- FanGraphs Fantasy Baseball - http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy -

Bullpen Report: March 31, 2013

Night one is in the books! Only one game tonight, but hallelujah, baseball’s back! No blown saves or bullpen drama tonight, but the odds are that’s not going to be the case tomorrow!

• Drum roll, please. The season’s first save goes to… Erik Bedard? If I was a wittier Rotographs writer, I’d make some elaborate April Fool’s quip about rushing to your wire to pick up Bedard (maybe while messing around with the closer grid), but there’s a reason I’ll never be allowed to write for NotGraphs. Bedard piggybacked off starter Bud Norris; throwing 3 1/3 scoreless innings and satisfying the last option in MLB Rule 10.19 (a pitcher can earn a save by finishing a game effectively while pitching 3+ innings). Congrats to you if you backed into a “SV” while actually starting Bedard at the back end of your fantasy rotation. Don’t be offended that I’m taking the under on 0.5 saves the rest of the way, though.

Derek Lowe made his Rangers debut and — well — it could have gone better. Lowe came in with a couple guys on and promptly fell behind Rick Ankiel before serving up an 82 mph slider over the heart of the plate that Ankiel deposited into the right field bleachers. Lowe’s SIERA was a career-worst 4.57 last year as he split time between the Indians and Yankees. With K% and SwStr% rates that have fallen dramatically the last two seasons, Lowe really shouldn’t be anywhere near a fantasy roster. It’s sad to say, but it’s possible his big league career might be over sooner rather than later as well.

• The St. Louis Post-Dispatch reported tonight that Jason Motte “is still a significant time away from picking up a baseball. He won’t be re-evaluated until the middle of the next home stand, more than a week from now.” With him not being allowed to even look at a ball for at least a week and a half, it’s safe to say he’s unlikely to be back before the end of April. Mitchell Boggs should be owned in all leagues if he is not already by now, and I still like Trevor Rosenthal as a high-upside stash.

• One of the bigger bullpen surprises on cut-down Sunday was Jose Arredondo not cracking the Reds’ Opening Day roster. His walk rate has always been elevated (11.8% career BB%, 13.3% the last two years) but, despite a 3.87 SIERA last year, he put up a 2.95 ERA (.270 BABIP) and was pegged to be an option for holds and vulture wins in deeper leagues. He’s obviously droppable now, and is obviously one step further removed from late-inning considering with Aroldis Chapman‘s return to the ‘pen, but I have to imagine he’s back with the big club within a few months.

Closer Grid:

Closer First Second DL/Minors
Arizona J.J. Putz David Hernandez Heath Bell
Atlanta Craig Kimbrel Eric O’Flaherty Jordan Walden
Baltimore Jim Johnson Pedro Strop Darren O’Day
Boston Joel Hanrahan Andrew Bailey Koji Uehara
CHI (NL) Carlos Marmol Kyuji Fujikawa Shawn Camp
CHI (AL) Addison Reed Matt Lindstrom Matt Thornton
Cincy Aroldis Chapman Jonathan Broxton Sean Marshall
Cleveland Chris Perez Vinnie Pestano Joe Smith
Colorado Rafael Betancourt Matt Belisle Wilton Lopez
Detroit Joaquin Benoit Octavio Dotel Phil Coke Bruce Rondon
Houston Jose Veras Wesley Wright Hector Ambriz
KC Greg Holland Kelvin Herrera Tim Collins
LAA Ernesto Frieri Scott Downs Sean Burnett Ryan Madson
LAD Brandon League Kenley Jansen Ronald Belisario
Miami Steve Cishek Jon Rauch Ryan Webb
Milwaukee John Axford Jim Henderson Michael Gonzalez
Minnesota Glen Perkins Jared Burton Casey Fien
NY (NL) Bobby Parnell Brandon Lyon LaTroy Hawkins Frank Francisco
NY (AL) Mariano Rivera David Robertson Joba Chamberlain
Oakland Grant Balfour Ryan Cook Sean Doolittle
Philly Jonathan Papelbon Mike Adams Antonio Bastardo
Pittsburgh Jason Grilli Mark Melancon Bryan Morris
St. Louis Mitchell Boggs Trevor Rosenthal Edward Mujica Jason Motte
SD Huston Street Luke Gregerson Dale Thayer
SF Sergio Romo Santiago Casilla Jeremy Affeldt
Seattle Tom Wilhelmsen Charlie Furbush Carter Capps
TB Fernando Rodney Joel Peralta Jake McGee
Texas Joe Nathan Jason Frasor Tanner Scheppers
Toronto Casey Janssen Sergio Santos Steve Delabar
Wash. Rafael Soriano Drew Storen Tyler Clippard

[Green light, yellow light, red light: the colors represent the volatility of the bullpen order.]