All Questions Answered Thread: March 13, 2014

Since tomorrow marks the beginning of a busy drafting weekend, many of you readers will have some questions you’d like answered. In an effort to help, I am giving you a chance to get your questions answered today.

All reasonable questions posted in the comments by 8:00 PM EDT will be answered. What makes a question reasonable? Glad you asked.

A reasonable question would look something like:
• “Who would you rather have, Matt Holliday or Shin-Soo Choo?”
• “Rank these five players: Martin PradoKyle SeagerAaron Hill, Chase Headley, and Jedd Gyorko ”
• “What is your projection for Mark Trumbo?”

An unreasonable question would be:
• “Who would you rather have, Albert Pujols or Adam Moore?”
• “I have these 20 players, and I’d like you to rank them.”

Of course there’s a gray area, but I’m a decent human being and will probably answer your question. Just please be gentle and don’t make the questions too time consuming or asking questions with 30 different parts.

You can ask about any relevant fantasy topic, from draft day etiquette to anything else on your mind, it will likely be answered. Or, you can ask random questions and I may answer those, too, if I’ve had enough to drink.

So, let’s get to it! Any questions?




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Zach is the creator and co-author of RotoGraphs' Roto Riteup series, and RotoGraphs' second-longest tenured writer. You can follow him on twitter.

488 Responses to “All Questions Answered Thread: March 13, 2014”

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  1. PWR says:

    I believe for your player values you devalue SB, esp vs HRs? This has changed over time but now in most leagues, I notice that HRs far outweigh SBs, making the latter more valuable to me? Given the way the league has changed now, aren’t SBs more valuable?

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      I don’t value or devalue anything. If SBs are becoming more scarce, than the values will reflect that.

      For example, Jose Altuve gets a much higher rating this year than I would be comfortable with, mostly because of the SB value he provides.

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      • PWR says:

        I thought in your recent calcs you had a HR more valuable than a SB yet in most leagues, SB are more scarce. Is that incorrect?

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      • Eno Sarris says:

        Zimm had a really interesting point last night that if you use SGP instead of RL you see that something like 50% of SBs go undrafted but more than 3/4 of homers get drafted. I thought that was interesting, but it would suggest that SBs are even more scarce while being valued less at the same time…

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      • Zach Sanders says:

        SGP makes me sad.

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  2. Simon says:

    Dybasty league. $260 cap, 14 teams, some inflation but not silly. I have won Mat Latos for $14 and Corey Kluber for $3. The way the league works is you choose a contract length at the auction price for between 1 and 5 years, and then you can’t cut them, so the only way out of a bad contract is to trade it. How many years should I give to Latos and Kluber?

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    • NCPhilly says:

      I had a mis-impression of Latos that he is injury prone. I’m not sure where that came from, as he has four straight years of 184+ IP, increasing every year with the last two years being 200+ IP seasons. That being the case, and since he is only 26 this year, I think he is worth a 5 year contract at that price. He’s no scrub either, posting solid strikeouts and slightly better than a 1:3 BB:K ratio.

      Kluber: on the one hand, he looks like another master of control, and the price is very attractive. He just doesn’t quite have the track record yet. At $3 a year, the investment is tiny but the potential payoff is quite excellent, so I would sign Kluber to a 5 year contract as well.

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      At those prices, I would give both Latos and Kluber a 3 year deal. If Kluber were younger I’d go the full 5, and Latos is worth locking up for a few years.

      Unless it was someone like Jose Fernandez or Danny Salazar, I wouldn’t want to go a full 5 years for a SP. Too much risk involved.

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  3. sukjo says:

    cool initiative, thanks! starting at pick 97 in a 5×5 roto draft, I am seeking a 1B then SS. Would you rather take Rizzo (Yahoo! rankings suggest he will be available) plus B. Miller at the end of round 10, or E. Cabrera followed by J. Abreu?

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    • Ben says:

      if u currently have more speed than power, then rizzo side. if u are lacking in speed, everth side

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      • NCPhilly says:

        I agree with Ben that if speed is a real need, then you probably have to go with the Everth side. I’m not an Everth fan (his track record, his low batting average, his injury history). He’ll hurt you in other categories as much as he will help you in SB. He’s not worth the draft position in my opinion. I’d go with the Rizzo/Miller side. Rizzo and Abreu are project for similar power numbers, but Abreu might hit for a higher average (can we be sure?). Miller looks like a good value with a combo of speed and power: well balanced and an excellent fallback SS for a 5×5 league. Maybe you can grab guys like Villar or Rajai Davis later if you feel like you need to catch up in SB.

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      Depends on your needs, but probably Cabrera/Abreu. More upside in the counting stats.

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  4. Mike says:

    Aside from those coming off injury, name the five players that will have the largest increase in home run production over last year.

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  5. peteo says:

    Couple of ranks:

    Best Keeper value in a new keeper league (keep for up to two more years):

    K Davis
    A Garcia
    Brantley
    Eaton
    K Calhoun

    Most likely to produce value in 2014:
    Springer
    Buxton
    G Polanco
    M Franco
    J Baez
    A Russell
    Singleton

    Thanks, Zach!

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    • Eno Sarris says:

      If you only get them two years I’d take the guys who are going to help right away. Davis and Calhoun for me, despite being older. Eaton over Calhoun is defensible. Garcia has great long term upside, but will he hit it so soon?

      Second list, Polanco. Russell is a Lowrie injury away too.

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  6. White says:

    I’m in a league where we are able to horde prospects in our minor league systems. Could you rank these prospects based on fantasy value:

    Kris Bryant
    Jonathan Gray
    Maikel Franco
    Albert Almora
    Eddie Butler
    Carlos Rodon

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  7. Vic says:

    Please rank for MLB value next 4 years….Dahl,Betts, Almora, Mondesi Jr.

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  8. Vic says:

    Here are 5 relief pitchers I am targeting in a deep league. Black, Allen, Storen, Capps, Kintzler. Add 5 more to consider please.

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  9. Cuck City says:

    Would you keep a 2nd tier Closer for $1 of 260 budget (4 keepers total)?

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  10. Roby says:

    Which pitcher would you value more long term in a 5×5 league, Tyson Ross or Ivan Nova?

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  11. Taylor says:

    12 team H2H pts League, auction draft with $260 budget. Calculating a points over replacement level using projections, looks like SS is the one position you can acquire at a lower cost, ie Dozier for $3 vs. Spending $28 on Hanley. Good approach or is another position deeper?

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  12. Lex G says:

    Better season this year….Fransico Liriano or Andrew Cashner?

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  13. Kris says:

    Probably only going to keep for this year: 11th round David Ortiz or 3rd round Pedroia

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  14. dennis says:

    Ryan Braun or Bryce Harper? What’s the earliest a reasonable person could draft either of them?

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    • NCPhilly says:

      I don’t think it is unreasonable to draft either of them between the middle of the first round and the end of the first round, passing over guys like Chris Davis and Troy Tulowitzki, even Adam Jones. Both are great options but the two players might be on different trajectories: I would take the riser in Harper.

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      Late first for both, I suppose.

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  15. bkgeneral says:

    How many starts do you project Kevin Gausman for this year?

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  16. M@ says:

    $270 budget for 33 players. Is $44 for Cargo too expensive?

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  17. M@ says:

    8×8 H2H League with power cats added (OPS, TB, K/9…). If top 4 go as projected, who would you take #5?

    I’m hesitant on Cargo because of injury in H2H. Everyone from 5-16 has big question marks, though.

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  18. Matt says:

    Keeper is Miguel Cabrera. Traditional 5 categories + OPS. Who do you take with your first pick — Hanley Ramirez, Troy Tulowitzki, or Joey Votto?

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  19. Paul D says:

    Is it crazy to draft Kimbrel in the 6th round of a 12 team mixed league? I just want to draft an elite closer and then forget about it, and with his Ks I think he’s worth a 6th or even 5th round pick.

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  20. Greg says:

    Trout or Cabrera in Head to Head Points League (2 matchups per week)

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  21. Drew says:

    Choose 2: Darvish, Sale, Desmond, J. Bruce
    Choose 2: AGon, Holliday, Bogaerts, M. Carpenter

    10-team, H2H, Scoring is non-traditional (R, HR, SB, AVG, OBP, SLG / QS, BB, K9, SV, ERA, WHIP)

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  22. Jay says:

    Carlos Correa or Xander Bogaerts

    Which one has better upside?

    how do you project each for ROS?

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  23. JT says:

    In a 12 team mixed keep-forever dynasty league in which depth isn’t an issue, did I overpay for Mike Trout in giving Bruce/Bogaerts/Soler/a pick? It’s rare to get a chance at top talent for a package at this point in a season, so I pounced, but that felt high.

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    • NCPhilly says:

      I don’t think that is a high price to pay for the top fantasy baseball player, who should remain in that position perennially. Bruce is good but has his warts, Bogaerts might be a first rounder some day but when and can we be sure? Soler is unproven. I think this is a good trade for you. It makes your team better now, and you cannot win a future year’s championship this year.

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      Depends on where the pick is, but the player package seems like you got decent value.

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  24. DominicanRepublican says:

    In head-to-head leagues, one would have to assume that Danny Salazar has a lower value simply based on the fact that he likely won’t be pitching for your fantasy team in the playoffs (limited innings). How do you like to factor this in when creating auction dollar projections in a 20-team league in which it’s difficult just to make it into the playoffs? Thanks!

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      Less innings means less chance to add value. Simple as that, no need to make it a different calculation.

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      • A Hunter says:

        Not that simple. This is a H2H league, not a Roto. If you can make the assumption that you’re a playoff team, then production over the last 3 weeks (playoff weeks) are infinitely more valuable than any previous production.

        I would still draft Salazar where you see his value (ignoring the playoff weeks), but keep it in the back of your mind that you will trade him off and he will NOT part of your playoff roster.

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  25. Jeff says:

    What would be your top ten for a 5×5 obp league? Thanks

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      Reg 10
      Mike Trout 1
      Miguel Cabrera 2
      Paul Goldschmidt 3
      Clayton Kershaw 4
      Robinson Cano 5
      Andrew McCutchen 6
      Max Scherzer 7
      Yu Darvish 8
      Chris Davis 9
      Jason Kipnis 10

      But I’d put Votto in there instead of Kipnis.

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  26. Walker says:

    Your z-score method of generating auction values changed my life. Well, as much as fantasy baseball can. For a H2H daily lineup league, I’ve found equal utility in generating fVAR for per-PA stats alongside counting and PA-weighted stats. In fact, I take the average of the two auction values, which tends to bring big call-up players and part-timers closer to replacement level.

    However, I’m a little concerned that the sum of players with positive auction values add up to far more than my league’s total budget. What would you do to address this, if anything?

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  27. Eminor3rd says:

    ESPN 5×5, $265, 9 Pitchers, 5 OF, keep 4.

    Inherited a very bad team, so I need everything. Would you rather keep $1 Alexei Ramirez or $6 Wil Myers?

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  28. ithrowplastic says:

    What are your projections for Grady Sizemore?

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  29. luis says:

    I’m in a 20 tan dynasty league. have to submit my keepers tomorrow. I need speed and Gordon looks like he’s going to be starting. should I keep him over Jared Cosart? I have Kluber, Skaggs, Straily, Minor and Cingrani as starters now.

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    • NCPhilly says:

      You have a ton of pitchers, and Cosart doesn’t seem all that special and worth adding to your pitching keepers, in an already deep position. Gordon appears to be the lead candidate at this moment for the Dodgers 2B job, so I’d keep him and hope that he performs well enough this time to keep his job and contribute in SB.

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      No need for Cosart with the depth that you have.

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      • luis says:

        we keep 20 players. I’m in year 3 of a total rebuild. my keepers are: W. Rosario, J. Montero, C.Davis. Rizzo, M. Adams, Wong, Aybar, J. Baez, Moose, Cecchini, M. Davidson, Eaton, Bradley Jr, Dickerson.

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      • Los says:

        Just to chime in but I would think J. Montero is an easy drop there.

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      • Luis Espinoza says:

        I hear what youre saying about Montero, but I think there’s too much upside there in a dynasty league. He’s not worth much right now, but if he turns things around with his hitting ability, he’ll be worth a lot. If it was a re-draft league, I wouldn’t go anywhere near him. I’m afraid someone picks him up and then I regret it. That’s how I ended up with Chris Davis. Someone gave up on him, and I picked him up. He’s pretty similar to Davis in the sense that he was a universal top tier hitting prospect but took some time getting used to major league pitching.

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  30. Matt says:

    Last keeper in 12-team, 12 keeper lg: Billy Ham, Matt Moore, or Matt Adams?

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  31. brooklyn says:

    12 team, mixed, points keeper league.

    We can keep up to 5 keepers if we choose for our 1-5 draft picks. I have Goldy, Cutch, Adam Jones as 1, 2, 3.
    Am considering keeping Ryan Zimmerman, Kenley Jansen, and Matt Kemp as 4 and 5. Any thoughts? One or two or none of those guys?

    Thanks

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  32. Tony says:

    How has Dickey’s knuckleball velocity looked so far this spring? If he can sling it at 76-78 will we see something closer to 2012 than 2013?

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  33. Ben says:

    i have picks 15,16 in a 5×5 h2h. i already have goldy and freddie keepered. should i go for Kipnis and ________. or two differnt players. maybe longo?

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    • NCPhilly says:

      At 15 and 16 I think Kipnis is an excellent grab if still available. He could be a 25/25 guy in your middle infield. For pick 16 looks at outfield: in some mocks I see Braun slipping to here. If no sure-fire stud OF is available at that pick, snag Longoria or Beltre or Hanley Ramirez if they are still on the board.

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      Kipnis works nice in your setup.

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  34. Slamhole says:

    What does Gallardo’s velocity look like this spring?

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  35. RollTribe says:

    in a league where Mauer is C eligible, what number pick or round would you target him?

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  36. Javen says:

    How many starts does Alex Wood make this year? Does he finish the year in the bullpen? Thanks!

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  37. E says:

    Who are some SPs who may become valuable RPs this year?

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  38. Brick says:

    In a 10-team roto keeper league, would you rather have Hosmer or Pujols. I feel Hosmer is being overrated. Is it because of his power potential or because he is one of the few 1B who contribute SB.

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    • NCPhilly says:

      Hosmer is on the rise, while Pujols is on the decline. Hosmer does contribute the rare HR+SB combo. If he develops more HR power, he approaches Goldschmidt territory. While not likely that he will be as valuable as Goldschmidt (certainly not this year, except maybe in points leagues that penalize batters for striking out), at least there is potential there.

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      Hosmer, for both reasons. He’s well-rounded.

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  39. Roger says:

    Rank for 5×5 roto dynasty: Cameron Maybin, Josh Reddick, Leonys Martin, Khris Davis, Marcel Ozuna, Lorenzo Cain, Junior Lake.

    Some context if it matters: My team is young overall, and the OF is my last obstacle to competing. I have Oscar Taveras and Gregory Polanco in the upper minors. My infield is Sal Perez/Wilson Ramos, Hosmer/Goldschmidt, Kipnis, Simmons/Bogaerts, Rendon, so there’s a mix of power and speed but no burner.

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    • NCPhilly says:

      If you want speed, some measure of future security, and to aid in competing this year (as you should since the rest of your roster looks quite stacked) the only name on that list that I would consider is Martin. He should hit for average, steal plenty of bases, and score runs, especially if he ends up at the top of the Texas order.

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      • Roger says:

        I’m looking more from the perspective of who to cut as I draft. I know one of Abreu or Tanaka will be there for my first pick, and after that I may be scrounging for saves. (With 1B, INF, and UTIL spots, I can start 3 1B at a time so Abreu makes sense even with Hosmer and Goldschmidt present.)

        After Martin they all have some upside with a good bit of risk, so I’m having trouble prioritizing who to cut.

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      Davis, Lake, Reddick, Ozuna, Martin, Maybin

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  40. Jim says:

    There are many who predict that Rex Brothers will take over the closer role by midseason. However, Brothers is arbitration eligible in 2015, and I am concerned that Colorado will limit his save opportunities so that they will be in a position to sign him for less money.

    Agree or disagree:

    Rex Brothers will be given a few matchup-based save opportunities, but will remain in the setup role all season, unless LaTroy Hawkins either implodes or gets injured.

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  41. O says:

    Is Younder Ventura worthy pitcher in a slighly deeper mixed 10 team? Post draft and thinking about using a waiver claim.

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    • NCPhilly says:

      No – I think he is a fringe option in 12-teamers, and not worth a pickup yet in 10-teamers. Right now he is all hype, but doesn’t have the track record or play for the team to justify dropping anyone of value for him at this point. I don’t see him projected as being a game-changer type that would make it worth trying to get ahead and claiming him now.

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      If you hear he’s won a rotation spot, and you need SP, then go for it.

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  42. GoRox says:

    In a 10-team H2H categories league that counts both saves and holds as separate categories, with most teams probably carrying 5-6 relievers, do you take relievers earlier than standard leagues? Does your valuation of standard relievers vs. starters change?

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  43. Tom says:

    In a dynasty league who would you rather have (no inflation) Machado or Bogaerts?

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  44. Jon says:

    If Carlos Martinez had a guaranteed rotation spot, where would he place in SP rankings and around whom?

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  45. twm says:

    Oh my goodness, such a nice endeavor…thanks!

    In a head-to-head keeper league, where this year’s performance is slightly more important to me than keeper value, how do you rank Kazmir, Porcello, Gausman and Bundy?

    Thanks again.

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  46. hobbes020 says:

    15 Team Mixed-

    What is the latest round you would wait to grab your first SP at maximum?
    Is an ‘ace’ required to realistically compete?

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  47. Highway61* says:

    H2H, with OBP and SLG: Braun or Votto in the 1st? Longo or Stanton in the 2nd?

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  48. Bob says:

    I play in a 5×5 roto keeper. Please rank these pitchers: Tanaka, Teheran, Salazar, Shelby, Moore,Shields. Thanks

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  49. David says:

    seeing wide variation in PA projections for Mike Napoli — 600 on PECOTA, 472 on Steamer. Makes a big difference for all his counting stats, including of course HR. Is reality likely somewhere in the middle, or do you favor one or the other end of those ?

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  50. Sloppy_Joe says:

    Is Mark Reynolds going to be a startable 3b option for a NL only league?

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  51. Joe says:

    Who hits more bombs- Khris Davis or Chris Carter.

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  52. theMANzalone says:

    Batting in front of Trout, is it completely unreasonable to project an 85 run floor out of Kole Calhoun?

    If you had to pick one catcher to just plug into the slot and forget about for the rest of the year out of Ramos, Montero and Gomes, who would it be?

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  53. Mad Monk says:

    Who will win the Rangers closer job? If it’s Feliz, will 94 mph be enough to be a decent pitcher?

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  54. Lenard says:

    Who is your daddy and what does he do?

    Or: Which two would you drop of Morrow, Odorizzi, Mejia, and Skaggs?

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  55. G Mendel says:

    Any concerns on Choo’s elbow? Cortisone shots in March are worrisome…

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  56. Garys of Olde says:

    Assuming Cabrera and Trout go 1-2, who would you go with for the 3rd pick? OBP league.

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  57. stuck in a slump says:

    What’s your projection for Schoop? Will he be fantasy relevant this year?

    Also, is Odor a decent keeper in deep leagues? Do you see him getting traded to net Texas some SP help?

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  58. BeckhamsTears says:

    I dont have a lot of time for researching players. I’ve chosen to draft hitting based on value in the auction, wRC+ and expected playing time. For pitching, aside from auction value and playing time, what 1 or 2 stats do you recommend I focus on?

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  59. ncb says:

    Carlos Gonzalez or Jose Altuve?

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  60. Dirksen says:

    Thanks for this -14 team OBP 1 catcher league, please rank: Wieters, Montero, Martin, Castro, Salty

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  61. JJBellomo says:

    14 Team Ottoneu FanGraphs Pts. League

    Pitching Staff
    Cashner
    Corbin
    Hamels
    Miley
    Santana

    Outfield
    Holliday
    Bruce
    Rios
    Aoki
    Crisp
    Gattis (also using as 2nd catcher)

    Only taking into account this year; would you spend a large chunk of my money on a big name Pitcher (Verlander, Tanaka, Cain) or big name OF (Braun)?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  62. Glenn says:

    Please rank these three SP’s for this year only:

    K.Gausman
    Y.Ventura
    M.Pineda

    thanks

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  63. Danny says:

    6×6 keeper league (4 keepers) with OPS.
    Should I trade away Stras and Segura for Edwin Encarnacion? I’ve already got Votto, Prince and Matty Carp.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  64. Lily says:

    Really like Baez. Is there any chance he could be up by all star break or breaks camp.Play in keep four, twelve team roto..would you suggest picking him up this year? Possible top 48 by next year?

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    • Roger says:

      I like him, but that’s too aggressive. Expect AA/AAA time this year with good shot at breaking camp next year. Expect an adjustment period when he makes it. Top 48 from 2016 on.

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      Jesus you really do love him. Don’t expect much of anything from him this season, even if he does come up to bigs.

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  65. Metsox says:

    I recently signed Medlen to a multiyear extension in a dynasty league (pre-injury of course). What chance would you give of him ever effectively starting a game in the Majors again after two TJ?

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  66. theojd says:

    5×5 12 team roto keeper league with 5 OF, 1 CI, 1 MI, 1 Util
    Can keep 8 players. Lock keepers are
    Trout
    Bautista
    Kipnis
    Pence
    Verlander
    H. Bailey

    Choose two out of this group:
    Hamels
    M. Carpenter (2B, 3B elig)
    Craig (1B, OF elig)
    Alvarez

    Thanks

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  67. Eastern NC says:

    6 keepers: take six hitters or do we need a pitcher here?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  68. John says:

    NL only 13 team, 2 catcher league. Standard roto. $270 cap

    Would you keep Russell Martin at $14? As it stands now (roster freeze is next weekend) only Lucroy and Ramos are available that are be better than Martin.

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  69. Adam says:

    League with 5 cats + OPS and FPCT. Please rank Wright, Longoria, Stanton, Puig.

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      I’m going to ignore the dumbass FPCT and say Stanton, Puig, Longoria, Wright.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

      • Jay29 says:

        It is a dumb category but you shouldn’t ignore it. I definitely would be playing as many DHs and OFs as I could fit into my lineup. If Zobrist is SS eligible and ends up playing RF for the Rays, he might be the friggin’ fantasy MVP.

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      • Jay29 says:

        OK maybe 1Bs would be better than DHs since a DH would be a 0.00 z-score and a 1B would be very, very high due to easy putouts.

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      • Jay29 says:

        (Last comment: a 3B-eligible, 1B-playing Miggy is pretty insanely valuable too. Probably the easy #1 considering Trout won’t touch the fielding chances Miggy will get.)

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  70. Kam says:

    Hey Zach! Thanks for doing this. How would you rank Hutchison, Baker, Alvarez, Doubront, Cahill and De La Rosa for this season?

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  71. Dalman says:

    AL only minor league draft. Top 50 prospects per fangraphs all owned so we will be choosing from 50-100 and anyone not on the list. College and overseas players are eligible. How fast would you grab Rodon? Anyone else worth considering? Perhaps Trea Turner?

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  72. Rick says:

    In a dynasty league with deep benches, but with prospects taking up roster spots, is Alfaro worth hanging holding onto?

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  73. Thomas says:

    How much value do elite closers have in k/9 leagues? I typically don’t value closers highly but in my keeper league I have a chance to grab Greg Holland with an early pick and I’m wondering if this is wise. I could go with a guy like Alex Gordon, Ortiz or Jordan Zimmerman instead.

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  74. Dance king says:

    Better AL keeper auction draft strategy to get a good deal on Jose Abreu… Throw his name out first while better corner infielders are on the board (and so teams may temper bids to get
    a better guy), or wait as late as you can
    For his name to be called and hold on to enough auction dollars to win him?

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  75. Paul says:

    At 2B: Gyorko or Aaron Hill?

    At 3B: Gyorko or Sandoval?

    Thanks!

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  76. I’m picking sixth in an 8-team keeper/dynasty roto league (first year of the league). Uses AVG and OPS. Assuming Trout/Cabrera/Goldschmidt/McCutchen are off the board at 6, how would you rank Kershaw/CarGo/Harper? I’m guessing I’ll be picking between those three.

    Also another question for the same league, how early in the draft should I feel comfortable taking guys like Xander or Profar?

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  77. Potato Cannon says:

    How would you rank these young endgame AL only starters, best to worst in a redraft: E Johnson, Carrasco, Hutchison, Maurer, Gibson, peacock, Keuchel?

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  78. RustyPlanert says:

    6×6 (remove BA ad OBP & SLG | Remove wins and K’s, add IP, QS and K/9). I can keep 4 of the following:

    Yasiel Puig
    Aroldis Chapman
    Cliff Lee
    Jean Segura
    Jose Bautista
    Manny Machado
    Shin-Soo Choo
    Wil Myers

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  79. John says:

    I’m hungover and the cafeteria at work is out of pancakes. Should I get eggs benedict or a loaded omelette?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  80. Rags says:

    NL-only roto keeper league, inflation at auction is probably 20-25%. I’m keeping Kershaw, Wainwright and Tyson Ross already for $54 of my $260.

    If I can’t find a trade partner, is Minor worth keeping at $19?

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  81. Cody says:

    What is your most optimistic and most pessimistic projections that are also realistic for Yasiel Puig with my league’s hitting categories barring injury: R, HR, XBH, RBI, BB, SB, and AVG? Thank you in advance.

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  82. Mix says:

    Hi! Thank you so much for doing this thread.

    What are your thoughts on going after players with a history of injury like Jason Heyward, Albert Pujols or Matt Kemp? It seems like there is the potential for having either a terrific season or wasting a pick. I’m leaning away from taking the risks, but at some point these players will need to be drafted. Are there any in-draft tactics that helps you decide?

    It’s a bit of a philosophical question! Thank you for the advice.

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      I think there’s a big difference between guys like Heyward/Kemp and Pujols.

      If they’re young, it more worth it. But in the case of someone like Pujols who has had injuries that in the past he’s played through and now are taking him down as he ages, it’s not a great gamble.

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  83. ch3cooh says:

    Is it wrong to coach a team who’s facing a team you don’t want to face in the playoffs? Maybe to suggest to them two-start pitchers or hitters they should swap out?

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  84. sds says:

    25-team mixed dynasty league. You have topper rights ($1 more than winning auction bid) on any player you don’t keep. Let’s say another team has Ryan Braun, who can be kept at $38 this coming season. With inflation, I’d say he’s worth at least $40. But Braun’s suspension (and relatively poor performance) last season may drive down his price at auction.

    Under the circumstances, would you target Braun in trade (a) with the intent to keep him at $38; (b) to use your topper rights on any bid below $40; or (c) not at all?

    Hope this is a reasonable question! Thanks. sds

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  85. Chris says:

    Hi Zach and thanks for your time answering all of our burning questions.

    I am in a 14-Team H2H points keeper league where keeper position is determined by where the player was previously drafted with yearly adjustments for inflation.

    I am in a position to keep 2 out of the following 3 SPs and I was wondering what pair of pitching dudes you like heading into this season, with a possible eye towards long-term keeper consideration:

    Corey Kluber (21 round [last round])
    Michael Pineda (21st round)
    Jeff Samardzija (13th round)

    Thanks again!

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  86. Gavin says:

    I’m in a league that allowed draft picks to be traded last year, so a few other teams have a ton of early picks. I have almost all normal draft picks except I’m missing my 3rd round. I have 12th pick in a snake draft. I have to strategies to take make up the gap with the teams with insanely good draft picks: Draft more upside than normal and wait even extra long on SPs. However, since I’m waiting on SPs, would it be a good idea to take 2 closers in a row with the 12th pick of the 5th round and the first pick of the 6th? Assuming all closers are on the board, which two would you take?

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  87. Lo Pan says:

    6×6 league with OPS and Holds as the added categories. 1 Util spot, no MI or CI. Must keep 10 players, and we can keep players forever with no cost or penalty. Pretty sure I’ll be keeping Pedroia, Bogaerts, Wright, Braun, Ellsbury, J.Upton, Kershaw, and Wainwright.

    Who would you pick for the last two spots? Pujols, Kemp, Hamels, Bailey, or Springer?

    Thanks.

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  88. reliefpitcherhelp says:

    10 team H2H league with daily changes, max 10 starts per week. Pitching categories are W, K, WHIP, ERA, SV, and HD. There are 3 RP slots, 3 SP slots, and 2 flex P spots, plus bench positions. I have three questions.

    1) Do you have a good method for projecting holds? Steamer and ZiPS don’t do it.
    2) Do you have any recommendations for how to value closers relative to set-up guys?
    3) Does it make sense to target RP that are also SP eligible and use 6 relief pitchers on a daily basis?

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  89. Jeff says:

    Standard 5 x 5, 12 teams, keep 7 players. Keeping five hitters plus Gray. Keep Scherzer at $17 or D Robertson at $0 for final spot?

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  90. NicklePickers says:

    Is keeping Brian Roberts for $2, AL only OPB, ridiculous?

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  91. Joe says:

    Thanks for answering. Can you rank the following in terms of mixed league relevance this year: Straily, Kluber, Gausman, Cashner, T Ross? Also, who do you like most out of the second-year pitchers: S. Gray, G. Cole, Teheran, Salazar?

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  92. gnarls says:

    Should I keep Marte or Cole as a 9th rounder in my league’s snake draft? Already keeping Puig – league is h2h/5×5.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  93. scott says:

    First rd , 10th pick h2h keeper league. who do you take? Fielder or Braun?

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  94. Kevin says:

    Jarrod Parker top 25 pitcher this year? Increased k rate with his nasty changeup should happen!

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  95. scott says:

    10 keeper h2h league. when do you snag Abreu?

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  96. markjd says:

    4 players that WILL debut before September 1 that you would want as forever keepers. In order please. (I’m leaning taveras, Baez, springer, Russell.) Thanks.

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  97. apk says:

    I have the #1 pick in a 10 team 5×5 redraft snake. In my mock last night my pitching staff ended up as: Darvish, Strasburg, Cole, Cobb, Gray, Porcello, and relievers Nathan, Henderson, Hunter. I feel like I should be happy with this. Would that be a solid staff to start the year? What category should I be looking for on my bench?

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  98. Andrew says:

    Where/how can I find auction values on the site?

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  99. Alex G says:

    Danny Salazar and Andrew Cashner. Who is gonna produce better numbers this year? Thx Zach

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  100. Bichettes and Hoes that's where my money goes says:

    Dumpster diving in OF in a deep AL only… Please rank: Jd Martinez, kubel, Melky, Presley, ibanez, nava, urrutia

    Thanks so much!

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  101. Tracy says:

    I have a pleasant dilemma to start off. I am in a H2H 5X5 Keeper league using OBP and QS instead of AVE and W’s.

    We can have 7 Keepers and I can go in several directions:

    Hitters: McCutchen, Braun, Harper, Encarnacion, Kipnis, Bautista
    SP: Wainwright, Lee, Fernandez, Scherzer, Bumgarner, Verlander, Sanchez
    RP: Kimbrel, Chapman

    I would appreciate any thoughts you had on the choices. McCutchen, Harper and Encarnacion seem easy, but the rest are hard to pick without a clear direction.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  102. Zach Sanders says:

    Only took be 80 minutes to catch up this morning. The response has been overwhelming thus far, and I love it. I’ll be back in throughout the day!

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  103. weselm says:

    12-team, standard 5X5 roto league w/ MI/CI/5OF/9P and $260 cap. Which five would you keep? And are any of them worth keeping for more than one year at an extra $5 per year? Thanks!

    Jedd Gyorko $8
    Xander Bogaerts $6
    Rajai Davis $6
    Kole Calhoun $6
    Todd Frazier $6
    Danny Salazar $6
    Francisco Liriano $6
    Hyun-Jin Ryu $6
    Michael Pineda $6

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  104. thereal24 says:

    High risk, high reward question:

    In a roto league where keeps are forever, and hitters are ranked by RC and pitchers by W’s and league-adjusted ERA, who do you think has the greatest upside long-term: Frazier or Giolito? All three OF spots have to manned, and MiLBers can be held for no cost. Thanks!

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  105. benagain123 says:

    when is Matt harrison going on the DL? i needa stash

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  106. Edwin says:

    Posey or Rios as fourth keeper in a 12 team/1 catcher roto league? Or take a chance on B. Hamilton?

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  107. Pablo says:

    Long term do you see Gyorko moving back to 3B? If so, when?

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  108. willystarr says:

    Could you please comment on Khris Davis’s value in a dynasty? Should we trust the scarcely found elsewhere tool (The power), or should we worry that he’ll get exposed with more playing time, a la Brennan Boesch?

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  109. Middagh says:

    Shortstop: Simmons or B. Miller. Both can be protected for the next three years. Thanks.

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  110. Reggie Cleveland says:

    Taking Trout #1. Of these, who would you go with in rounds 2/3? (league is pitching heavy so I believe these will all be available)

    Encarnacion
    Beltre
    Pedroia
    Tulowitzki
    Harper

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  111. Middagh says:

    How would you rank these five SPs? P. Corbin, D. Straily, Ivan Nova, Alex Wood, Shelby Miller.

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  112. SheaSeraSera says:

    6th pick in a 12 team 6×6 snake (OPS CG’s are extras).

    Am I insane to like Harper with this pick? I think his upside makes it so enticing, especially with Davis, CarGonzo not jumping out at me in the moment. Byrce just strikes me as Griffey Junior and I want to be in on 93 like breakout from Byrce…..

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  113. Brain of G says:

    12-team auctioin, 6X6 roto (OPS, K/BB) league w/ MI/CI/4OF/9P and $270 cap. We keep 5 players. I already plan on keeping:
    Adam Wainwright $15
    Jason Kipnis $16
    Jose Fernandez $4

    I need to pick 2 more from this list:
    Brian McCann $6
    Jedd Gyorko $5
    David Robertson $4
    Trevor Rosenthal $8
    Andrew McCutchen $41
    Hyun-Jin Ryu $4

    I’m leaning towards McCann and Gyorko. What do you think? Thanks!

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  114. Joe says:

    Just wondering your thoughts on my last keeper, if that’s all right. It’s a 10 team standard 5×5 where we start C,1B,2B,SS,3B,OFx3,UTIL; we can keep any eight players.

    Right now I’ve settled on seven: Trout, McCutchen, Freeman, Wright, Machado, Jose Fernandez, Bumgarner.

    For my last keeper I can choose from: Aroldis Chapman, Greg Holland, Verlander, Cole, Kemp, Profar and Rosario.

    I was thinking Chapmsn just to give me quality guys covering most positions but was also thinking about Profar. Thoughts on the eighth? Swap out anyone from my seven? Thanks!

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  115. justin says:

    In a keeper draft (20tm, pts league) how you would rank these top available players:

    a. rizzo, j. abreu, d. salazar, m. tanaka, j. gyorko, b. miller, a. simmons.

    Sorry if that’s too many names.. i couldn’t see anyone who obviously needed to be left out.

    Awesome post!

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  116. GilaMonster says:

    . I’m in a 12 team H2H redraft where we use R,HR,RBI,OBP,SLG,NSB on offense. I tend to weight NSB down a bit because the close relation of the first 5 offensive stats. This has created an unusual problem I noticed when calculating value for positionally weighted z-scores. The drop off for certain positions has become rather extreme. For example, there is roughly a $20 drop of between Tulo($34) and Ian Desmond,which make sense because SS with power are rare and OBP skills. Roughly the same difference between a Goldschimdt/Davis/Votto and Rizzo/Abreu(which I have at $25ish). There is a big caveat though. This is a snake draft. How should I handle such a significant drop off? I know I should probably take the best player on the board,but if I don’t take a top tier shortstop, I’m not going to find anything close. The real problem is that I am picking fourth…An awful spot.

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  117. Ryan says:

    In an 10tm, NL-only, traditional scoring, would you rather keep Kolten Wong at $1 or Kershaw at $40?

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  118. Chiff says:

    I’m in a 12 team 6 keeper OBP league where each keeper is assigned a round based on their average draft position of the previous season. The majority of the keepers are top 100 players going into the new year.

    I have five solid keepers and the 13th overall selection in the draft. Would drafting Buxton, Baez, or Springer there be a smart decision?

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  119. Clayzay says:

    I’m looking for some keeper help. 10 team 6×6 league (OPS and QS), keep 4 with no restrictions. I am the champ, so I have last pick. Whoever I drop most likely will not make it back to me. Which 4 would you keep?

    Prince Fielder
    Bryce Harper
    Yu Darvish
    Adam Wainwright
    Jean Segura
    Eric Hosmer
    Jason Heyward

    Thanks for the input.

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  120. Elijah dukes up says:

    You’re the best for the help! Keeper question. 14 mixed league 5×5 25 man roster 250$ salary cap. Keep 7 w/some salary inflation. Keeping Tulo (18); Craig (7); Kipnis (14); Beltre (21); David Price (18); Kenley Jansen (4).

    Who gets the final spot:
    Brandon belt (6) or Desmond Jennings (13)?

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  121. Derek says:

    A couple of quick ranks …

    1B – Hosmer, Rizzo, AGon and Ortiz

    OF – Choo, Rios, Holliday and Pence

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  122. Alec says:

    In a 9-team NL-only 5×5 keeper league with 12 bench spots, is Vic Black worth keeping — I’d have him at $0 bc he’s still a farm player. I have Parnell, and think the handcuff is good, but there are a lot more players near him (Roark, JGray, Mejia) I think I’d prefer? Where do you put Black on that list?

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  123. Alec says:

    (basically the question is if Black worth a roster spot coming into the season)

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  124. WilyMoMania says:

    Who are 2 or 3 post hype sleepers your are all in on?

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  125. Jeff says:

    I have to keep 2 of the following Bauer, Cosart, Duffy or Taylor Jordan. Who should I keep?

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  126. Tom says:

    Keep 5 (no fees) standard 5×5:

    Puig, J Upton, Pujols, Scherzer, Kershaw, Segura, Hosmer, & C Gomez.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  127. Steve says:

    Mesoraco for $3 or D’Arnaud for $5?

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  128. Steve says:

    In 4×4 roto, what are approximate values for Pedro Strop and Carlos Martinez?

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  129. Bob says:

    5×5 h2h 10 team league

    I was offered hanley ramirez for ryan braun.

    Would you accept the offer?

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  130. Dingbat says:

    I’m finding myself coveting an unusual number of Padres hitters this year, namely Gyorko, Headley, and Venable. For their expected auction prices, they seem to offer huge values. Am I crazy? My league includes H & OPS in addition to the regular 5 hitting stats.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Zach Sanders says:

      Not crazy! I like Yonder and Denorfia, too.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

      • Dingbat says:

        To get more specific, the Padres scored 3.81 R/game in 2013 (7th-worst), and they’re projected to score 3.97 R/game in 2014 (5th-worst). Is there any reason to hope that these players might improve on the R/RBI totals they put up in 2013?

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      • Zach Sanders says:

        Full year of Yonder, Gyorko improving, Grandal and Everth being more present all helps cause. Headley could bounce back in contract year, as well.

        Vote -1 Vote +1

  131. Zeus says:

    I’m trying to start a roto league this year with some guys who aren’t very familiar with fantasy baseball. They are wanting to make it more like fantasy football with stuff like “how about a homer is 3 points and a strikeout is -1!” Is it cool for me to just say “hey we are doing classic roto whether you like it or not. try it and you will like it” or should I just go for a league wide vote?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Zach Sanders says:

      Points leagues aren’t bad if the settings are decent. Something like 1 point per Total Base, points for SB-CS, stuff like that.

      Or, install the SABR points setting and see how that goes. Tell them it’s traditional baseball points and see if they get into it.

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  132. Max says:

    Dynasty League, no restrictions. 5×5 w/ OPS instead of AVG. Best Keeper: Kemp, Hosmer, Donaldson?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  133. Chris says:

    First time fantasy player. 10-team roto league w/ 5 keepers, inherited a bad team. This is my SP lineup: C. Sale, M. Wacha, P. Corbin, U. Jimenez, E. Santana. I also have Porcello, Smyly, and Pineda.

    Did I screw up? (Apologies if this is an unreasonable question, feel free to disregard if so! happy friday!)

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  134. Richardo says:

    5×5 pick 3: Homer Bailey, Allen Craig, Ben Zobrist, Anthony Rizzo, Alex Gordon. TY!!!

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  135. Dingbat says:

    Jean Segura vs. Jose Altuve — position aside, what do you see as the relative strengths and weaknesses of each? I’m thinking that if you snag a cheap 2B/SS like Miller, Profar, or Lowrie then you could grab either one of these guys, and Altuve is cheaper so why not him?

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  136. Mike says:

    Better Oriole -man for this year: Till or Gaus? For next year?

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  137. chri521 says:

    Out of Schoop, Semien, Olt who would start opening day and what is their full year fantasy value?

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  138. Jim says:

    5×5 NL-only keeper league, my keepers are:

    Starlin Castro, SS
    Carlos Gomez, OF
    Michael Cuddyer, OF
    Aroldis Chapman, RP
    Homer Bailey, SP
    Andrew Cashner, SP
    Mark Melancon, RP
    Bobby Parnell, RP
    Jedd Gyorko, 2B
    Evan Gattis, C

    It’s a little pitching-heavy, so how long would you wait on SPs? I’ve targeted Samardzija, but do you think it’d be wise to instead wait on the Kennedy/Hudson/JJohnson $-values? And given the structure of my hitters, would you emphasize power or speed when the auction comes? Thanks.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  139. matlock says:

    which stat category do u prefer and why: Wins or QS?

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  140. brooklyn says:

    Thanks for this, guys!

    So: 12 team, mixed keeper points league.
    We can keep two “rookie” keepers at the back end of our draft (picks 24 and 25). I ‘m keeping Wil Myers, who should give amazing value for that late pick.
    But I have to choose between Travis d’Arnaud and Brad Miller for my other rookie eligible keeper.

    What would you do?
    Thanks again!

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    • brooklyn says:

      Forgot to mention: d’arnaud had only 99 ABs last season, so he is keepable for the next two years as a rookie (rule = 130 ABs).

      Vote -1 Vote +1

      • Roger says:

        I would go with d’Arnaud anyway, but I think this ought to seal it. Miller strikes me as pretty average for a fantasy middle infielder. d’Arnaud carries more risk but more upside too.

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      Brad Miller, and I’m going to say it’s not close.

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  141. Ken says:

    How far will Cano’s counting stats and slashline dip this year from his career numbers, playing half his games at Safeco?

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  142. Detroit Michael says:

    For 2015, which pitcher do you like better: K. Gausman (Bal) or Y. Ventura (KC)?

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  143. Fujikawa-Bunga says:

    What is your biggest positive note and your biggest negative note about Adam Eaton this year? (not a keeper league). Im especially interested in his SB upside – He stole 44 bases in the minors in 2011. How many SBs do you project this year?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Zach Sanders says:

      Positive: Could steal 30 bags with ease
      Negative: Better in OBP than standard

      Vote -1 Vote +1

      • Fujikawa-Bunga says:

        Thanks! I was a little scared of his very low # of attempts last year, but I’m glad you folks think a bounce-back in that category is within the realm of possibility.

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  144. BothDakotas says:

    1. Punting steals and saves in deep leagues, sound strategy or defeatist?
    2. Darin Ruf, how many at bats could you reasonably expect?
    3. How early is too early for Jose Abreu?
    4. Corey Dickerson, possible stealthy contributor, or is he left off the roster?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Zach Sanders says:

      1. H2H its fine, not in roto
      2. Dont know
      3. Round 6
      4. If he’s playing every day, I want him.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

      • BothDakotas says:

        Thank you so much for your ridiculously prompt response man!

        We do net steals/saves, it makes the fringe options in those cats even sketchier. Ruf gets on base and hits but there aren’t at bats for him right now, after Abreu there is a bit of a cliff at 1b. With Dickerson he just seems like a 5 cat contributor that could be ohsovaluable later on.

        In a 20 team league mixed, would you be comfortable hitching your catcher wagon to Dioneer Navarro/Yasmani Grandal?

        Carlos Quentin, where should I draft him? I have him ridiculously high on my board as of now

        Marcus Stroman/Brandon Morrow, who has more starts?

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  145. shaun carlo says:

    I’m in a 5×5 roto w/OBP instead of average. My no-brainer 1st round pick is votto should i miss out on trout/miggy/goldy. I’d rather be BOLD – how about Harper?

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  146. Asa says:

    Pick 3 keepers from the following (standard 5×5):

    > Prince Fielder (2nd rd pick)
    > Pat Corbin (13th rd pick)
    > Everth Cabrera (14th rd pick)
    > Anthony Rizzo (13th rd pick)
    > Jed Lowrie (22nd rd pick)
    > Clay Buccholz (22nd rd pick)

    thanks!

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  147. Los says:

    I have Longoria @ 3b, XB @ SS, and Abreu @ UTIL. I have a bench spot that can either go to Brad Miller or Chase Headley. Who should get the spot. Traditional 5X5 re-draft.

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  148. Jason says:

    Dynasty points league — what’s an example or two of an appropriate complementary piece to go with Shin-Soo Choo to get Edwin Encarnacion?

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  149. fwd says:

    AL-only, 12 team with OBP SLG RP HR SB-CS. Playing to win this year, but keep any of them one more time:

    keep 2 (already locked in on my other 2 keepers).

    O. Arcia $5
    K. Calhoun $14
    X. Bogaerts $10
    A. Cobb $10

    Inclined to go Arcia (extremely cheap power for this league) and Bogaerts (upside, especially in ’15) for the potential to outperform by more, but worried that Cobb or Calhoun seem like safer plays.

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  150. BeckhamsTears says:

    Will either Anthony Gose (OF, TOR) or Zach Britton (SP, BAL) be fantasy relevant (12 tm, 5×5) in the next 2-3 seasons?

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  151. jarjets89 says:

    What stats best predict walk-rate and strike-out rate for pitchers? First strike percentage and swinging strike rate? Is there a place where I can see a summary of what stats predict what?

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  152. jpan09 says:

    Please rank out of the 7 (I have 12.13 picks at end of first), ESPN Standard 5×5 H2H 12 teams

    Keep in mind since it’s H2H, consistency and health do matter

    Prince
    Edwin
    Beltre
    Adam Jones
    Bryce Harper
    Braun
    Votto

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  153. Kerry says:

    $260 cap for 23 players. Is $30 too much for Kipnis? How about $26 for Bruce?

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  154. RotoLando says:

    If you have a H2H Categories league that counts doubles, which type of player do you fill it with, speed guys or power guys?

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  155. stuck in a slump says:

    Which Rockies OF for this year? possible keeper?

    Culberson
    Blackmon
    Dickerson

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  156. Metsox says:

    Who do you prefer in a league that uses QS instead of wins. Milone or Chavez

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  157. Garrett says:

    If I understand your system correctly, you are weighing player value at each category against the replacement level players typically found on a waiver wire.

    Why is that, when most of these players won’t factor into a starting fantasy lineup? Wouldn’t it be better to weigh second basemen, for instance, against the top 12 or 14 2B average output at each category to determine how much better/worse each player is at a statistical category than the alternatives, and thus determine where to draft them at?

    Unless I’m not understanding the system correctly, in which case, apologies.

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      It weighs against the average player first, then goes to position adjustments.

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      • Garrett says:

        Got it. My point is that your ranking of Altuve seems to be propped up by a crappy class of 2B in the ‘replacement’ level area (guessing those are 2B in the #14-18ish ranks).

        I think if you compared Altuve instead against the 2B that are actually on fantasy rosters, that his numbers wouldn’t be helped up as much, with studs at the top such as Cano, Kipnis.

        This seems counterproductive, since you’re comparing Altuve, and ranking him higher than other similar players at other positions, based on players who shouldn’t be on a fantasy roster unless in case of injury or emergency.

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  158. Pablo says:

    Better long term dynasty value: M. Franco or R. Odor?

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  159. chri521 says:

    Kalhoun, Rugg or CYoung as the best fantasy OF this year? OBP/SLG league.

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  160. Ryan says:

    What’s the best pitching strategy for a 6×6 roto with Holds added as the 6th category? I’ve never played in a league like this before. Seems like most teams would have to start at least two SVs guys and two HDs guys to be competitive in those cats. Daily lineups, so I’m mostly worried about standing with too many RPs and losing roster positions that I could use for streaming.

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      If it’s roto, it’s best to get a good deal of both, and then count on it dropping your ERA and WHIP.

      In H2H, it can be easier just to pick either SV or HLD and go after that one.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  161. Anthony says:

    I’m drafting in a 16-team mixed H2H points league (snake draft). How should I change my strategy compared to a 10- or 12-team league?

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      The thing to be most wary of is closers, but that could change b/c your point settings may be less favorable for them.

      In a snake draft, not much changes, you just have to go about your business. It gets sticky in an auction where certain values will get inflated both naturally and artificially.

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  162. fantasy newb says:

    5×5 10 redraft roto H2H only 200 players picked, very shallow. I have the 8th pick. Who should I draft with my first two picks (8, 13) based on current ADPs? Currently leaning Hanley, Encarnacion. And strategy wise, wait on pitching and stream with such a deep FA pool?

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      Correct on the pitching. Real easy to play the weekly matchups, so get an ace or two and then take higher upside guys later.

      For the first two, those would be smart if E5 is 3B eligible. Otherwise, look to Adam Jones or alike instead.

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  163. Steve says:

    Will ask earlier question differently. In 4×4 roto, 10 teams, who do you like better at same price, Strop or Carlos Martinez? Is either worth $10?

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  164. ace_hunter1982 says:

    H2H, Linear Weights league. Need a 2B. Martin Prado, Aaron Hill, Jedd Gyorko, or Profar?

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  165. Junior says:

    AL only. Cut one of:
    Nick Swisher
    Mike Napoli
    Colby Rasmus

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  166. Mike Wazowski says:

    How do you adjust your dollar values for keeper leagues?

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      All depends on how many you get to keep! If you’re only going to keep 2-4 guys, it’s not a big deal just to go through normal values and see what comes of it.

      If you have to be smart about balancing a budget for keepers, I always try to find guys late who I think are bound for a breakout, and pay an extra $ to get them cheap while I can.

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  167. Dan says:

    16 team league keep 6
    5 standard cats plus TB, BB, K
    Would you trade Hanley (5th rd keep) for Hosmer (19th rd keep)? Inflation of 3 rounds per year.
    Both would slot at IF because of following keeps:
    Rizzo (23rd rd) 1B
    Arenado (22nd rd) 3B
    Bogaerts (20th rd) SS

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  168. Alex says:

    Do you hesitate to keep a young SP because of injury risks? Bogaerts ($3) or Jose Fernandez ($12)? I feel like I could throw Bogaerts back and buy him for <$10 while Jose would cost upwards of $30. OBP and SLG instead of AVG.

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  169. deezy333 says:

    Thanks for doing this!

    So I have the 10th pick in my draft and have narrowed my choice down to Braun, Jones, and Harper. How would you rank these and what would be your rationale?

    I listened to Collette and Eno discuss Jones v Braun and even then there didn’t seem to be a consensus. Harper clearly has the higher upside and could post a 30/20 season as soon as this year. Braunand Jones are both post peak and could take a step back at any moment. Will Braun stop stealing bases? Will Jones’ athleticism continue to supersede his poor plate discipline? Can Harper improve versus LHP? This is where my concerns are at. Thanks for any insight!

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Zach Sanders says:

      I don’t think it’s fair to say Jones is “post peak.” He’ll be 28 this season, so he still probably has a couple years of peak production left.

      Braun worries me a bit, but his floor is just so high that it’s hard to go wrong.

      Personally, I have them Jones-Braun-Harper this year.

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  170. Arnie says:

    In a AL 10 team keeper league with $280 auction budget.I traded Springer for Salazar. Did I make the right decision or will I regret giving up a potential talent like Springer? Thank you for your input.

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  171. Bryce says:

    Hey thanks for the help.

    I am drafting tonight in a new 14tm 9×9 crazy roto league and for the first time ever, blown saves is a category along with WINS,QS,WHIP,ERA,SV,HLD,K,BB for pitchers. I am wondering if I should just not draft any closers and take a high score in BSV, take a 1 in SV instead of trying to find a balance between them. What do you think of that idea?

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  172. Zach Sanders says:

    I don’t think it makes sense to stay away from closers entirely, but it does mean to not take any of the more shaky bottom-tier guys.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  173. Jeff says:

    Tanaka, Abreu, Jon Gray, Kris Bryant or Giolito? (with more focus on 2-3 years than just this year.)

    Thank you!

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  174. thinMints says:

    I’m in a dynasty league but am going for the title this year. Should I trade Springer(4 years) for J.Upton(1 year) with my OF looking like Cargo, Choo, Calhoun and Ozuna? Or should I go for a pitcher with my rotation looking like Verlander, Greinke, Parker, Dickey and Wood.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  175. Steve says:

    In a standard Yahoo 12-team league (23 round draft), are there any closer handcuffs that are worth drafting as one of your last few picks of the draft?

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  176. Samwell Tarly says:

    Who do you like at 1.12 and 2.1? I’m thinking one of [Braun, Fielder, Harper] and one of [Tulowitzki, Cano, Kipnis]. Is it too early for some of those? I’m less interested in guys Puig, Beltre, Encarnacion, and Gomez, but would any of them be a better pick?

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  177. WilyMoMania says:

    If it were impossible for Aramis Ramirez to get hurt starting now, what would his upcoming season look like?

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  178. ace_hunter1982 says:

    Thanks for the last response. One more question. H2H, Linear Weights league. Keepers: Trout, Kershaw, Votto, Encarnacion, Mauer, Longoria, Heyward. In win now mode. For an overall draft strategy: Should I go risk/reward, assuming my keepers are a good safety net? Or should I go safe/reliable, assuming I just need a supporting cast? Or both?

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  179. Bob's your uncle says:

    Talk about getting a lot of comments.

    I have three questions and they all have to do with your educated guess about who wins rotation jobs:

    Carlos Martinez or Joe Kelly? Odds the winner keeps their job (assuming they have pitched well) if and when Garcia returns?

    Straily over Milone and Pomeranz?

    With Beachy now looking like he may have a second Tommy John, any way Alex Wood doesn’t get the fifth rotation spot?

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  180. WilyMoMania says:

    Do you think Chris Young has another vintage Arizona Chris Young season left in him, or do you think last year is a solid representation of what he is now? And assuming he starts for the Mets, would you be willing to guess as to where he’d see most of his at-bats? I’d be ecstatic if he led off; not because it’d be a really great option, but because I like Chris Young.

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  181. Murray Prins says:

    would you trade Kyle Seager for Julio Tehran? I have 4 starters and a fifth in Cole Hamels but worried about Hamels long term. I have David Wright as my third baseman and Seager was the backup.

    Thanks

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  182. WestishHarpooners says:

    Hi, first time/long time, thanks for the insight.

    My question is simple: Wright or Longoria?

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  183. Steve says:

    Tanaka, Pineda, Nova, Kuroda… who has the best year among those four?

    Thanks!

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  184. The Theory says:

    Thanks for doing this; what a mammoth undertaking! My question is a bit league-specific and convoluted, so feel free to bypass if looking at it makes your brain hurt.

    I’m in an h2h-each category league. 10 teams.
    However, we score on 8 hitting categories and 11 pitching categories. The lopsided nature has led other owners in the league to strongly focus on, and value, pitching. Teams leave the draft with between 8 and 10 starting pitchers.

    My specific question is whether pitching, in such an environment, actually becomes a more treasured roster commodity that I should be spending early on in drafts, or if the excess (both of cats and roster slots) just sort of dilutes everything.

    (I’d include the actual categories, but I’m trying to keep this question philosophical in nature so perhaps some other reader can gain something from it.)

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Zach Sanders says:

      Sure, but sometimes it helps to zig when others zag. If everyone’s taking P, you can sneak in great hitters and figure out a way to win enough cats to win most weeks.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  185. chris says:

    5×5 OBP in place of AVG. Please rank the 3 safest draft picks once Trout & Cabrera are off the board. Thank you.

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  186. Steve says:

    In my Martinez v Strop question 4×4 are traditional roto categories: hr, sb, RBI, avg, saves, wins, ratio and ERA.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  187. WilyMoMania says:

    Do you think Cody Asche wins/keeps the 3B job all season? What is a rough ceiling for Maikel Franco if he can get a hold of the job early in the season? Thanks for taking the time.

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      I think he holds on to it for most of this year.

      Ceiling for Franco is really high. If he’s up for a majority of the season, he could hit 20 dingers with a .270 or higher average, but his OBP will be atrocious.

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  188. Zach Sanders says:

    I think he holds on to it for most of this year.

    Ceiling for Franco is really high. If he’s up for a majority of the season, he could hit 20 dingers with a .270 or higher average, but his OBP will be atrocious.

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  189. Bruce says:

    Last minute keeper question:

    15-team mixed 5×5 Roto (K/9)

    Who takes the last spot: Feliz ($7), Soria ($1), Tyson Ross ($7), or Josh Johnson ($13). Longshot: Avisail Garcia ($10)

    Thanks.

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  190. gump says:

    Which players should I target (whom I would normally avoid- obviously Adam Jones gets downgraded and set up men get upgraded) in a league which replaces AVG with OPS and OBP, and replaces W with QS and H?

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  191. Bob's your uncle says:

    Was finally able to read through some of your earlier comments so sorry for the double question on Wood.

    So I guess as a follow up (more educated guesses please), when does Yordano Ventura get the rotation spot?

    Where and how can Lindor get time with the Indians this season if Asdrubal is not traded? How likely is it?

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    • Bob's your uncle says:

      Oh and thank you very much for this. Very awesome and I am sure taking a lot of your day. Thanks for the time, it is appreciated.

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    • Zach Sanders says:

      I can’t speak much on when Ventura gets a spot, because it could very well be on the opening day roster. If he doesn’t win a job there, I’d still hope he’d be up again by June due to poor performance or injuries.

      I’m not sure Lindor does get any time with the Indians this year. He’s barely 20 and has less than 100 PA in Double-A. No need to rush him.

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  192. admarshall2 says:

    Hi Zach, Please rank the following pitchers in a 12-team 5X5 keeper league: Smyly, Ventura, Kluber, Ross, Nova. Thanks for your advice.

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  193. admarshall2 says:

    Hi Zach, How would you rank the following sleepers: Mejia, Duffy, Carrasco, Burch Smith, Vizcaino? Thanks for your advice.

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  194. admarshall2 says:

    Hi Zach, Who do you see making the most impact in MLB this year: Kyle Zimmer, Eddie Butler, Andrew Heaney, or Marcus Stroman? Thanks for your advice.

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  195. admarshall2 says:

    Hi Zach, Who gets the bulk of saves for the Cubs this year? Thanks for your advice.

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  196. admarshall2 says:

    Hi Zach, Who (if any) of the following will outperform Welington Castillo (currently my backup C): Pinto, Avila, Norris, Grandal, Conger? Thanks for you advice.

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  197. admarshall2 says:

    Hi Zach, Do you think Kyle Parker or Ryan Wheeler get regular ABs for the Rockies this year? Thanks for your advice.

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  198. admarshall2 says:

    Hi Zach, Please rank the following OFs in a 12-team 5X5 keeper league: Calhoun, Lake, Dickerson, Pollock, Ozuna. Thanks for your advice.

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  199. admarshall2 says:

    Hi Zach, Do you think any of these OFs are surprisingly productive at the plate this year: Abraham Almonte, Choice, Lagares? Thanks for your advice.

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  200. admarshall2 says:

    Hi Zach, I’m in a quirky league that counts pinch hits. Do you see any guys (preferably NL) who 1) will be in the mix for pinch hit ABs and also 2) have some prospect/sleeper value? I’m looking at guys like Ryan Wheeler, Medica, Cesar Hernandez, Blanks, but would welcome any other suggestions. Thanks for all of your advice.

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    • admarshall2 says:

      Sorry if I asked too many questions. I was keeping them in my head all day while waiting for my three-year-old to let me use a computer.

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  201. Zach Sanders says:

    Thanks to everyone for stopping by today. Hopefully this helps get you ready for this weekend’s drafts.

    Stayed tuned to RotoGraphs next week as the Roto Riteup will make its debut at some point!

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  202. Ed says:

    4×4 keeper (BA,HR,RBI,SB) (W,S,ERA,WHIP). $260/23 player NL only. Who do u keep?
    Hawkins $2, Lake $1 or Rendon $8? Thanks, Ed

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  203. Ruki Motomiya says:

    Where can you find free Keeper Leagues? Yahoo seems to have none and I can’t really find any on ESPN and I don’t have the money for any money leagues.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  204. Lenard says:

    I’m late, I’m late for
    A very important date.
    No time to say hello, good-bye,
    I’m late, I’m late, I’m late

    Which side would you pick, with no players being keepable: Wright, Eaton and an 11th for next year for Bautista, Boegarts, and a 16th for next year.

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  205. Southbay77 says:

    Roto league. Already keeping Braun (25th round) and Chris Davis (13th round). At the same round cost (20th round) for either, would you rather keep Wil Myers or Starling Marte as the third keeper? Thanks!

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  206. junior says:

    this is my team is 5 sp and 2 rp max wanted to know where would i need some help this is points league and should i drop alex wood for chris archer or michel pineda or yordano ventura and should i pick up kelly johnson from waivers drop ben revere:

    C Yan Gomes, Cle C
    1B Joey Votto, Cin 1B
    2B Kolten Wong, StL 2B
    3B Manny Machado, Bal 3B
    SS Everth Cabrera, SD SS
    OF Ryan Braun, Mil OF
    OF Jose Bautista, Tor OF
    OF Matt Holliday, StL OF
    UTIL David Ortiz, Bos DH
    Bench Billy Hamilton, Cin OF
    Bench Torii Hunter, Det OF
    Bench Will Middlebrooks, Bos 3B
    Bench Ben Revere, Phi OF

    sp Madison Bumgarner, SF
    sp Chris Sale, CWS
    sp Alex Cobb, TB
    sp Julio Teheran, Atl
    sp Alex Wood, Atl

    rp Ernesto Frieri, LAA
    rp Aroldis Chapman, Cin

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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