Projection systems seem to have had a difficult time handling Gallardo’s non-pitching-related injury, particularly with respect to projecting playing time. PECOTA’s pre-season weighted mean projection had Gallardo pitching only 115 IP, and the 90th percentile projection had him pitching only 160 IP. (This was particularly interesting in light of the fact that at least 2 BP staffers listed Gallardo on their pre-season Cy Young ballot, which pre-supposes that he pitched a lot more than 160 IP). Even the current ZiPS in-season projection update on Gallardo’s Fangraphs page doesn’t seem to quite believe what we’ve seen so far — it calls for Gallardo to make only 10 starts in the remainder of the year, ending up at 160 IP. Intuitively, I would have figured in the off-season that it was more likely than not that he’d pitch a180 or more IP in 2009.