Daily Fantasy Strategy — May 25 — For Draftstreet

“Stack Yankees lefties at home.” “Start (left handed pitcher X) against the Reds.”

Platoon-specific recommendations are frequent here and in the Daily Grind posts that Brad Johnson does such a good job with, but I find I constantly have to be reminding myself of which platoon situations are worth paying attention to. That is, there is a bit of fluidity in these recommendations, though at this point we should have a general idea of how teams perform against lefties or righties.

Still, it’s worth posting the team platoon splits here every so often as a refresher. What sticks out today when we look is that the Joey Votto-less Reds have slipped all the way to 30th in the league in wOBA against lefties, while the Braves happen to be the league’s most platoon-dependent offense, ranking first in wOBA against lefties and 29th in wOBA against righties.

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Team K% v RHP wOBA v RHP wRC+ v RHP K% v LHP wOBA v LHP wRC+ v LHP wRC “LHP gain”
Braves 23.00% 0.278 73 25.50% 0.373 139 66
Mets 21.80% 0.282 78 25.40% 0.326 109 31
Nationals 21.20% 0.298 85 21.30% 0.338 112 27
Phillies 20.60% 0.297 84 22.30% 0.335 110 26
Rangers 18.80% 0.305 85 18.40% 0.342 111 26
Cubs 22.70% 0.286 74 25.90% 0.324 99 25
Astros 24.20% 0.297 87 21.10% 0.316 100 13
Padres 22.20% 0.276 75 20.20% 0.293 87 12
Pirates 20.30% 0.311 97 21.90% 0.326 109 12
Red Sox 20.80% 0.303 86 22.80% 0.321 98 12
Angels 21.70% 0.324 108 16.40% 0.338 118 10
Rockies 18.50% 0.355 110 16.00% 0.365 117 7
Giants 22.30% 0.311 99 20.20% 0.319 105 6
Orioles 18.70% 0.314 94 18.90% 0.322 100 6
Tigers 16.90% 0.332 108 18.70% 0.338 113 5
Yankees 19.50% 0.317 96 18.70% 0.322 101 5
Diamondbacks 19.90% 0.305 86 20.50% 0.307 88 2
Mariners 21.60% 0.295 85 21.00% 0.298 86 1
Marlins 24.00% 0.331 106 18.30% 0.327 106 0
Royals 14.80% 0.296 83 15.40% 0.294 82 -1
Brewers 20.40% 0.312 93 25.20% 0.3 86 -7
Rays 17.50% 0.306 97 20.60% 0.296 90 -7
Blue Jays 18.70% 0.342 115 19.10% 0.329 106 -9
Twins 21.90% 0.318 101 23.00% 0.303 90 -11
White Sox 23.00% 0.329 104 23.30% 0.312 93 -11
Athletics 17.10% 0.336 115 19.30% 0.316 102 -13
Cardinals 18.60% 0.313 99 20.50% 0.294 86 -13
Reds 19.40% 0.309 91 21.40% 0.288 78 -13
Indians 18.20% 0.341 119 16.70% 0.292 85 -34
Dodgers 19.20% 0.341 119 23.70% 0.289 84 -35

This may be useful for you today, in particular, since the Braves draw lefty Franklin Morales (though unfortunately it’s in Atlanta, not Colorado), and the oft-frustrating lefty-heavy Indians (they rank sixth in Lefty-Lefty plate appearances) draw a righty in Miguel Gonzalez, in a friendly park to lefties no less.

The Daily Five
Jason Hammel – $15,991
I don’t really trust Hammel long-term but he’s pitching really well right now, limiting walks and increasing strikeouts. The one concern is an uptick in fly ball rate, but he draws in at Petco on Sunday, against a Padres offense that is 25 percent below the league average against righties, even when controlling for where they play their games. You need about eight points from Hammel at this price, and he’s averaging over nine a start with one of the best match-ups possible today.

Trevor Bauer – $12,748
This is all heart right here. Bauer comes cheap, ranking in the bottom third for starter price today, and the upside is obvious and tantalizing. Bauer can deal, he’s got an array of impressive pitches and is, by all accounts, a very cerebral pitcher, which is obviously going to appeal to the type of person who reads Fangraphs. He’s also cut the walks this season, which have been his Achilles heel in the past – we know that K%-BB% is important, and Bauer’s would be a top-30 mark if he qualified, and his Triple-A mark from this season so far would be borderline elite. As for the matchup, the Orioles are a shade below-average against righties and walk less than almost any other team.

Stacks
We mentioned the Yankees off the top, but their lefties are fairly pricey against Andre Rienzo at The Cell. Go for it if you can save money elsewhere, by all means. The Braves likewise have a nice matchup but their top bats are pricey, but if you can wait until lineups are out (I can’t at the time of writing), you can probably find some value beyond the heart of the order. Oakland righties against J.A. Happ should do damage as well, but as a Jays fan I’ve long since given up trying to figure Happ out.

And so we’ll go with the Indians, who as mentioned, get the righty Gonzalez at Camden, where lefty power gets a boost (Vegas agrees, and the over/under for this one is set at nine).
David Murphy – $5,836
Lonnie Chisenhall – $5,505
Yan Gomes – $5,571
(And Michael Brantley at $8,677 if you can find the cash)

This post, covering one of the leading sites for daily fantasy, is sponsored and made possible by the generous support of Draftstreet. FanGraphs maintains complete editorial control of the postings, and brings you these posts in a continued desire to provide the best analytical information on the latest in baseball.




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Blake Murphy is a news editor at The Score, and is a freelance sportswriter covering baseball, basketball, hockey and more. Think Bo Jackson, without the being good at every sport part. Follow him on Twitter @BlakeMurphyODC.


3 Responses to “Daily Fantasy Strategy — May 25 — For Draftstreet”

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  1. dsully82 says:

    Can someone tell me where I can find these stats (wOBA vs LHP/RHP) as the season goes on?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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