Damn, I wish DraftStreet held 5,000-person tournaments with big prize money every day. The 4th of July tourney was a lot of fun, and a No. 257 finish out of 4,811 was good for a 173 percent profit. Four people even broke 100 points on the night, which, yeah, I hope you all had Chris Sale if you were in standard tournament formats.
Here’s also hoping you’re not too hungover to get things together in time to play Saturday, with a 16-game slate and nicely staggered start times. Matter of fact, if you are hungover, I can think of few better cures than watching baseball all day.
As we’re roughly at the halfway mark, it may be helpful to take a quick, high-level look at players who could be undervalued right now after a slow start to the season. To find those values, the table below shows the players with the highest “expected wOBA gain” among qualified hitters, found simply by comparing Steamer rest-of-season wOBA to wOBA to date.
|Name||Team||PA To Date||wOBA To Date||PA ROS||wOBA ROS||wOBA Dif|
|Jackie Bradley Jr||Red Sox||275||0.267||248||0.306||0.039|
The Daily Five
Mike Bolsinger – $10,748
On June 29, I wrote the following: “Look, I’m not a big Bolsinger fan, but Steamer likes him for a 19.3 percent strikeout rate the rest of the season, he does a terrific job keeping the ball on the ground and he’s got the Padres, who are basically playing The Show with the difficulty cranked all the way up and the controller out of batteries.”
In that outing, Bolsinger gave up two runs over six innings with six strikeouts. The Braves are not the Padres, but they are the league’s fourth-worst offense against righties and strike out just as much as the Cubs and Padres. This play is a little more volatile than last week’s but you don’t need an enormous outing to turn a profit on a $10K arm.
Jose Quintana – $16,006
I also dialed up Quintana on the 29th, and there’s something to be said for roster continuity…right? Well, no, but Quintana draws the Mariners, who own just a .288 wOBA against southpaws and strike out 22 percent of the time. This game is the second-lowest over-under on the day, by the way.
If Quintana’s price tag doesn’t do it for you, Odrisamer Despaigne ($12,440, 6.5 over-under against the Giants) could be a nice value and let you swing big with a third arm.
Dodgers stack – It’s tough to get a good read on Jorge de la Rosa, who does a good job limiting fly balls but almost all of them leave the park, and he’s not a great command pitcher. Is he a victim of Coors (his xFIP is 0.6 runs below his ERA, and 0.46 below for his career)? It doesn’t really matter, because he plays at Coord on Saturday, with a ridiculous over-under of 11.
Yasiel Puig – $8,844 (grab him or Hanley Ramirez, your pick for the anchor)
Scott Van Slyke – $5,952 (crushes lefties, this price is silly)
Matt Kemp – $6,241 (he has a 124 wRC+ projection for the rest of the year, and he hasn’t been as bad as narrative would suggest)
Drew Butera – $4,047 (obviously check to see if he’s getting the nod but if he does, he’s an extreme fly ball hitter who has hit lefties well in very limited action; otherwise, start A.J. Ellis at $4,674)
This post, covering one of the leading sites for daily fantasy, is sponsored and made possible by the generous support of Draftstreet. FanGraphs maintains complete editorial control of the postings, and brings you these posts in a continued desire to provide the best analytical information on the latest in baseball.
Print This Post