from, but that has been the exception.

    Comment by Chad Young — October 2, 2012 @ 1:44 pm

  5. I cut Gio! Granted that was only this morning to pick up a streamer for tomorrow, but still technically a victory! The best kind of victory!

    Comment by Pumpkin — October 2, 2012 @ 2:05 pm

  6. You really went out on a limb for many of the 6 you got wrong. I give you credit for Prince-Ike-Morneau-Rosario. Of the ones you booted, Weaver-Wilson isn’t so bad based on WAR. Carp and Raburn were huge question marks, so I don’t think it’s a big deal you missed on those, but the Gio and Ubaldo misses are HUGE!!!

    Comment by NBH — October 2, 2012 @ 9:06 pm

  7. Morneau can’t really be considered a win, because of the OTHER comeback players who were better.

    Rios was my preseason pick (over even Dunn.) I think he’s earned it.

    Comment by Mario Mendoza of commenters — October 3, 2012 @ 4:58 pm

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