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	<title>Comments on: Fantasy Owners Whiff on Mark Reynolds</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/owners-whiff-on-mark-reynolds/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/owners-whiff-on-mark-reynolds/</link>
	<description>Daily fantasy baseball analysis and strategy</description>
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		<title>By: Wynell Coppes</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/owners-whiff-on-mark-reynolds/#comment-9385</link>
		<dc:creator>Wynell Coppes</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Jan 2010 14:34:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=5113#comment-9385</guid>
		<description>Interesting post. Are you able to provide</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Interesting post. Are you able to provide</p>
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		<title>By: NBH</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/owners-whiff-on-mark-reynolds/#comment-6400</link>
		<dc:creator>NBH</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 14:18:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=5113#comment-6400</guid>
		<description>2 issues:

1. Reynold&#039;s playing time at the beginning of the 2009 season was in question: I believe CoJack, Tracy, Clark and Reynolds all could play 1B/3B. The D-Backs even benched Reynolds the first game of 2009 because Webb was on the mound. I believe they benched him a few days later. I remember because I was a Reynolds owner in 2008 and 2009.

2. &quot;If you forecasted Reynolds to duplicate what he did in 2008, you might pick him around 107th (76 + 31). If you used a 60-40 hitter-pitcher split, you might figure the 76th best hitter to go around pick 127. Instead, fantasy players drafted him around 100 spots lower than those methods. Reynolds’ ESPN page gave him an ADP of 218.9 for 2009.&quot;

This is one of my biggest gripes about straight drafts. People generally pick based on how the platform ranked the players. I remember loving James Shields in 2009, but ESPN ranked him as a 6th or 7th round guy, so there was no way I was going to own him, especially since someone was autodrafting. So my draft starategy is basically looking at ESPN&#039;s rankings and picking out the players that I (or Fangraphs, Yahoo!, etc.) like better than ESPN&#039;s group of analysts.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>2 issues:</p>
<p>1. Reynold&#8217;s playing time at the beginning of the 2009 season was in question: I believe CoJack, Tracy, Clark and Reynolds all could play 1B/3B. The D-Backs even benched Reynolds the first game of 2009 because Webb was on the mound. I believe they benched him a few days later. I remember because I was a Reynolds owner in 2008 and 2009.</p>
<p>2. &#8220;If you forecasted Reynolds to duplicate what he did in 2008, you might pick him around 107th (76 + 31). If you used a 60-40 hitter-pitcher split, you might figure the 76th best hitter to go around pick 127. Instead, fantasy players drafted him around 100 spots lower than those methods. Reynolds’ ESPN page gave him an ADP of 218.9 for 2009.&#8221;</p>
<p>This is one of my biggest gripes about straight drafts. People generally pick based on how the platform ranked the players. I remember loving James Shields in 2009, but ESPN ranked him as a 6th or 7th round guy, so there was no way I was going to own him, especially since someone was autodrafting. So my draft starategy is basically looking at ESPN&#8217;s rankings and picking out the players that I (or Fangraphs, Yahoo!, etc.) like better than ESPN&#8217;s group of analysts.</p>
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		<title>By: Jimbo</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/owners-whiff-on-mark-reynolds/#comment-6382</link>
		<dc:creator>Jimbo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 16:02:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=5113#comment-6382</guid>
		<description>With Sandoval though, the question is how much stock to place in him. He may have delivered top-tier production, but will he again? If people shy away from him because he isn&#039;t &#039;proven&#039; (ala Reynolds after 2008) at what point does he become a value pick? 

In my 11-team league, there will definitely be a few teams who ignore him on the assumption he can&#039;t/won&#039;t repeat. At least early on. Considering the depth at third, and the fact Arod, Longoria, Youkilis and Zimmerman will be gone by the 4th round...is pablo next best? Even a 5th round pick for him could be a risk.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With Sandoval though, the question is how much stock to place in him. He may have delivered top-tier production, but will he again? If people shy away from him because he isn&#8217;t &#8216;proven&#8217; (ala Reynolds after 2008) at what point does he become a value pick? </p>
<p>In my 11-team league, there will definitely be a few teams who ignore him on the assumption he can&#8217;t/won&#8217;t repeat. At least early on. Considering the depth at third, and the fact Arod, Longoria, Youkilis and Zimmerman will be gone by the 4th round&#8230;is pablo next best? Even a 5th round pick for him could be a risk.</p>
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		<title>By: LeeTro</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/owners-whiff-on-mark-reynolds/#comment-6369</link>
		<dc:creator>LeeTro</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Oct 2009 22:22:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=5113#comment-6369</guid>
		<description>I would be much closer to saying that Sandoval had a career year this past year.  Sandoval had a great year, so the only way his fantasy value will go up is if he gets more help in the lineup.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I would be much closer to saying that Sandoval had a career year this past year.  Sandoval had a great year, so the only way his fantasy value will go up is if he gets more help in the lineup.</p>
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		<title>By: Coach</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/owners-whiff-on-mark-reynolds/#comment-6360</link>
		<dc:creator>Coach</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Oct 2009 03:18:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=5113#comment-6360</guid>
		<description>Who will be next year&#039;s Mark Reynolds?  Does Pablo Sandoval seem like someone posied for a jump ala Reynolds from 08 to 09</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Who will be next year&#8217;s Mark Reynolds?  Does Pablo Sandoval seem like someone posied for a jump ala Reynolds from 08 to 09</p>
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		<title>By: Jimbo</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/owners-whiff-on-mark-reynolds/#comment-6348</link>
		<dc:creator>Jimbo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2009 14:56:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=5113#comment-6348</guid>
		<description>Russel Branyan struck out almost as much, and walked at about the same rate as Reynolds. Guess I won&#039;t cross him off my 2010 cheatsheet just yet. 

In 2008 there were a handful of players who k&#039;d about a third of the time, many of them (surprising to me) actually walked a lot as well. Guys like Cust, Shoppach, Stewart, J Upton, Pena, Howard, Uggla...who&#039;s to say which players will go off and who won&#039;t? 

I&#039;d just as soon not risk a high strikeout guy hits some unlucky BABIP. That combination can lead to a lot of streakiness and even seasonal fluctuations.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Russel Branyan struck out almost as much, and walked at about the same rate as Reynolds. Guess I won&#8217;t cross him off my 2010 cheatsheet just yet. </p>
<p>In 2008 there were a handful of players who k&#8217;d about a third of the time, many of them (surprising to me) actually walked a lot as well. Guys like Cust, Shoppach, Stewart, J Upton, Pena, Howard, Uggla&#8230;who&#8217;s to say which players will go off and who won&#8217;t? </p>
<p>I&#8217;d just as soon not risk a high strikeout guy hits some unlucky BABIP. That combination can lead to a lot of streakiness and even seasonal fluctuations.</p>
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		<title>By: Joe</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/owners-whiff-on-mark-reynolds/#comment-6346</link>
		<dc:creator>Joe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2009 05:50:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=5113#comment-6346</guid>
		<description>Big Red Machine: That simply isn&#039;t true. Reynold&#039;s SB total merely put him over the top. But even without them you&#039;re looking at a 4th rounder instead of a 2nd rounder. Yeah, they&#039;re nice, but to suggest &quot;much of his value&quot; was tied to them is non sense.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Big Red Machine: That simply isn&#8217;t true. Reynold&#8217;s SB total merely put him over the top. But even without them you&#8217;re looking at a 4th rounder instead of a 2nd rounder. Yeah, they&#8217;re nice, but to suggest &#8220;much of his value&#8221; was tied to them is non sense.</p>
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		<title>By: LeeTro</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/owners-whiff-on-mark-reynolds/#comment-6308</link>
		<dc:creator>LeeTro</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 03:39:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=5113#comment-6308</guid>
		<description>These guys probably won&#039;t be the top end players that Reynolds is, but Kelly Shoppach and Ian Stewart are 2 high-K guys I can see being pleasant surprises next year, especially Stewart.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>These guys probably won&#8217;t be the top end players that Reynolds is, but Kelly Shoppach and Ian Stewart are 2 high-K guys I can see being pleasant surprises next year, especially Stewart.</p>
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		<title>By: Hanson is the man,son</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/owners-whiff-on-mark-reynolds/#comment-6305</link>
		<dc:creator>Hanson is the man,son</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Oct 2009 22:12:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=5113#comment-6305</guid>
		<description>Jay Bruce plays right field.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jay Bruce plays right field.</p>
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		<title>By: Rocky</title>
		<link>http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/owners-whiff-on-mark-reynolds/#comment-6299</link>
		<dc:creator>Rocky</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Oct 2009 20:52:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=5113#comment-6299</guid>
		<description>Jay Bruce.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jay Bruce.</p>
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