Daily Fantasy Strategy – 9/21 – For Draftstreet

I’ve got nothing for preamble again. Dog days, and all. But I’m at your mercy – give me a topic to research and it’ll be in here tomorrow!

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The Daily Five
Tyler Cloyd – $6,503
A case of ‘too cheap to pass up if remotely serviceable,’ Cloyd is actually just the fifth cheapest starter on the day but the only cheap arm with a good match up. Cloyd draws the Mets, owners of a .298 wOBA against right-handers and a 21.8% strikeout rate. For Cloyd’s part, his peripheral stats (3.97 ERA) are a bit more supportive than his 5.06 ERA, but you’re playing him for the match-up here.

Burch Smith – $10,425
This one is a bit riskier if the Dodgers don’t give days off across the board like they did Friday. That seems unlikely, but it seems equally unlikely that they’ll trot out a lineup with all of their starters. Consider that Smith has major strikeout potential and that the game is in Petco, and you can make a case for a six-inning, seven-strikeout start that provides points even if it isn’t pretty.

Scott Kazmir – $11,897
I get the feeling that pitching recommendations are more valued in these parts than hitter ones, so I’m throwing out a third recommendation – this will give you three starters at a total cost of under $30k, leaving nearly $8k per hitter. Anyway, Kazmir racks up a strikeout an inning and has solid ratios (4.34 ERA, 3.78 FIP). And while the Astros have an average .314 wOBA against southpaws, they also strikeout 25.5% of the time.

Carlos Santana – $6,835
Santana is starting to become a lower-risk catcher play since he rarely plays behind the plate. With catchers receiving plenty of of days, he’s a name you can usually pencil in, which has value in and of itself. Santana will take his 126 wRC+ against righties to the dish against Paul Clemens, who hasn’t been good since his 2011 Double-A stint.

Adam Eaton- $6,728
It’s unfair to call Collin McHugh a bad pitcher until there’s a larger sample, I suppose, but I don’t hesitate for a second to jump on him at Coors Field. The D-Backs have been giving Eaton steady run and he’s been responding pretty well, plus he comes cheap.

This post, covering one of the leading sites for daily fantasy, is sponsored and made possible by the generous support of Draftstreet. FanGraphs maintains complete editorial control of the postings, and brings you these posts in a continued desire to provide the best analytical information on the latest in baseball.

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Blake Murphy is a news editor at The Score, and is a freelance sportswriter covering baseball, basketball, hockey and more. Think Bo Jackson, without the being good at every sport part. Follow him on Twitter @BlakeMurphyODC.

3 Responses to “Daily Fantasy Strategy – 9/21 – For Draftstreet”

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  1. Jack says:

    Thanks for your help all year. Even though I don’t play Draftstreet I use (and save) a lot of your columns for good advice in trying to pick good daily performances in general (for fantasy). I hope you can help me one last time (this year).

    Depending on today’s results I may need to pick up someone off WW to help me in me for my last day in the championship tomorrow. Assume the hitters and pitcher below are all in the starting lineup.

    Pick 1 hitter to pick up if I need RBI’s:

    Lawrie RHB @BOS Doubront LHP
    Y. Gomes RHB vHOU Bedard LHP
    Carp LHB vTOR Dickey RHP
    Drew LHB vTOR Dickey RHP
    Reddick LHB vMIN DeVries RHP
    Joyce LHB vBAL Feldman RHP

    Pick 1 pitcher if I need K’s w/o killing rates:

    Haren vMIA
    Doubront vTOR
    Pettitte vSF
    Arroyo vPIT
    Torres @PHI
    Jackson vATL

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. Blake Murphy says:

    RBI is always a tough one for daily but I like Oakland’s chances at getting to DeVries, so I’d probably give Reddick a slight nod there.

    As for the pitchers, Haren is probably safest given the match-up but I’d roll with Doubront against Toronto’s hilarious Sept lineup.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. x says:

    I have to thank you as well. I’ve been using this column to spot start in my roto league and 80% of the time the advice has been spot on, allowing us to have a commanding lead in the standings.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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