Bullpen Report: May 15, 2013

• Go see if Kenley Jansen is still on your wire (perhaps you’re league is full of lackadaisical old chaps who had a slow-pitch softball game this evening). Right now. Stop reading and do it. I’ll wait. OK, back? Alright, well even after Jansen picked up a save last night (during a game where Brandon League didn’t even warm), Don Mattingly is still holding his cards close to the vest, saying he won’t name Jansen his closer. Of course, he was also quoted as saying “in that game, I had to go with the guy who’s throwing the ball best; as much as anything he’s been throwing the ball better than anybody.” That doesn’t seem like a guy who just pitched one of the league’s top relievers on a whim. Don’t drop League, but it’s hard not to salivate at the possible (dare I say, likely?) changing of the guard in Dodgertown. If Jansen is indeed the new ninth inning man, he and his 36% K% immediately become a top-5 option for the rest of the season.

Jose Veras did his best to blow his team’s lead against the Tigers; walking two, hitting one, and giving up a bases-loaded smash to Miguel Cabrera which required a nifty leaping catch at the wall by Brandon Barnes to preserve the win. Veras has been nothing other than mediocre this year, posting a boring 4.33 xFIP that lines up well with his 4.20 career mark. The fact he is closing in Houston speaks to their real dearth of options in the ninth. In fact, coming into today, Veras actually had the lowest xFIP on the team, with the rest of his bullpen mates posting marks 4.12 or higher. Wesley Wright (14% K%, 4.05 xFIP after today) is probably the best handcuff in this pen, but unless I’m in a very deep league, I don’t honestly want much to do with it.

• By the time you read this, Andrew Bailey should have tossed a simulated game and, if all goes well, he will be sent out on a rehab assignment this weekend before being activated Monday. Upon his return, Bailey should usurp the closer role back from Junichi Tazawa (who has been awarded exactly zero save opportunities since Joel Hanrahan was placed on the DL) and return to his status as a top-15 mixed league option. Bailey’s SwStr% is back up into double digits (nearly 14%) and it has helped his K% rebound to the highest rate of his career. As long as he’s healthy, he should be a solid option at the back end of the Boston pen. Scoop him up if someone dropped him, he’s available in 37% of Yahoo! leagues.

• Apparently, the “Ryan Madson Experience” is not coming to southern California. Yet, anyways. While rumors were circulating he’d be ready to make his first major league appearance in almost a year and a half next week, the team appears set to send him on a two-week tour of Triple-A to get his feet back underneath him. Madson has the potential to be an elite closer when healthy, but it’ll be interesting to see how close he is to the Madson of 2010-2011. I’d still roster him in deeper leagues as Ernesto Frieri‘s elevated BB% concerns me.

Francisco Rodriguez is back in the majors. He has posted xFIPs of 3.08 and 3.71 the last two seasons, so he’s not as bad as some people make him out to be. There’s a very real chance he works his way into some high leverage situations. I’m still not tripping over myself to snag him off the wire, though. If John Axford doesn’t get the closer gig back, Jim Henderson should be elite enough to hold onto the job.

Closer Grid:

Closer First Second DL/Minors
Arizona Heath Bell David Hernandez Matt Reynolds J.J. Putz
Atlanta Craig Kimbrel Eric O’Flaherty Jordan Walden
Baltimore Jim Johnson Darren O’Day Pedro Strop
Boston Junichi Tazawa Koji Uehara Andrew Miller Andrew Bailey
CHI (NL) Kevin Gregg Kyuji Fujikawa Carlos Marmol
CHI (AL) Addison Reed Jesse Crain Matt Thornton
Cincy Aroldis Chapman Jonathan Broxton J.J. Hoover
Cleveland Chris Perez Joe Smith Bryan Shaw Vinnie Pestano
Colorado Rafael Betancourt Wilton Lopez Matt Belisle
Detroit Jose Valverde Joaquin Benoit Al Alburquerque
Houston Jose Veras Wesley Wright Hector Ambriz
KC Greg Holland Kelvin Herrera Tim Collins
LAA Ernesto Frieri Scott Downs Jerome Williams Ryan Madson
LAD Brandon League Kenley Jansen Ronald Belisario
Miami Steve Cishek A.J. Ramos Chad Qualls
Milwaukee Jim Henderson John Axford Michael Gonzalez
Minnesota Glen Perkins Jared Burton Casey Fien
NY (NL) Bobby Parnell Brandon Lyon LaTroy Hawkins Frank Francisco
NY (AL) Mariano Rivera David Robertson Joba Chamberlain
Oakland Grant Balfour Ryan Cook Sean Doolittle
Philly Jonathan Papelbon Mike Adams Antonio Bastardo
Pittsburgh Jason Grilli Mark Melancon Tony Watson
St. Louis Edward Mujica Trevor Rosenthal Fernando Salas Jason Motte
SD Huston Street Luke Gregerson Dale Thayer
SF Sergio Romo Santiago Casilla Jeremy Affeldt
Seattle Tom Wilhelmsen Carter Capps Charlie Furbush
TB Fernando Rodney Joel Peralta Jake McGee
Texas Joe Nathan Jason Frasor Tanner Scheppers
Toronto Casey Janssen Steve Delabar Darren Oliver Sergio Santos
Wash. Rafael Soriano Drew Storen Tyler Clippard

[Green light, yellow light, red light: the colors represent the volatility of the bullpen order.]

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There are few things Colin loves more in life than a pitcher with a single-digit BB%. Find him on Twitter @soxczar.

14 Responses to “Bullpen Report: May 15, 2013”

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  1. shibboleth says:

    I have Andrus, Segura and Cozart in a deep 12 team Solds league and trailing badly in that category. Would you consider Andrus for Kimbrel too much of a stretch? They are comparably ranked (actual rank, not that O-rank nonsense). Maybe I just need to be talked away from a rash decision?

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    • Paul Wilson says:

      Kimbrel > Andrus

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    • Fedee_ says:

      If someone is foolish enough to trade you Kimbrel for Andrus then you need to quickly jump on the opportunity.

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      • shibboleth says:

        Wow I had no idea it was that one sided… always thought the edge went to the batter. Thanks fellas!

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      • Chippchipp says:

        Normally you should go with the batter, but Kimbrel is on a whole different level than other closers, and guys like Andrelton Simmons could have similar production as Andrus at a much cheaper price.

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      • Andrew says:

        Is Kimbrel for Kinsler a balanced trade? What about for Molina or Mauer?

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      • shibboleth says:

        again, this might be my hitter bias but I’d hold Kinsler over Kimbrel. That’s crazy good production of 2b, and not so easily replaced!

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  2. Microwave Donut says:

    Aaaaaand Jansen comes into a 2-1 game in the 7th. League has a very short leash I’d imagine, but Kenleytime is not yet upon us.

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  3. Name says:

    Hi, I’m in a 12-team standard roto league. Kenley is sitting in free agency, and I would like to know which player among my current relievers I should drop for him. My closers are Kimbrel, Mujica, Henderson, Parnell, and Tazawa. Before you say Tazawa, let me tell you I also have Bailey on the DL.

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    • Atreyu Jones says:

      Drop Tazawa, and then if you need the roster spot once Bailey returns, drop Jansen UNLESS it is clear that he is the closer by that point, in which case you drop Henderson.

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      • Giovani says:

        Tazawa first for sure, but then I’d drop Parnell. It doesn’t sound like you’re going to be scraping for saves and Jansen should be better than Parnell in the other four standard categories.

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      • Name says:

        Thanks, I’ll drop Tazawa now, and then go with Giovani’s suggestion.

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    • SKob says:

      With 5 closers (including Bailey) in your 12-team league… I’m pretty sure you should be making some trades! Pick up Kanley, drop Tazawa, and deal… anyone… or two!

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