Astros to Move to AL: Yawn?

The Astros are moving to the American League in 2013. We’ll be breaking this down in many different ways in order to help NL- and AL-only owners prepare for the moment in the best possible manner, but… for many leagues this won’t matter much. The Astros are just that bad.

For example, mixed-league re-drafters pretty much won’t care at all. Even in 2013, are there any current Astros that will see their draft status change much with the move? Okay, Wandy Rodriguez will be in his final year of his contract and he would be a 34-year-old starter moving to the more difficult league. There’s a player that would see his draft stock drop that year. But will he even be on the Astros roster by then? He seems like a trade candidate.

J.A. Happ is pretty much un-ownable anyway. Mark Melancon is only a closer, and not a great one at that. No other Astro seems like a top-twelve mixed-league option at his position. Sure, some players will emerge in 2012, but re-drafters will have plenty of time to re-adjust their expectations for 2013 drafts.

How about NL-only keeper owners? Well, there will be a few casualties. J.D. Martinez looks like he could be a decent outfielder for a while. And… well… Bud Norris can strike dudes out. Wandy was always a risk, for being old, and for a trade out of the league, considering he’s a good pitcher making money on a bad team, so it’s not like an NL-only team was really banking on him for a long period of time. Jordan Schafer will steal some bags, but he’ll do it with a terrible batting average.

There isn’t a single current Astro that would function as a cornerstone for an NL-only keeper team. That’s the stark fact.

Doesn’t that mean that this is about the best time for this to happen? Imagine if almost any other team left their league, and you can think of a devastating loss for a fantasy team in your AL- or NL-only. Right now it looks like your NL-only team will lose a mid-thirties starter with a mixed history, a corner outfielder with mediocre power, and a center fielder with one skill.

2012 might bring some emerging stars, and there is obviously more to unpack here, especially in prospect leagues. Rule changes, strategy implications, prospect considerations — all of this analysis is on the way.

But, at first blush, it’s amazing that the Astros are so bad that this move won’t even be devastating to your NL-only keeper fantasy team.




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Graphs: Baseball, Roto, Beer, brats (OK, no graphs for that...yet), repeat. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris.


15 Responses to “Astros to Move to AL: Yawn?”

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  1. Matt K says:

    great timing for Carlos Lee to become a DH

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    • dannyrangers32 says:

      yay more easy wins for the rangers! in spite of the division becoming bigger so they have more competitors (actually i suppose you cant call the astros competitors but we’ll give it to them) they’ll just have more wins cuz they’ll play the worst team more often. Im likin this…keep it coming Bud Selig!

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  2. Norj says:

    Carlos Lee won’t be an Astro by the time they move.

    (I hope)

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  3. Lou says:

    The astros are moving the American League? Wow! That’s exciting. Bud Norris and friends will have a great time with this Atlas-like task. I wonder where they will move it. I’ve heard that Mexico has a lot of potential fans, but they kind of have a little dinky problem with drug related terrorists being more powerful than the government. Still, I think it would be interesting for all if the Astros move the AL.

    Oh…he must’ve meant they’re moving TO the American League. I hope these writers aren’t paid or anything

    -24 Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Eno Sarris says:

      I added the two letters you were so upset about. Thanks.

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    • johnnycuff says:

      *Astros

      (you asked for it)

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    • Buddy says:

      Just wanted to counter the above comment– and many like it– with a thank you for all the excellent stuff you provide. And at no charge. The whole grammar-police thing gets very dull.

      +7 Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Detroit Michael says:

      Proofreading errors bother some folks more than others. I get that.

      However, you ought to be able to express yourself more kindly if you feel compelled to point them out.

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    • skillings24 says:

      Lou, maybe you could do something more productive with your time. I’m concerned that since you were so transparently passive-aggressive, you’re not happy with how your life turned out and that you’re using baseball as a means of hiding from the real world. I hope you get the help you so clearly need.

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    • Aaron says:

      Who the heck are the “astros?” Oh…you must’ve meant the “Astros.”

      +6 Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. razor says:

    Two more wild card teams and a one game playoff added to the Astros moving to the American League West? Good work, Bud. Pure comedy.

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  5. Blue says:

    In a 12-team NL League, simply being a starter gives a player a ton of value.

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  6. Matty Brown says:

    Jose Altuve!

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  7. Luke says:

    What the hell is up with the password thing? That’s new. I feel like you may have slighted Bud Norris a little. He’s a must(should)-own in 12-team mixed leagues.

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