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MASH Report (1/28/13)
Posted By Jeff Zimmerman On January 28, 2013 @ 2:15 pm In Injuries | 6 Comments
Today, I will focus on players who played through injuries in 2012 and how those players performed compared to their projections. I found players, who played through injuries, over performed their their projected power numbers the next season. From my last year’s FG+ article:
If a player persevered through an injury during the season, their overall stats probably suffered. Projections don’t know if a player played through injuries, though. The player’s projections might have been better if the player had simply gone on the disabled list to recover instead of trying to play through pain.
In conclusion, I found the following differences:
Stat: Difference from projection
Then I identified 18 hitters (Jason Heyward, Chris Young, David Wright, Adam Dunn, Andre Ethier, Adam Lind, Alex Rios, Matt Holliday, Ryan Zimmerman, Michael Brantley, Franklin Gutierrez, Adrian Gonzalez, Carlos Gonzalez, Troy Tulowitzki, Rajai Davis, J.P. Arencibia, Denard Span, Scott Rolen) who played through injuries in 2011. Here is how the group performed according to their Marcel projections.
Stat: Difference from projection
The results were almost identical with the main factor depressed in the projections was power.
Throughout the 2012 season, I kept track of any report of a batter playing through an injury. Here is the list of players who should exceed their 2013 power projections because they played through injuries:
Ryan Zimmerman, Ryan Howard, Cameron Maybin, Trevor Plouffe, Justin Upton, Paul Konerko, Dustin Pedroia, Luke Scott, Matt Kemp, Joey Votto, Mike Moustakas, Pablo Sandoval, Carl Crawford, Giancarlo Stanton, Jacoby Ellsbury, Evan Longoria, and Troy Tulowitzki
Recent injury data
• Free agent Carl Pavano was shoveling snow, fell and ruptured his spleen. There is so much wrong there, I don’t know where to start, but I will end with just stay away until he is healthy and has a job.
• Ryan Kalish is out again with more shoulder issues. Report are he will at least miss spring training. When back, he may platoon with Jonny Gomes in left field. The real news from this injury is more playing time for Gomes.
• Danny Espinosa reported a few days ago he had a torn rotator cuff over the last month of the season. During the season, he had an MRI and the shoulder injury was a bruised bone and inflamed shoulder socket. Before the injury he hit .258/.324/.420 and after the injury .171/.247/.271.
Player Return Timetables
Just some more additions to the tables. I will try to finish up all the TJS pitchers Thursday.
|Name||Injury||Injury/Surgery Date||Early Return Date||Later Return date||Status||Source(s)|
|Joakim Soria||TJS||4/2/12||Late May||Early June||Playing Catch||(1)|
|Scott Baker||TJS||4/17/12||Start of Spring Training||Opening day||Throwing off mound||(1)|
|Brian Wilson||TJS||4/19/12||Unknown||Unknown||Not ready to pitch||(1)|
|Danny Duffy||TJS||6/13/12||Late May/Early June||All Star Game||Playing Catch||(1)|
|Kyle Drabek||TJS||6/19/12||Mid Season||Mid Season||Unknown||(1)|
|Brandon Beachy||TJS||6/21/12||Mid June||Mid June||Playing Catch||(1)|
|Felipe Paulino||TJS||7/3/12||Late July||Late July||Unknown||(1)|
|Daniel Hudson||TJS||7/9/12||July||July||Playing Catch||(1)|
|Neftali Feliz||TJS||8/1/12||July||August||Playing Catch||(1)|
|Brian McCann||Torn labrum||7/4/05||Opening Day||Mid April||Running and throwing||(1)|
|Andrew Cashner||Thumb laceration||1/25/13||May||May||Rest||(1)|
|Francisco Liriano||Broken humerus||12/1/12||Early April||Late May||Rest||(1)|
|Carl Pavano||Ruptured spleen||1/25/13||Late March||Mid April||Rest||(1)|
|Carl Crawford||TJS||8/23/12||Early April||Unknown||Throwing||(1)|
|Alex Rodriguez||Hip surgery||1/16/13||Early July||2014 season||Rest||(1)|
|Michael Pineda||Shoulder Surgery||5/1/12||May||Early July||Rest||(1)|
|Ryan Kalish||Shoulder Surgery||1/25/13||Early April||Unknown||Rest||(1)|
|Corey Hart||Right knee surgery||1/26/13||Late May||Late May||Rest||(1)|
Players Returning From Injury
Information will be added as it becomes available.
Players Playing Through Injuries
None know yet.
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