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  1. Hosmer tore his rotator cuff in the last game he played, on September 27. He didn’t play with it.

    Comment by geo — October 17, 2012 @ 12:18 pm

  2. He did injure his shoulder early in the year – first week of play, but there was seemingly no further discussion on it

    Comment by Bill — October 17, 2012 @ 1:04 pm

  3. As Bill chimed in below, yes, Hosmer did injure his shoulder early in the year, but it was, more or less, overlooked. When they found the tear in his rotator cuff at the end of the year, they speculated that he had been having a problem for some time as the damage done looked more like it was over time than just a one swing rip.

    Comment by Howard Bender — October 17, 2012 @ 1:22 pm

  4. There might be reasons for his BABIP implosion, rather than just chalking it up to luck. If he can’t beat the shift, he’ll look like Mark Teixeira, unless he has totally forgotten how to hit for power, in which case he’s worthless.

    Comment by Oliver — October 17, 2012 @ 1:26 pm

  5. I’m really surprised more players don’t bunt when the shift is on. It’s not like Hosmer’s Ted Williams or Barry Bonds.

    Comment by Ivan Grushenko — October 17, 2012 @ 9:44 pm

  6. Where exactly did you get the .300/20-25 HR “best-case scenario”?

    Comment by theeiffeltower — October 17, 2012 @ 10:35 pm

  7. Well, take his numbers from his rookie season, extrapolate that into a full season. Doesn’t seem too ridiculous to me.

    Comment by Caleb — October 17, 2012 @ 10:55 pm

  8. Hosmer will figure it out, gold glove defense and a fixed shoulder, he gonna givekc years of all star type numbers, Hosmer is am old school gamer he wil figure it out.

    Comment by dan — October 19, 2012 @ 4:35 am

  9. Thank you, thank you for not saying “chomping at the bit”. Oh, and good discussion of Hosmer too.

    Comment by MikeP — October 19, 2012 @ 6:31 am

  10. IMHO, there were a confluence of things that caused this year. In no particular order:
    1) Took too much hitting advice from too many “experts”, including Alex Rodriguez. His head was spinning like mine on the golf course. Swinging a golf club or a bat requires a “quiet” mind.
    2) He may have fragile confidence, having confronted very little slumps before.
    3) SHOULDER issue almost certainly was worse than perceived. His issues began right after the early season injury and never subsided. Up until that injury, he was ripping up spring training, etc.
    3) Pitcher’s found a hole? BUT, more likely found that certain pitches resulted in likely outcomes on the shift – hence the bad bapip.

    Comment by Bill — October 20, 2012 @ 9:11 am

  11. Yeah, perfectly reasonable to take a guy’s rookie numbers, extrapolate them over a full season, and call that his ceiling.

    Comment by theeiffeltower — October 24, 2012 @ 11:19 am

  12. Take off his xbh, and reduce the # of abs accordingly. Hosmer hit .229 singles in 2011, and hit .173 singles in 2012. So, Hosmer’s lack of power can be explained by the shoulder, and he topped that off with really bad luck on balls in play( singles, not D&T ). It was the perfect storm of lousy. Provided the shoulder is sound, which isn’t a given at all, he could be close to where he was the year before.

    Comment by steveb — January 20, 2013 @ 10:30 am

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