Daily Fantasy Strategy — April 29 — For Draftstreet

Let’s be honest, if you’re watching baseball tonight, you’re watching Jose Fernandez and Alex Wood square off again. If that wasn’t your plan, you should immediately make it your plan. Last week – when the two first met – it was magical, as Jeff Sullivan wrote. Even if you aren’t a huge fan of either team, tune in for the fact that the two men above are two of the quickest working staring pitchers in the game, which is always a plus.

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Unfortunately, I moved this weekend and my internet hasn’t been restored yet, so forgive me for my brevity today. There are some solid match-ups today, but one thing I’ll be watching in earnest is how Matt Cain fares. For years he’s been able to keep the ball in the yard, but the tables seem to have slightly turned.

There is a full slate tonight, but weather is atrocious around the country, so do your best to stick to games that are being played in domes or on the west coast.

The Daily Five

Alex Wood – $17,255

I usually like to recommend a cheaper option for my pitching recommendation, because you’re smart enough to know most of the upper echelon arms. Unfortunately, the lower tier options either have match-up questions or weather questions. Wood has been phenomenal so far, and I’m betting on his success continuing.

Nationals stack

Danny Espinosa – $5,055
Jayson Werth – $7,125
Ian Desmond – $ 6,233

If we avoid the weather, there aren’t many stacking options. The Nationals’ offense – even though they’re missing Harper – draws a nice match-up tonight.

Aaron Hill – $6,278

Hill draws Tyler Chatwood tonight. And while Arizona isn’t as friendly as Coors Field, it’s still pretty damn friendly.

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Landon is a senior writer at The Fantasy Fix. You can follow and interact with him on Twitter (@joneslandon).


7 Responses to “Daily Fantasy Strategy — April 29 — For Draftstreet”

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  1. jgkallas7 says:

    How far does the pitcher data go back as I am looking at Jered Weaver splits vs LHB they do not seem to match up with the stats offered in the spreadsheet above.

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    • Landon Jones says:

      Sorry about that. I use data from 2012 – 2014. It’s an arbitrary cut-off, but it’s mainly because I don’t want a pitcher’s older data (think 95 pumping Cleveland Sabathia) skewing it too much because he isn’t that guy anymore.

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  2. jgkallas7 says:

    That’s what I figured, I haven’t delved into Weavers Pitch F/X data but has he dropped off significantly from 2012 to now? I am thinking about stacking against him today from using 2014 statistics as my evidence, but feel like it’s to small of a sample.

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  3. jgkallas7 says:

    Specifically his HR/9 vs LHB in 2012 being .65 compared to .92 in 2013, and 1.42 in 2014.

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    • Landon Jones says:

      He’s lost a good deal of velocity, but Weaver’s a weird case. Despite diminishing velocity he’s still performed admirably. He’s not a terrible stacking option, because he does have blow-up outings every now and then. And today’s schedule is iffy all the way around considering the weather. Stacking against him is fine, especially if you can stack mostly lefties.

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  4. jgkallas7 says:

    Thanks a lot I appreciate it!

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