Bullpen Report: July 8, 2014

Aroldis Chapman allowed two baserunners but also struck two guys out en route to his 18th save of the year in game one against the Cubs today. Chapman’s ERA is higher than some of the other top tier relievers this year but he’s actually quietly having his best year yet. In 25.2 innings Chapman has 49 stirkeouts. His BB% (8.6) is the lowest it’s ever been since 2012 (8.3%) and his K% is an absurd 50.5 %. That’s right, Aroldis is now striking out over half of the batters he faces with an average fastball velocity of 100 mph. No joke.  Unsurprisingly his FIP and xFIP are tremendous at 0.85 and 1.04 respectively. Chapman doesn’t register ground balls at an elite rate, but with so few bats even making contact, even less makes great contact. There’s not much else to say here, we all know he’s among the league’s best, if not the best and ranks in the top three fantasy relievers at the worst.

• Apparently Ruben Amaro didn’t trade Jonathan Papelbon last year because “the team lacked a clear replacement.” But now with Ken Giles emerging as a good, young long-term replacement there is ample reason to look to move Papelbon. Of course his contract will likely be prohibitive but if the Phillies can eat some cash, Papelbon could find a new home. If that’s the case, it seems as though Ken Giles would be closing with Antonio Bastardo remaining in a setup role. Bastardo’s history of filling in for saves kept him next in line in our grid, but I feel confident swapping those two now. We’ll be sure to keep you posted as trade rumors heat up this July, but in the meantime look for Giles as a sneaky second half save target.

Cody Allen threw a perfect ninth with two strikeouts for his 10th save of the season tonight. When John Axford initially lost his job there were grumblings about Axford regaining the role but Allen has pitched passed the committee and taken the reigns of this job outright and that chatter has certainly stopped. Allen’s closing gig is secure and Bryan Shaw is cemented in the setup innings for Cleveland. Axford is still missing bats but his sky high walk rare (6.49 BB/9) prevents him from regaining his role again.

Jenrry Mejia had the night off after a longer outing last night and the Mets said they would use Jeurys Familia in his place. Although there wasn’t a save situation, Familia was brought in for the final two outs in the ninth as Buddy Carlyle and Dana Eveland left the door ajar. Mejia’s hold on the job is still firm and tonight’s outing helped show Familia’s grasp as the main setup and backup closer is as well.

Jake McGee was called on for a four-out save and closed the door for his sixth save of the season. However, it wasn’t all clear as McGee allowed two runs in the ninth but still secured the lead for the Rays. Even after a subpar outing, McGee is still the best reliever on the Rays and a couple of runs in the ninth shouldn’t sway Joe Madden too much on the next save opportunity that arises. Money might be a different issue if the Rays wish to limit McGee’s saves for his arbitration price but the team is playing well and McGee gives them the best chance to win. However, nobody has been anointed a closer as yet so this is still a committee, with McGee atop the list.

Last we heard the Cardinals might give Rosenthal some rest but he entered tonight’s game in a 4-4 tie in the ninth inning. Rosenthal was a bit shaky, allowing a hit and a walk but escaped without any damage. His fastball velocity was looking on par with his norms so in spite of some control that has alluded him a bit this season, there aren’t any real injury concerns. Rosie may continue to slightly disappoint fantasy owners expecting Aroldis Chapman type production but  he’ll still continue to rack up saves with strikeouts for a competitive team.

Closer Grid:

Closer First Second DL/Minors
Arizona Addison Reed Brad Ziegler Oliver Perez
Atlanta Craig Kimbrel Jordan Walden Shae Simmons
Baltimore Zach Britton Tommy Hunter Darren O’Day
Boston Koji Uehara Junichi Tazawa Andrew Miller
CHI (NL) Hector Rondon Neil Ramirez Pedro Strop
CHI (AL) Jacob Petricka Zach Putnam Javy Guerra Matt Lindstrom
Cincy Aroldis Chapman Jonathan Broxton Sam LeCure Sean Marshall
Cleveland Cody Allen Bryan Shaw John Axford
Colorado LaTroy Hawkins Adam Ottavino Rex Brothers
Detroit Joe Nathan Joba Chamberlain Al Alburquerque Joel Hanrahan
Houston Chad Qualls Tony Sipp Josh Fields
KC Greg Holland Wade Davis Aaron Crow
LAA Joe Smith Jason Grilli Kevin Jepsen
LAD Kenley Jansen Chris Perez Brian Wilson
Miami Steve Cishek A.J. Ramos Mike Dunn
Milwaukee Francisco Rodriguez Will Smith Brandon Kintzler Jim Henderson
Minnesota Glen Perkins Jared Burton Casey Fien
NY (NL) Jenrry Mejia Jeurys Familia Vic Black Bobby Parnell
NY (AL) David Robertson Dellin Betances Adam Warren
Oakland Sean Doolittle Luke Gregerson Dan Otero
Philly Jonathan Papelbon Ken Giles Antonio Bastardo Mike Adams
Pittsburgh Mark Melancon Tony Watson Ernesto Frieri
St. Louis Trevor Rosenthal Pat Neshek Jason Motte
SD Huston Street Joaquin Benoit Alex Torres
SF Santiago Casilla Jeremy Affeldt Sergio Romo
Seattle Fernando Rodney Danny Farquhar Dominic Leone
TB Jake McGee Grant Balfour Joel Peralta
Texas Joakim Soria Jason Frasor Neftali Feliz
Toronto Casey Janssen Sergio Santos Aaron Loup Brett Cecil
Wash. Rafael Soriano Tyler Clippard Drew Storen

[Green light, yellow light, red light: the colors represent the volatility of the bullpen order.]




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When he's not focusing on every team's bullpen situation, Ben can be found blogging at Ben's Baseball Bias and on Twitter @BensBias


13 Responses to “Bullpen Report: July 8, 2014”

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  1. Redisappointed says:

    Cubs going back to red after tonight?

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    • This is a tough one. Rondon’s ERA and few hiccups would suggest that it go to Red but I’ve yet to hear anything from management. Also, he’s still pitching pretty well (2.76 SIERA) but he’s getting BABIP’d pretty hard right now.

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      • DavidJ says:

        Yeah, yesterday was another unlucky BABIP game for him, as two of the three hits he allowed were pretty cheap: sandwiched around a clean single by Mesoraco were a no-man’s-land popup by Pena and a broken-bat flare by Hamilton. It’s not like Rondon was walking guys or giving up bombs.

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  2. Troy Percival says:

    What’s the deal with the Angels closing situation going forward? Do they intend to keep Joe Smith as the guy for the season or are they waiting to see if Grilli can recapture his form in the AL?

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    • FeslenR says:

      I’d say yes, Smith hasn’t been spectacular, but he’s been reliable.

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    • Smith has been great for them so they’re most likely going to stick it out with him.

      If he starts faltering, then Grilli is a possibility but at this point Grilli’s saves depends on Smiths’s success/struggles moreso than his own performance.

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  3. Dalman says:

    Smith has done well enough for long enough in the closer role to make it difficult to imagine that they just snatch the job away and hand it to Grilli, without Smith giving them at least some kind of justification. Of course, almost any reliever is likely to run into a rough stretch from time to time, so if Grilli is pitching well at that point there is certainly a possibility that they get flipped.

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  4. WormFace says:

    If Koji Uehara gets traded, who will step in as the closer in Boston?

    I think Miller has the best stuff, but managers are hesitant to use a lefty as a closer.

    Tazawa would be the logical choice, no? And is there a way that Mujica factors into things (since he has experience closing last year in STL)?

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  5. Double J says:

    With Addison Reed blowing another one on a HR last night, surprised the Diamondbacks didn’t get moved to yellow.

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  6. Inglourious Dirty Ol' Basterd says:

    How on earth is Reed still green. I even have him rostered, and I wouldn’t say he’s safe.

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  7. Dave Utah says:

    I saw Ken Giles pitch last weekend in the series against the Pirates. Never heard of him before – but I don’t watch the Phils too much. Then I watched him pitch again last night against the Brewers. He got in a little trouble but pitched out of it. As bad as the Phillies are, they seem to have some pretty high velocity arms in the pen. I think Giles is a closer in waiting. I may try to sneak him in on a waiver wire pick this week.

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  8. rotofan says:

    You are missing the boat on Tampa and Brad Boxberger, whom you don’t have listed in the top 3. Boxberger has always had closer stuff with tremendous movement and his main obstacle was harnessing that movement and avoiding walks. In the last 13 2/3 innings, Boxberger has walked no one while striking out 18. His xFIP and SIERA are both better than McGee’s this season. It’s a small sample size but Joe Maddon has taken notice and said so. He is at worst the send best arm in the Rays pen right now and a strong dark horse to emerge from the committee setup as the closer.

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    • rotofan says:

      And later in the evening, after McGee struggled in the 8th, Boxberger relieved him and recorded two outs; then Peralta was yanked after giving up a hit and walk in the 9th, and Yates allowed the tying and winning runs to score.

      Anyone in a deeper fantasy league would be wise to pick up Boxberger if no one has done so already.

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