ADP Crowdsourcing: Buster Posey

We resume our ADP Crowdsourcing series with a slightly different format, and with a pair of related players this week. This time we are voting on where you think the player will be drafted (just like before), but also where you would take him.

Two words: Buster Posey. One more word: NEXT. In case you don’t subscribe to ESPN: The Magazine and don’t know what I’m talking about, you can read Calcaterra’s small writeup on the matter, or read Buster Olney’s piece.

However crazy ESPN’s selection might be, Posey may well be the NEXT great fantasy catcher. It’s not real often that catchers get called up to the big leagues and put up impressive offensive numbers, but that’s exactly what happened in 2010. Posey hit 18 homers in about 400 at-bats to go along with a .300 batting average. Even if that line was over a full season, it would still be pretty darn impressive.

For the most part, Posey’s numbers look completely repeatable – and there is a category or two that he could improve on (mainly his walks) – but staying stagnant is not going to be enough for most fantasy owners out there. Because Posey will be 24 years old when the 2011 campaign begins, owners will probably be looking for some Giant improvements.

We are still voting on where you think Posey will be drafted by the average owner, but we’re going to take it a step further. We are also going to vote on where you would draft him, as well. Should make for good times. Also, please note we are using pick, not round this time because of Posey’s likely ADP. Below is a link to the voting form, and please read the wording carefully. For the voting, we’re assuming a 12-team standard league, using 5×5 scoring.

To submit your vote, click here.

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Zach is the creator and co-author of RotoGraphs' Roto Riteup series, and RotoGraphs' second-longest tenured writer. You can follow him on twitter.

11 Responses to “ADP Crowdsourcing: Buster Posey”

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  1. kirakillers says:

    Posey is a great player but he will be overrated in 2011 drafts. In addition, I consider that picking top catchers is not a good fantasy strategy. With Carlos Santana, a player with a greater potential IMO, going around 60-80 picks after Posey, I will end with the Cleveland catcher in the most of my teams.

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  2. STEALTH says:

    Picking an elite fantasy Catcher used to be more wise than it is now. Catcher, as a fantasy position, is gaining depth quickly, and so it would be wise to hold off until a significant drop-off, which will presumably be shortly after Napoli is picked.

    With Mauer, McCann, Martinez, Posey, Wieters, Santana, and Napoli, you can hold off for a while and still potentially draft an elite C.

    And no way will Posey go 60-80 picks before Santana in knowledgeable drafts.

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  3. rotologo says:

    While I totally agree that Santana is the sleeper here, I think all those guys have question marks.

    Mauer – are you getting what you have to pay for?
    McCann – can totally disappear for 3 months
    Martinez – getting older, park downgrade
    Weiters – still has a lot to prove (to me at least)
    Napoli – is what he is, can kill your BA

    Most teams I’ve had that finished well or won had a top catcher. But for me the holy grail is an everyday player who is C eligible. I just liked everything I saw from Posey and I can’t say the same about any of those other guys.
    – Derek

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  4. Joey says:

    I’d have to agree with Rotologo on this one.

    Mauer’s 2009 was a complete fluke (power wise) and he has a history of injuries. With Morneau’s concussion issues, Mauer’s stats could be further affected.

    McCann only scores 60-65 runs a year and his batting average and slugging has slipped the past 2 years.

    I am not a fan of Martinez from this point forward. Ball park/lineup downgrade, look at his home/road splits last year.

    Wieters has proven nothing.

    I would not like to own Napoli.

    .280 15 70/70….that’s Posey’s floor, he definitely be .300 20-25 80/90 in 2011, and that’s not even his ceiling.

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  5. Catcher says:

    He is the ladies man

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  6. mjk415 says:


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    • phoenix says:

      what about posada now that he is a DH? he will still qualify for C and he should be healthier when he is not catching everyday. he can still put up some good offensive numbers, especially in that lineup and ballpark. i mean i wouldnt be surprised to see him stay healthy as a DH and get 500 ABs, hit .270 with at least 20 homers and some healthy RBI numbers in that lineup.

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    • NBH says:

      Yeah – Soto is the sleeper. Not sure why anyone would take Wieters or Santana over a guy who had a .371 wOBA in 2008 and a .385 wOBA in 2010.

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  7. TheEdge8602 says:

    What I hate most about Buster Posey is people creaming the pants over his total season numbers. The guy didn’t play in the majors long enough for the grind to really get to him, plus he provided 3 months of below average offense and only one month of good value on offensse and happened to be probably the best month of baseball by any player last year.

    Basically Posey went on about a 20 day hot streak that influenced everything. Everyone wants to credit him with managing games when half the world knows that a monkey could “Manage” that staff.

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  8. Boomer says:

    @theEdge “Everyone wants to credit him with managing games when half the world knows that a monkey could “Manage” that staff.”

    Do you not recall Tim being in a major funk for most of the season? Buster helped get his mind right and snapped him out of that just in time for the playoff push. Madison is also a headcase.. But he worked with him a bit in the minors and is def a settling force. Theres a lot more to being a catcher than just catching a ball.

    The things that dont have stats are part of what set Buster above most catchers.

    That said, I dont know what to expect next year from him.. While he did have a run of some pretty awesome weeks last year, he was solid day in and day out once he got the starting job locked.

    “3 months of below average offense” ? I dont know what catchers you were watching… but his worst weeks were top 3 weeks among catchers leaguewide.

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