“Stack Yankees lefties at home.” “Start (left handed pitcher X) against the Reds.”
Platoon-specific recommendations are frequent here and in the Daily Grind posts that Brad Johnson does such a good job with, but I find I constantly have to be reminding myself of which platoon situations are worth paying attention to. That is, there is a bit of fluidity in these recommendations, though at this point we should have a general idea of how teams perform against lefties or righties.
Still, it’s worth posting the team platoon splits here every so often as a refresher. What sticks out today when we look is that the Joey Votto-less Reds have slipped all the way to 30th in the league in wOBA against lefties, while the Braves happen to be the league’s most platoon-dependent offense, ranking first in wOBA against lefties and 29th in wOBA against righties.
|Team||K% v RHP||wOBA v RHP||wRC+ v RHP||K% v LHP||wOBA v LHP||wRC+ v LHP||wRC “LHP gain”|
This may be useful for you today, in particular, since the Braves draw lefty Franklin Morales (though unfortunately it’s in Atlanta, not Colorado), and the oft-frustrating lefty-heavy Indians (they rank sixth in Lefty-Lefty plate appearances) draw a righty in Miguel Gonzalez, in a friendly park to lefties no less.
The Daily Five
Jason Hammel – $15,991
I don’t really trust Hammel long-term but he’s pitching really well right now, limiting walks and increasing strikeouts. The one concern is an uptick in fly ball rate, but he draws in at Petco on Sunday, against a Padres offense that is 25 percent below the league average against righties, even when controlling for where they play their games. You need about eight points from Hammel at this price, and he’s averaging over nine a start with one of the best match-ups possible today.
Trevor Bauer – $12,748
This is all heart right here. Bauer comes cheap, ranking in the bottom third for starter price today, and the upside is obvious and tantalizing. Bauer can deal, he’s got an array of impressive pitches and is, by all accounts, a very cerebral pitcher, which is obviously going to appeal to the type of person who reads Fangraphs. He’s also cut the walks this season, which have been his Achilles heel in the past – we know that K%-BB% is important, and Bauer’s would be a top-30 mark if he qualified, and his Triple-A mark from this season so far would be borderline elite. As for the matchup, the Orioles are a shade below-average against righties and walk less than almost any other team.
We mentioned the Yankees off the top, but their lefties are fairly pricey against Andre Rienzo at The Cell. Go for it if you can save money elsewhere, by all means. The Braves likewise have a nice matchup but their top bats are pricey, but if you can wait until lineups are out (I can’t at the time of writing), you can probably find some value beyond the heart of the order. Oakland righties against J.A. Happ should do damage as well, but as a Jays fan I’ve long since given up trying to figure Happ out.
And so we’ll go with the Indians, who as mentioned, get the righty Gonzalez at Camden, where lefty power gets a boost (Vegas agrees, and the over/under for this one is set at nine).
David Murphy – $5,836
Lonnie Chisenhall – $5,505
Yan Gomes – $5,571
(And Michael Brantley at $8,677 if you can find the cash)
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