Comments on: Low Power Bats in New Digs http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/low-power-bats-in-new-digs/ Daily fantasy baseball analysis and strategy Sun, 12 Feb 2012 23:45:40 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Derek Carty http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/low-power-bats-in-new-digs/#comment-4573 Derek Carty Wed, 19 Aug 2009 22:36:42 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=4337#comment-4573 Walker, Park factors are independent of the teams that play there. Simply, they're calculated by looking at how those who play in the park fare both in the park and in other parks and comparing the two. Walker,
Park factors are independent of the teams that play there. Simply, they’re calculated by looking at how those who play in the park fare both in the park and in other parks and comparing the two.

]]> By: Joe R http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/low-power-bats-in-new-digs/#comment-4218 Joe R Mon, 03 Aug 2009 20:53:11 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=4337#comment-4218 Actually, Fenway's been traditionally very hard to hit home runs in, surprisingly. Outside of hooking one right down the RF line, Fenway ranges from average to hard. For all I know Kotchman may hit a few flukes down the line, but I wouldn't exactly bet the farm on it. Actually, Fenway’s been traditionally very hard to hit home runs in, surprisingly. Outside of hooking one right down the RF line, Fenway ranges from average to hard.

For all I know Kotchman may hit a few flukes down the line, but I wouldn’t exactly bet the farm on it.

]]> By: Walker http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/low-power-bats-in-new-digs/#comment-4170 Walker Mon, 03 Aug 2009 02:41:15 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=4337#comment-4170 I have a question on park factors, because to me they don't make sense. You say Great American Ballpark is more of a pitchers park this year and that park factors vary from year to year, doesn't that depend on the makeup of the team they have and the quality of hitters versus pitchers. I have a question on park factors, because to me they don’t make sense. You say Great American Ballpark is more of a pitchers park this year and that park factors vary from year to year, doesn’t that depend on the makeup of the team they have and the quality of hitters versus pitchers.

]]> By: Eno Sarris http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/low-power-bats-in-new-digs/#comment-4160 Eno Sarris Sun, 02 Aug 2009 19:35:54 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=4337#comment-4160 Pardon me if my understanding of hittrackeronline.com is incorrect, but it's not the easiest site to navigate: is there a place on that website to find data about non-home runs? Maybe with hit f/x we'll see more of that. Does someone have a good site for hit spray charts so we can do more of the work like joser's work here? We could be more precise that way. But joser's line of reasoning seems pretty good - thanks for posting. We are probably splitting hairs in the end. Don't know how much a park can do for a guy with the basic underlying power Rolen is showing right now. Pardon me if my understanding of hittrackeronline.com is incorrect, but it’s not the easiest site to navigate: is there a place on that website to find data about non-home runs? Maybe with hit f/x we’ll see more of that.

Does someone have a good site for hit spray charts so we can do more of the work like joser’s work here? We could be more precise that way. But joser’s line of reasoning seems pretty good – thanks for posting.

We are probably splitting hairs in the end. Don’t know how much a park can do for a guy with the basic underlying power Rolen is showing right now.

]]> By: joser http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/low-power-bats-in-new-digs/#comment-4157 joser Sun, 02 Aug 2009 19:19:37 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=4337#comment-4157 There are more HRs hit per game at Rogers Center than at Great American, but that also reflects the teams that play there. Looking at the Hit Tracker data for Rolen going back through 2006, he has hit 49 home runs in various parks: 10 to LF, 29 to LCF, 9 to CF, and 1 to RCF. He's a pull right hand hitter (at least as far as HRs are concerned), and this year <i>all</i> of his HRs were to LCF except for a couple to LF. According to the Home Run Park Factor calculations Rybarczyk published at THT in 2007, Great American Ball Park is about the same as Rogers Center down the left field line but is considerably more hitter-friendly in left center (which matters most for Rolen) and right center, and is slightly more hitter-friendly (or slightly less hitter-unfriendly) in dead CF as well. Given this, I would expect Rolen's full-season HR totals to rise from the switch in home parks, all other things being equal. (Of course, with age and injuries coming into play, they aren't necessarily). I don't think I can include link tags that lead off Fangraphs, so: Hit tracker: http://www.hittrackeronline.com/index.php?sortm=hitter&sort=asc&skip=2400 (note that horizontal angle is calculated counter-clockwise, so that 63 degrees is RCF and 118 degrees is LCF, with 45 and 135 being the right and left foul poles) THT park factors: http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/home-run-park-factor-a-new-approach/ There are more HRs hit per game at Rogers Center than at Great American, but that also reflects the teams that play there.

Looking at the Hit Tracker data for Rolen going back through 2006, he has hit 49 home runs in various parks: 10 to LF, 29 to LCF, 9 to CF, and 1 to RCF. He’s a pull right hand hitter (at least as far as HRs are concerned), and this year all of his HRs were to LCF except for a couple to LF. According to the Home Run Park Factor calculations Rybarczyk published at THT in 2007, Great American Ball Park is about the same as Rogers Center down the left field line but is considerably more hitter-friendly in left center (which matters most for Rolen) and right center, and is slightly more hitter-friendly (or slightly less hitter-unfriendly) in dead CF as well.

Given this, I would expect Rolen’s full-season HR totals to rise from the switch in home parks, all other things being equal. (Of course, with age and injuries coming into play, they aren’t necessarily).

I don’t think I can include link tags that lead off Fangraphs, so:

Hit tracker: http://www.hittrackeronline.com/index.php?sortm=hitter&sort=asc&skip=2400
(note that horizontal angle is calculated counter-clockwise, so that 63 degrees is RCF and 118 degrees is LCF, with 45 and 135 being the right and left foul poles)

THT park factors: http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/home-run-park-factor-a-new-approach/

]]> By: Derek Carty http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/low-power-bats-in-new-digs/#comment-4149 Derek Carty Sat, 01 Aug 2009 22:37:24 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=4337#comment-4149 Eno, wouldn't we need to consider the park Rolen is coming from? Those ZiPS projections are, I imagine, based upon Rolen in the Rogers Centre. Moving him into Great American wouldn't be the same as him coming from a neutral park, so we couldn't just apply the Great American corrections. In all actuality, his power will probably drop by a small amount since the Rogers Centre is more favorable to HR hitters (in general) than Great American. Eno, wouldn’t we need to consider the park Rolen is coming from? Those ZiPS projections are, I imagine, based upon Rolen in the Rogers Centre. Moving him into Great American wouldn’t be the same as him coming from a neutral park, so we couldn’t just apply the Great American corrections. In all actuality, his power will probably drop by a small amount since the Rogers Centre is more favorable to HR hitters (in general) than Great American.

]]> By: alskor http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/low-power-bats-in-new-digs/#comment-4146 alskor Sat, 01 Aug 2009 17:05:12 +0000 http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=4337#comment-4146 Casey Kotchman in Boston. Won't play much but I think his power will be very much helped there. Casey Kotchman in Boston. Won’t play much but I think his power will be very much helped there.

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