Comments on: Dickerson Gets His Shot in Cincy http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/dickerson-gets-his-shot-in-cincy/ Daily fantasy baseball analysis and strategy Mon, 13 Feb 2012 01:02:10 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: John http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/dickerson-gets-his-shot-in-cincy/#comment-618 John Wed, 07 Jan 2009 00:37:41 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=149#comment-618 I think the truth may lie somewhere between the above author's anaylsis and James'. Dickerson showed an amazing amount of confidence in his albeit brief MLB stint at the end of the season. That can only help in future MLB play. While "old" for a prospect, he is nontheless at an age where it isn't uncommon for a player to take a step forward. The K rate is an undeniable red-flag, but the speed is a definite plus as is the new-found power stroke. The guy is good-sized 6'3/225 and appears to have an above-average combination of speed and power. In short, there are worse chances that a team (Reds) or a fantasy owner can take than this one. See him as a 20HR/30SB guy with risk of prolonged slumps and average RBI potential. Is Willy Tavares really the answer in CF? Probably not. Do Hairston (if he rejoins the Reds), Hopper, or Lance Nix have Dickerson's upside? Doubt it. Barring a major signing (unlikely), Dickerson will get ample playing time and therefore has tremendous opportunity. I like his chances to achieve "usefulness". I think the truth may lie somewhere between the above author’s anaylsis and James’. Dickerson showed an amazing amount of confidence in his albeit brief MLB stint at the end of the season. That can only help in future MLB play. While “old” for a prospect, he is nontheless at an age where it isn’t uncommon for a player to take a step forward. The K rate is an undeniable red-flag, but the speed is a definite plus as is the new-found power stroke. The guy is good-sized 6’3/225 and appears to have an above-average combination of speed and power. In short, there are worse chances that a team (Reds) or a fantasy owner can take than this one. See him as a 20HR/30SB guy with risk of prolonged slumps and average RBI potential. Is Willy Tavares really the answer in CF? Probably not. Do Hairston (if he rejoins the Reds), Hopper, or Lance Nix have Dickerson’s upside? Doubt it. Barring a major signing (unlikely), Dickerson will get ample playing time and therefore has tremendous opportunity. I like his chances to achieve “usefulness”.

]]> By: David Golebiewski http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/dickerson-gets-his-shot-in-cincy/#comment-51 David Golebiewski Fri, 14 Nov 2008 19:49:37 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=149#comment-51 I saw that! I think the Bill James projections are very useful, but I get the feeling that they might under estimate the transition between AAA and the majors. I think this holds especially true for "older" prospects. I remember a few years ago that Andy Phillips (who had raked at AAA Columbus in 2004 and 2005 as a guy in his late 20's) was projected to post something like an .850+ OPS in the majors. I think that the projections are fairly reliable for major league hitters and minor leaguers who are at an age-appropriate level, but beware of the 25+ year olds who are projected to post big numbers. I saw that! I think the Bill James projections are very useful, but I get the feeling that they might under estimate the transition between AAA and the majors. I think this holds especially true for “older” prospects. I remember a few years ago that Andy Phillips (who had raked at AAA Columbus in 2004 and 2005 as a guy in his late 20′s) was projected to post something like an .850+ OPS in the majors.

I think that the projections are fairly reliable for major league hitters and minor leaguers who are at an age-appropriate level, but beware of the 25+ year olds who are projected to post big numbers.

]]> By: Jim http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/dickerson-gets-his-shot-in-cincy/#comment-50 Jim Fri, 14 Nov 2008 18:57:59 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=149#comment-50 Bill James disagrees in a big way. He has him at a whopping 21 homeruns and 37 stolen bases with a .268 average! I couldn't believe my eyes. Dickerson has never eclipsed 17 homeruns or 31 stolen bases in his professional career. Does he know something we don't know or is it just one of those bold projections that has little basis on what has happened and what is likely to happen? Bill James disagrees in a big way. He has him at a whopping 21 homeruns and 37 stolen bases with a .268 average! I couldn’t believe my eyes. Dickerson has never eclipsed 17 homeruns or 31 stolen bases in his professional career. Does he know something we don’t know or is it just one of those bold projections that has little basis on what has happened and what is likely to happen?

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