As Eno pointed out yesterday, streaming on the final day of the season can be a tricky proposition. Teams headed for the playoffs might pull back a starter or at least give him an early hook while team that are out of it could leave a pitcher in far longer than he should be left in (rember Edwin Jackson’s last start?). But if you can grab even the slightest advantage in your final head to head match-up or you can eke out another point or two in your roto league, you’ve got to do whatever it takes to give yourself the best possible chance to win. Here are some names to consider here at the end…
Chris Tillman, BAL (@ TB) — Again, with the playoffs coming up, the Orioles might treat this one simply as a tune up, let Tillman get a few innings in, and then give him a quick hook. But if he works efficiently, there’s a chance that he could get a quick five innings and qualify for the win. He’s faced Tampa once already at home, holding them to two runs over six innings and a .238 average against. Now it’s a pitcher’s park with a 2.76 ERA and a 3.56 K/BB on the road working in his favor.
David Huff, CLE (vs CHW) — In his short time in the majors, he’s holding right-handed hitters to a .200 average with just a .241 on-base percentage and now facing a predominately right-handed White Sox lineup; a defeated and downtrodden right-handed lineup at that. The Sox are only batting .250 against southpaws and have plated just 188 runs against them which ranks 24th in the league.
Travis Wood, CHC (vs HOU) — While the home park isn’t always conducive to his fly-ball tendencies, this one could be an easy shot for a last second win. It doesn’t even come down to Wood’s abilities as much as it comes down to the Astros’ horrific .295 team wOBA and the fact that they are hitting just .215 against lefties and have scored a measly 145 runs against them which ranks second to last in the league.
Jeremy Hefner, NYM (@ MIA) — The Marlins have been a huge disappointment this season and are batting just .252 with a .315 OBP against right-handers this season. Given that the Mets have plated nine runs over 13 innings against Marlins starter Mark Buehrle in just this month, Hefner could get decent run support from the onset and steal a win here. His ERA should be passable in a pitcher’s park and he’ll notch a handful of Ks to help out as well.
Homer Bailey, CIN (@ STL) — He may have a 4.58 ERA against the Cardinals over three starts this season, but they were all at home where Bailey struggles most of the time. Now he’s on the road where he’s got a 2.41 ERA and a 3.46 K/BB and come on…coming off the game of his life. He’s feeling good and gearing up for the playoffs. I know I’d take a shot on him if he’s available.