Bullpen Report: August 27, 2014

– One night after suffering a nightmare inning against the Red Sox, Casey Janssen got a breather and lefty Brett Cecil was tasked with finishing off a Marcus Stroman win. The goggled reliever was up to the challenge, finishing the eighth and tossing a scoreless ninth (with three strikeouts). The wheels have really come off Janssen after the break, as he now sports a 7.36 ERA and 4.89 xFIP. There are multiple concerns; his strikeout rate has plummeted this year (24% to 15%) and his normally stellar control seems to have evaporated over the last few months after he looked elite in that area earlier this season. His SwStr% is only down a hair in 2014, but his fastball is getting raked to the tune of a 30% LD% (historically, he has been closer to 20% via PitchF/X). His pitch movement looks fine, outside of a little less drop on his changeup, so it seems like Janssen is just struggling to get a feel for where his pitches are going (hence the loud contact and increased walk rates). Regardless, he still has leash in the Toronto bullpen, but a few more bad outings could cause the desperate Jays to turn to Cecil (2.67 xFIP). Roster him if you want to speculate (or handcuff Janssen).

– The White Sox bullpen continues to be a mess. A day after Jake Petricka took the loss against the Indians, he was not getting the nod as Chicago’s closer. With a one-run lead tonight, it was also not Zach Putnam or Matt Lindstrom but Javy Guerra who started the ninth. Of course, that didn’t go over terribly well as the former Dodgers closer allowed a walk and hit by pitch, putting the go ahead run on base with two outs. Robin Ventura wasn’t going to give Guerra a chance to work out of his own jam and called on Putnam who induced a popup to get out of the inning. People will ask “who is the closer in Chicago!?” If it’s me, I’m probably gambling on Putnam at this point, but you have to look hard at those roto standings. There is no elite option in this pen, so make sure chasing a few prorated saves over the rest of the season is worth the risk you take in ERA and WHIP with this motley crew.

Jake McGee racked up save number 15 with a scoreless ninth against the Orioles. The team hasn’t been garnering a ton of save opportunities, with this being the lefty’s third save since July 28th. While he’s not “the guy” in Tampa Bay, he continues to be as close to one as they have, as backed up by his 2.44 xFIP. Brad Boxberger has emerged as the number two guy in line, and is also a nice source for rates as you try and gain a few points in those pitching categories.

– Quick hits: Aroldis Chapman picked up a save, although he did allow a pair of baserunners to reach. On the plus side, he continued to show good velocity and fanned a pair of batters, so hopefully he’s getting over his hiccups of the last couple of weeks. Fellow elite arm, Craig Kimbrel similarly put a pair of runners on, but wiggled free from his jam. Mark Melancon notched save number 24 on only 10 pitches today. He should remain a top-12 closing option down the stretch.

Closer Grid:

Closer First Second DL/Minors
Arizona Addison Reed Brad Ziegler Oliver Perez
Atlanta Craig Kimbrel Jordan Walden David Carpenter Shae Simmons
Baltimore Zach Britton Tommy Hunter Andrew Miller
Boston Koji Uehara Edward Mujica Junichi Tazawa
CHI (NL) Hector Rondon Neil Ramirez Kyuji Fujikawa
CHI (AL) Jacob Petricka Zach Putnam Matt Lindstom
Cincy Aroldis Chapman Jonathan Broxton Sam LeCure Sean Marshall
Cleveland Cody Allen Bryan Shaw Scott Atchison
Colorado LaTroy Hawkins Adam Ottavino Rex Brothers
Detroit Joe Nathan Joba Chamberlain Al Alburquerque Joakim Soria
Houston Chad Qualls Tony Sipp Josh Fields
KC Greg Holland Wade Davis Jason Frasor
LAA Huston Street Joe Smith Jason Grilli
LAD Kenley Jansen Brian Wilson Brandon League
Miami Steve Cishek Bryan Morris A.J. Ramos
Milwaukee Francisco Rodriguez Will Smith Brandon Kintzler Jim Henderson
Minnesota Glen Perkins Jared Burton Casey Fien
NY (NL) Jenrry Mejia Jeurys Familia Vic Black Bobby Parnell
NY (AL) David Robertson Dellin Betances Adam Warren
Oakland Eric O’Flaherty Luke Gregerson Dan Otero Sean Doolittle
Philly Jonathan Papelbon Ken Giles Jake Diekman Mike Adams
Pittsburgh Mark Melancon Tony Watson Jared Hughes
St. Louis Trevor Rosenthal Pat Neshek Seth Maness Jason Motte
SD Joaquin Benoit Kevin Quackenbush Dale Thayer
SF Santiago Casilla Jeremy Affeldt Sergio Romo
Seattle Fernando Rodney Danny Farquhar Dominic Leone
TB Jake McGee Brad Boxberger Grant Balfour
Texas Neftali Feliz Neal Cotts Shawn Tolleson
Toronto Casey Janssen Aaron Loup Brett Cecil
Wash. Rafael Soriano Tyler Clippard Drew Storen

[Green light, yellow light, red light: the colors represent the volatility of the bullpen order.]




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There are few things Colin loves more in life than a pitcher with a single-digit BB%. Find him on Twitter @soxczar.


7 Responses to “Bullpen Report: August 27, 2014”

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  1. roto-dog says:

    speculating for saves:
    drop familia for cecil or putnam? or just hold?

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    • Francis C says:

      Ugh… I guess you’re too late on O’Flaherty… If you are desperate and want to gamble on your ratios, I suppose you could give Putnam a whirl.

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    • If you are that desperate, I’d also try Putnam, although as I alluded to last night, the White Sox scare me.

      There isn’t quite enough smoke around the Mets or Jays to think a move is imminent.

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      • roto-dog says:

        not sure why you guys think Putnam will kill my ratios – sure his xFIP is pedestrian at 3.64, but his 1.90 ERA and 1.06 WHIP are solid. Since he’s returned from the DL, even better (but only 9IP): 0.00 ERA, 0.44 WHIP – that will play just fine for me, even if it is in the 8th inning

        also 1st place in a 14 teamer is not desperate, but september saves would add to my comfort level

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  2. jg says:

    Any thoughts on Uehara’s recent struggles? I saw a recent article suggesting they wouldnt shut him down and its just a tired arm, but still….

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  3. Baroque6 says:

    How is Jake McGee not “the guy”? Ain’t nobody else coming in when there’s a save chance.

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    • Boxberger got a save ~1 week ago after McGee was brought in in the 8th inning of a tie game.

      He’s “the guy” but not “THE guy.” Maddon occasionally uses him more as a relief ace, so it’s unlikely he’ll get 100% of the SV opps going forward (80% seems like a solid, totally random guess).

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