ADP Crowdsourcing: Cliff Lee

In today’s edition of ADP Crowdsourcing, we stay with the topical trend. We are using pick number instead of round again, so please vote accordingly.

We all knew that Cliff Lee was going to make a big splash in free agency, and that he would have a large and lasting effect on the teams involved. But, we all assumed those teams were the Yankees and Rangers, not the Phillies.

One of the good things about Cliff Lee returning to Philadelphia is that we already have a sample, albeit a relatively small one, in place. During his 80 innings (okay, you caught me, 79.2 innings) in the NL, Lee struck out over a batter an inning, and posted his best swinging-strike rate since his 52 inning year in 2003. His FIP was a tremendous 2.83, and we can all remember how dominant he was in the playoffs.

Lee is already 32-years old, and will turn 33 before the 2011 season ends. However, he does not rely on velocity, and his control appears to be the sharpest it’s ever been. The defense behind him will be more than adequate, especially in the infield, and getting to face pitchers once again will benefit his numbers. With all the free agency hype, will Lee’s value be overblown? Or could Lee actually be undervalued because of his lack of strikeouts? It’s your job to decide.

Below is a link to the voting form, and please read the wording carefully. This is not where you would draft him, but where you think he’ll be drafted in most leagues. This time around, we’re using pick number instead of round, as it works a little better for top players. For the voting, we’re assuming a 12-team standard league, using 5×5 scoring.

To submit your vote, click here. And while you’re at it, why not submit a fan projection for Lee by clicking here?

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Zach is the creator and co-author of RotoGraphs' Roto Riteup series, and RotoGraphs' second-longest tenured writer. You can follow him on twitter.

5 Responses to “ADP Crowdsourcing: Cliff Lee”

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  1. Sal says:

    This is a good one. I found it really hard to gauge just how high people will be on him next year. I was conservative but think there’s the potential that he could be anywhere from 4th to 8th pitcher off the board.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Scott says:

      I agree with 4th off the board. Halladay, Felix will definitely go before, but after that it gets a bit murky.

      Would I rather have Lincecum or Lee?

      Then the pitchers that come to mind are Josh Johnson, Wainwright, Jon Lester, CC, Kershaw. I think I’d take Lee over all those.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. The A Team says:

    This is a tough one, but picking the Phillies should help his fantasy stats.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. Pelican says:

    The top starting pitcher is almost always the most valuable player in MLB in a rotisserie format. Last year that was Roy Halladay, and second was King Felix. Their values were $34 and $31 respectively in 12 team 5×5 leagues. Hitters CarGo of Colo and Carl Crawford led their leagues with $27 values.

    How far below Halladay do you pick a left handed guy with a better WHIP who’s on the same team? Not far, in my book, and with wins as fickle as they are, Lee could easily be the most valuable player in roto in 2011.

    Who are this year’s top five starters? Halladay, Felix, Wainwright, Josh Johnson, Ubaldo, Jered Weaver, Jon Lester, C.C., David Price, and Cliff Lee are likely candidates. One of them is going to be worth more than any batter in either league. Doesn’t that make any one of them worthy of the 24th pick in this year’s draft?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. JoeC says:

    No. Picking pitchers any earlier than Round 5 is how people lose.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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