MASH (9/23/13)

Decent information is getting thin as the season winds down. This may be my last MASH for the regular season. For the offseason, I will be posting a weekly-ish article (probably on Thursday). I will update the players who will likely miss time in 2014. Also, I will go back can look at 2013 PAIN, SLOW, HURT and Zone% leaders. Also, any suggestion will be taken.

Edward Mujica is dealing with fatigue and it doesn’t seem manager Matheny and him are on the same page. First from Mujica (Source for both quotes):


“My body feels like a little bit tired, and my release point is getting a little bit up,” Mujica said. “My thinking in my mind I’ve set it to get to the playoffs. One more month. Right now, I don’t want to think about (fatigue). Let’s finish it off, these nine games, and then if we make the playoffs think about the playoffs.”

And Matheny:

“Physically he said he’s fine. That’s all we can go off of,” Matheny said. “I don’t want to go there (with fatigue). I don’t want him going there. It’s something that is naturally talked about whenever you see a difference in anybody’s performance. He can control putting that out of his mind and go back to, ‘I’m going to make my pitch. I’m going to make my pitch one at a time.’ … We trust him every time he gets on the mound that he’s going to get the job done.”

The signs for fatigue/injury are there. In the PAIN leader board below, it shows his fastball velocity is down 1.7 mph and Zone% is down 10% points (54% to 44%). I think it may be smart for the Cards to rest him for a bit, but it looks like Matheny will keep pushing on with him.

• Just saw this weekend, but nothing has followed (that I can find). It will be interesting to see what the actual charges are.

Edwin Encarnacion is out with wrist surgery. Wrist injuries are rumored to sap a player’s power and I have even made the statement in the past. I no longer think wrist injuries sap power doing a more detailed study. I would not be worried about E-5

PAIN (Pitcher Abuse INdex) Rankings (min 50 pitches in Sept with min of 10 for the rest of the 2013 season)

Any player with a PAIN value over 100 (red) has the traits of a pitcher likely to be hurt.

Name Pain Velocity (Apr to Aug) Zone% (Apr to Aug) Velocity (Sep) Velocity (Sep)
Steve Cishek 341.8 92.4 52.5% 91.3 34.4%
Cesar Ramos 261.5 91.1 46.8% 91.3 31.4%
Ramon Troncoso 239.1 93.2 50.1% 91.0 41.7%
Edward Mujica 225.8 88.9 54.2% 87.2 44.0%
Oliver Perez 221.4 92.5 54.3% 91.0 43.8%
Luke Putkonen 201.1 94.1 54.3% 94.0 41.2%
Charlie Morton 188.4 92.8 47.3% 92.4 37.8%
Burch Smith 186.2 92.6 58.1% 91.3 48.1%
Dane de la Rosa 175.8 93.9 55.0% 94.5 40.9%
Clay Buchholz 175.6 90.8 48.3% 89.4 42.1%
Aaron Harang 174.1 89.8 49.5% 88.9 41.3%
Carter Capps 171.9 95.4 51.3% 95.8 39.0%
Dale Thayer 171.8 92.8 54.7% 92.7 43.2%
Ryan Pressly 167.6 92.9 48.4% 93.6 36.4%
Addison Reed 167.5 92.8 54.1% 92.6 43.2%
Roy Halladay 167.4 87.6 45.7% 86.1 40.8%
Luis Mendoza 166.5 91.5 42.4% 91.0 35.8%
Preston Claiborne 164.0 92.8 46.1% 91.7 40.3%
Craig Breslow 160.3 89.7 43.7% 90.3 33.9%
Kevin Gregg 156.1 89.6 46.1% 89.0 39.3%
Jerry Blevins 154.7 89.9 46.4% 88.9 40.7%
Mike Leake 154.3 89.4 50.2% 89.8 39.1%
Nick Tepesch 150.9 90.9 48.4% 91.7 36.8%
Dan Jennings 148.4 92.0 44.9% 91.8 37.6%
Josh Outman 147.6 92.4 47.0% 91.9 40.0%
Jake Dunning 145.5 90.5 49.1% 89.8 42.1%
Rob Wooten 139.0 87.0 45.1% 86.7 38.6%
Trevor Cahill 135.1 89.4 45.8% 89.7 37.7%
Roberto Hernandez 130.9 91.5 49.8% 90.9 43.3%
Drew Smyly 127.2 89.0 47.8% 88.7 41.1%
J.C. Ramirez 127.1 94.2 55.2% 93.3 48.2%
Kevin Chapman 121.7 92.2 52.4% 92.6 42.9%
Brandon Gomes 121.5 89.1 47.9% 89.3 40.2%
Paul Clemens 121.5 93.7 49.6% 91.0 49.6%
Lucas Harrell 119.4 91.9 40.4% 91.0 38.0%
J.P. Howell 115.5 87.3 43.1% 87.4 37.1%
David Carpenter 115.4 95.0 53.6% 95.3 44.2%
Neil Wagner 114.9 95.8 51.6% 95.7 44.2%
Stephen Fife 114.0 89.3 52.6% 89.0 45.4%
Luis Avilan 111.2 93.1 42.9% 92.6 39.0%
Nathan Eovaldi 109.5 96.2 55.1% 96.4 45.8%
Danny Duffy 109.0 93.4 51.4% 93.3 44.4%
Gonzalez Germen 107.5 92.8 41.9% 93.1 36.4%
Boone Logan 106.1 93.6 44.4% 93.6 39.2%
Ivan Nova 105.8 93.3 44.9% 91.8 43.8%
Rob Scahill 105.2 94.4 58.7% 93.8 51.2%
Rex Brothers 104.3 93.3 46.2% 92.9 41.6%
Danny Farquhar 102.6 92.1 48.0% 91.5 43.4%

Players on the DL

(*) 15 Day Disabled List
(**) 60 Day Disabled List
(***) 7 Day Concussion List
(****) Free Agent
Red colored entries are updates since last report.

Unofficial DL List

Official DL List




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Jeff writes for FanGraphs, The Hardball Times and Royals Review, as well as his own website, Baseball Heat Maps with his brother Darrell. In tandem with Bill Petti, he won the 2013 SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.


5 Responses to “MASH (9/23/13)”

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  1. Garrett says:

    I’m sure this has been asked before, but do you know of any teams checking your MASH or PAIN indicators, or do you expect any are?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

    • Jeff Zimmerman says:

      None that I know of. I do know teams will look even more indepth than I do. I basically use them to locate possible hurt players and then try to verify.

      Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. Mike says:

    what I learned from the unofficial DL list: Welington Castillo is in real bad shape.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

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