#2xSP: 5.9-5.15

I’ve been asked a couple times in the last few weeks and I finally got around to figuring it out, so here we have it — the current results WITH quality starts included:

10-6 record
3.33 ERA
8.2 K/9
3.0 K/BB
1.26 WHIP
12 quality starts

This was a tougher week to find guys to recommend. A lot of the guys I liked on Tuesday starts — Adam Conley, Juan Nicasio and even maybe Colin Rea — early in my research were busted by off days later in the week. Anyway, here are this week’s recs (with opponents’ team wRC+ in parentheses), so hit me with your questions and qualms in the comments below:

RHP Jose Berrios – 38.8% ESPN – v. BAL (112), @CLE (100)

I realize we’re still in the midst of the Berrios hype train, so if he’s not available in your league — and given the comments I read on Twitter from fantasy owners, I think he still could be — my next pick was going to be Dan Straily, who gets the Pirates at home and the Phillies on the road for the Reds next week.

The stuff has been good for Berrios — 13 strikeouts in 9.1 innings — but the command has been spotty. It was probably somehow more true in his first start where he walked two batters than it was when he walked five Astros last time out, as his since-demoted catcher John Ryan Murphy was actually ejected in the middle of a plate appearance for arguing how badly the strike zone was being called that night. Opposing starter Dallas Keuchel seemed to agree. Anyway, Berrios showed he had a sense of humor on the next pitch, as he threw an identical curveball for a called third strike with new catcher Kurt Suzuki back there.

This’ll be a big week for the young righty, as both of these offenses are solid. If it was the O’s in Camden Yards I might have skipped him altogether, but at home I think he’s got a fighting chance to get a win/quality start. Read the rest of this entry »


Players I’m Buying in Ottoneu

As we mentioned on a recent episode of OttoGraphs, May is traditionally the month where contenders and re-builders start buying and selling with gusto in ottoneu. With that in mind, I want to highlight a handful of players I would be looking to acquire as a contender and with a look to the future, specifically in ottoneu points leagues (although most of these players offer value in the rotisserie leagues as well).

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Stock Rising: David Hernandez, A.J. Reed and Derek Dietrich

I was beaten to the punch on Jesse Hahn by colleague Rylan Edwards earlier this week. I’ll second Edwards’ endorsement of Hahn, and he also highlights Henderson Alvarez as a viable deep league add. Like Hahn, Alvarez is a low punch-out pitcher, and I’ve opted to highlight a high-strikeout reliever who will help pick up the slack for the starting pitcher duo. Joining the reliever is a minor league first baseman whose path is looking clearer every day and a Swiss Army Knife whose ownership is criminally low. Read the rest of this entry »


Field of Streams: Episode 151 – Live With Alex Chamberlain

Episode 151 – Live With Alex Chamberlain

The latest episode of “Field of Streams” is live!

In this episode, Dylan Higgins and Brad Johnson are joined by Alex Chamberlain in a live recording to discuss the unfortunate Garrett Richards news, theories on statistical regression, Dylan not being up on Scooter Gennett’s status, loving Jonathan Villar, an overload of good pitching options, Mark Trumbo’s interesting matchup, Drew Pomeranz as the ultimate fade, a tough day for Field of Streams picks, Alex’s obscure Twitter handle, and The Daily Grind Invitational.

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Play

The Daily Grind: DFS, Streaming, and More for May 6

Agenda

  1. Join Our Live Video Podcast
  2. The Daily Grind Invitational and Leaderboard
  3. Daily DFS
  4. SaberSim Observations
  5. Tomorrow’s Targets
  6. Factor Grid

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Roto Riteup: May 6, 2016

I wish I could give each and every one of you one of these. Happy Friday.


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Bullpen Report: May 5, 2016

Somewhat quiet night on the bullpen front tonight…

Luke Gregerson certainly did not look great tonight, coughing up three runs in a tie game and talking the loss. With the outing, the righty’s xFIP climbed to a palatable, but less exciting 3.16 on the young season. While the Astros’ closer hasn’t really hasn’t been striking too many guys out (20% K%), he has been inducing ground balls at a Zach Britton-like rate (71%) which is one of the reasons both xFIP and SIERA seem happy with him in the ninth inning. His closest competition likely remains Ken Giles, who didn’t have a great outing himself today. While most folks have jumped ship on Giles and his 9.26 ERA, it’s worth noting that he’s off to a pretty unlucky start, with a .382 BABIP and a 61% strand rate. His fastball velocity is right where it was last year, and it’s not like he’s walking a ton of guys. Unfortunately, he seems to be pretty far away from save opps right now, but I’d hold in deeper leagues — the rates should be back soon enough.

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MASH Report (5/5/16)

• I may be reading too much between the lines here, but I don’t expect Jung-ho Kang to be playable in mixed leagues because of a lack of playing time when he returns. The Pirates have said that he won’t play more than two days in a row.  Also, I think there is a decent chance he gets sent to the minors to continue his progress. Here are the quotes which I make my stance on.

Saturday is the final day of Kang’s 20-day rehab assignment with Triple-A Indianapolis. The Pirates essentially have three options. They could choose to activate him and add him to their roster this weekend in St. Louis. They could pause his rehab assignment and resume it shortly afterward, resetting that 20-day clock. Or they could activate him and option him to Triple-A to get more playing time.

The Bucs are mulling over those options, head athletic trainer Todd Tomczyk said Wednesday, but they remain encouraged by the third baseman’s progress.
……
In 13 games with Indianapolis, Kang has hit .150/.217/.225 with four walks and nine strikeouts. He’s taken 40 at-bats, nearly reaching the threshold of 45-60 that the Pirates set for their players in Spring Training.

Over the past two weeks, Kang has played on back-to-back days before taking a partial day off to pinch-hit or come off the bench to play defense. General manager Neal Huntington recently said Kang likely will continue on that schedule when he returns to Pittsburgh.

Devin Mesoraco is going to be out for a while with a torn shoulder labrum.

After he missed most of last season with a hip injury, Reds catcher Devin Mesoraco is now facing the specter of losing most of 2016, too. On Monday, Mesoraco was placed on the 15-day disabled list with another serious injury — a torn labrum in his left shoulder.

Surgery is a possibility, which would mean Mesoraco would miss the rest of the season.

I would expect nothing from him this season even if he comes back. I would begin now looking for other options at catcher if you rostered him.

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Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat – 5/5/2016

Thanks for coming out! Back at it next week.

1:44
Paul Sporer:
1:44
Paul Sporer: Let’s roll!!
1:47
einstein2u: thoughts on jesse hahn? was that gun running hot?
1:48
Paul Sporer: Readings seem to check out. I’d like to see more Ks, but talent is there
1:48
bob: Thoughts on Hearn 1b royals?
1:48
Paul Sporer: Who’s that?

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xOBA and Using Statcast Data To Measure Offense

For many years, I couldn’t wait to get my hands on batted ball velocity and launch angle data. When Statcast data became public last year, I wasted no time jumping in and playing around with the data. Last season, I began to develop a series of stats using information from Statcast, the fruits of which are what I call xOBA and xBABIP, with various spin off stats such as xRA (expected runs average for pitchers).

Over time, I hope to delve deeper into these stats, how I think they may be useful, and some interesting results I have found, but before all of that, I bet you’re curious how they are calculated.

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