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  1. I’ll be looking at him late in standard drafts, if I miss out on other SS targets. A lot depends on where he hits in the lineup however. Assuming the Reds get a leadoff hitter, he could slide into the 2 hole being followed by Phillips, Votto, Bruce, Ludwick (or other), Frazier and Mesoraco. Of course, if he struggles he could be dropped to 7 or 8 with Frazier taking the 2 spot or just moving the line one higher, with Phillips hitting second, and that would kill his R/RBI. Let’s just say he improves his BABIP to .310 and slightly improves his walk rate to 6%, that would move his avg to .275 and OBP to .330, that’s pretty comparable to Frazier so I don’t know, I think there is a lot of risk here counting stats wise. The difference in R between the 2 hole and 7 hole could be 20-25?

    Comment by Bill — November 6, 2012 @ 11:52 am

  2. If you’re looking for the standard 2nd half improvement for a youngster, you won’t find it by looking at the 1st half/2nd half split because of a horrible July and him being limited in action in September. However, he had a great month of August, 5 home runs, to go with the much easier to handle .267 BA. While he didn’t show the power in his limited September ABs, he continued to hit for a better avg, .275, and showed an improved OBP, .326. I’d say those last 2 months support the bad luck argument, and a .270 BA is close to what you can expect this year, making him a potential bargain. I’d rank him 17th among shorstops, ahead of guys like A. Simmons, E. Cabrera, and J. Lowrie.

    Comment by sgnthlr85 — March 6, 2013 @ 3:59 am

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