ADP Crowdsourcing: Matt Garza

In this week’s edition of ADP Crowdsourcing, we take a look at two players who will be affected by Matt Garza trade to the Cubs. Today we start with Garza himself, and are using rounds as our unit once again.

If you just watched Garza throw in a bullpen session, you may have reason to believe that he is a legitimate MLB and fantasy ace. However, you wouldn’t have much reason to believe that if you just looked at his numbers from the past three seasons in Tampa Bay. Garza is one of those starters who has good velocity on his fastball, and despite a fantastic slider, is unable to strike out as many batters as he probably should. Garza’s age-25 season in 2009 gave everyone plenty of hope, and his strikeout rate crept over the 8.0 per nine innings mark. But he returned to normal in 2010, striking out only 6.6 batter every nine innings.

Garza has become an extreme fly-ball pitcher over the past few years, and despite Tropicana Fields’ park factors, his home run rate is usually below average. Wrigley Field is not as forgiving, especially against left-handed hitters, so Garza could end up getting himself in a little bit of trouble this upcoming season. However, facing a pitcher or pinch-hitter instead of a DH and leaving the AL East should help mitigate his potential home run problems.

We are still voting on where you think Garza will be drafted by the average owner, but we’re going to take it a step further. We are also going to vote on where you would draft him, as well. Also, please note we are using round, not pick this time because of Garza’s likely ADP. Below is a link to the voting form, and please read the wording carefully. For the voting, we’re assuming a 12-team standard league, using 5×5 scoring.

To submit your vote, click here.




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Zach is the creator and co-author of RotoGraphs' Roto Riteup series, and RotoGraphs' second-longest tenured writer. You can follow him on twitter.


3 Responses to “ADP Crowdsourcing: Matt Garza”

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  1. PISTON HONDA says:

    round9-10 i would think. Just look at his numbers vs. New York and Boston alone. Hell… throw toronto and baltimore in there aswell. He OWENED the east. Now he goes to the NL Central. I think he’ll be pretty solid. Diet Matt Cain if you will.

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  2. West says:

    He didn’t come close to owning the east last year. He did in 2009 however to the tune of a approx. 2.70 ERA and 1.07 WHIP.

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  3. Sean says:

    I think Garza will move up in drafts because you usually anticipate improvement out of guys switching from the AL to NL, despite your well-stated reasons to be careful.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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