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Crowdsourcing Results: Jones and Volquez

Posted By Zach Sanders On November 19, 2010 @ 9:00 am In Uncategorized | 6 Comments

Below are the results for this week’s ADP Crowdsourcing. If you have any suggestions for next week, leave them in the comments for consideration.

Adam Jones
My vote: 10
Average: 10.05
Median: 10
Standard Dev: 2.91

The votes were pretty clear on this one, and the results didn’t really move much throughout the day. By being taken in the tenth round, it looks like we’re assuming owners are projecting him to hit another four or five homers, with the rest of his numbers staying relatively unchanged. Also, a tenth round projection means he will be around the 30th outfielder taken, making him a third outfielder on most teams or a second outfielder on clubs who focus elsewhere earlier in the draft. Makes sense to me.

Edinson Volquez
My vote: 16
Average: 14.08
Median: 15
Standard Dev: 4.46

There was quite a bit of disagreement about Volquez, and you can see that clearly from the standard deviation of the data set. In fact, as late as Wednesday evening, the average was around 13.5 while the median stayed a 15, showing the pull of some lower outliers on the data. Being picked in the 15th round, that means owners are probably hoping for an ERA around 4.50 with high strikeout numbers and normal wins and WHIP around 1.35. This may be feasible for Volquez, and his ERA could be even lower if everything clicks. At this price, Volquez is going to be worth the risk.

Once again, if you have a suggestion, leave it in the comments for consideration. Tune in next Monday and Wednesday for the next two installments.


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