I have to agree with you Howard. Medlen is the easy pick, but I think you’re right in that Gomez’ turnaround was more pronounced. Medlen probably gets some extra oomph since he was likely the key part of the Braves making it to the post-season.
I picked up almost all of these guys in my low-traffic league (added Medlen, Craig, Wainwright, Gomez and drafted Weeks and Zimmerman) but my best buy-low guy was probably Encarnacion. It was a shallow league, but it wasn’t a shock to find him on the wire in April based on his inconsistency. By August, he was Can’t-Cut.
Comment by dougiejays — October 10, 2012 @ 2:18 pm
In other news, I’m an idiot.
Comment by dougiejays — October 10, 2012 @ 5:32 pm
I understand Medlen, but how come no votes for his teammate Mike Minor who dropped two full runs off his season ERA with his nearly as dominant second half?
First: Because Minor was not dominant. He had elite ERA and WHIP post-ASB but meanwhile went 6-4 and posted ~7.5 K/9, about league average. He did not have a double-digit strikeout game all season.
Medlen went 9-0 post ASB and <1 ERA, which was beyond elite, it was otherwordly, and broke Bob Gibson's record from the 1960s. He had ~9 K/9 and posted games of 12 and 13 Ks in September, i.e. in the fantasy playoffs.
Second: Minor was on people's radars, especially in keeper leagues. He had a guaranteed rotation spot, very recent top-25 prospect status, and is a lefty in the NL. This very site, quoting xFIP, had Minor pegged as a "sleeper." He therefore was a popular mid-round pick and you likely didn't luck into him. Correspondingly we had some expectations for Minor so when he started slowly, owners hung onto him just in case he picked it back up–we'd seen plenty of Minors before–and sure enough he did acquit himself. Conversely, Medlen likely wasn't drafted in any league except maybe TJ survivors only leagues and sat on waivers 'til he found himself taking Hanson's spot, at which time the savvy among us took a "flier" on him. He was on virtually nobody's radar and all you had to do was drop a dead-weight (like my Freddy Garcia). So, if he had put up the exact same stats as Minor post-ASB, he'd still be the better value and perhaps still first in Turtle Award [TM] voting.
Comment by Papa Tootski — October 12, 2012 @ 1:56 pm
i’m taking a gamble on gomez.
carlos gomez hit 19 HR in just 435 AB. i see this guy as a 20HR/30+SB guy, yet he’s valued at 0$ on rotochamp?
plus with that lineup and the possibility of PED’s being shared in that clubhouse, this guy is a sort of sleeper. look at his age too, he is just coming into his own. silly to base average and such on what he did before hitting a physical stride. this guy was traded for johan santana. he is skilled, very fast and now suddenly strong. he is Drew Stubbs/BJ Upton but with a .020 higher average. most underrated player in rotochamp rankings. he will score significantly more R and hit for a higher average than suggested here. he will also hit a few more HR, all while stealing 30+ bags with ease.