Comments on: Week Four Trade Possibilities

By: Choo

Choo — Thu, 30 Apr 2009 06:18:12 +0000

I’ve been wondering the same thing for two weeks now. And am I the only one who hears that little Nabisco jingle from the 80′s everytime I read Nolasco’s name? I might avoid him based on that alone.

By: Kevin S.

Kevin S. — Thu, 30 Apr 2009 00:06:54 +0000

Not sure where else to ask this, but what do I make of Nolasco? His peripherals all appear to be fine; indeed, he would seem to be suffering from an atrocious BAbip and LOB%. That said, his LD% is 28%. Did he just become an eminently hittable pitcher, or can I expect a major correction? And do I trade Joba Chamberlain for him?

By: Kevin S.

Kevin S. — Wed, 29 Apr 2009 13:52:06 +0000

Thanks!

By: Brian Joura

Brian Joura — Wed, 29 Apr 2009 11:56:06 +0000

http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/batters-and-babip/

By: Corey

Corey — Wed, 29 Apr 2009 10:52:00 +0000

I’m looking to sell Kosuke Fukudome. What do you think I could get straight-up for him? I have Chipper at 3rd and I’m looking to upgrade there. I might package him with Chipper and upgrade or I do like scott Baker.

By: Kevin S.

Kevin S. — Wed, 29 Apr 2009 05:14:19 +0000

What is this Dutton and Bendix model, and where can I read about it? Adding the .12 is all I’ve ever really known.

By: Zach Piso

Zach Piso — Wed, 29 Apr 2009 04:42:41 +0000

Quick question that has been interesting me:

Many of the Twins pitchers have been struggling in the early season, between Liriano, Baker, and Slowey. Liriano’s struggles have been well-publicized, and many attribute that high LD% to a disproportionate number of fastballs. Now I know he’s throwing that pitch for health reasons, but what if the game calling on the part of the catcher is causing him (and the others) to get rocked? As a cubs fan, Soto’s game calling was a big factor in his value last season, and I imagine Mauer’s return may boost the value of all of the Twins pitchers. Any thoughts?

By: Brian Joura

Brian Joura — Wed, 29 Apr 2009 04:01:37 +0000

Generally I don’t want to comment about individual trades. I’d rather have everyone reading chime in and get the “wisdom of the crowd.”

I think you would get the better of that deal but at the same time I think you’re dealing from a position of strength, with Cain having the better numbers.

I would see if you could make a 2-for-2 with you getting the better player of the throw-ins.

By: Brian Joura

Brian Joura — Wed, 29 Apr 2009 03:49:49 +0000

The Dutton and Bendix model for predicting BABIP showed Kendrick with expected BABIPs the past two seasons higher than the old method of just adding .12 to his LD%

It still doesn’t close all of the gap, so the point you raise has merit. But Kendrick has had high BABIPs in the minors, so it’s not something which I find overly concerning.

By: Brian Joura

Brian Joura — Wed, 29 Apr 2009 03:43:49 +0000

It’s at-bat heavy because he doesn’t walk a lot. Last year over 94 percent of his plate appearances were at-bats. A guy who walks a lot, like Adam Dunn, had 79 percent of his plate appearances as at-bats.