MASH Report (2/7/13)

Recent injury data

 •  Matt Kemp is aiming to be 100% helathy by opening day after shoulder surgery on October 5th. I wouldn’t count on it. I would probably drop him a round when draft day rolls around. As a general rule, I try to start the season with healthy stars.

 •  Logan Morrison will not be up to strength in spring training and may not be ready for opening day after knee surgery. He played through the injury during 2012 and it really seemed to sap his power with his ISO going from .221 to .169, HR/FB from 18% to 11%, and average home run and fly ball distance going from 292 ft to 270 ft. If healthy, he could be draft day steal as people may shy away from him.

 •  Anthony Swarzak will be out for a month after fracturing two ribs while “playing around and wrestling” at Twins Fest. Not much value in a pitcher whose career ERA (5.03) is almost the same as his K/9 (5.3).

 •  Chris Carpenter is almost certainly out for all of the 2013 and he may never pitch again. Michael Barr has covered the injury and the implications in St. Louis here at RotoGraphs a couple days ago.

 •  Matt Garza looks to be track for spring training after throwing his first 30 pitch bullpen session. Right now it looks like he will be healthy for the start of the regular season.

 •  Vance Worley is “ready to go” in spring training after having some bone chips removed last September.

 •  I couldn’t find any updates on Max Scherzer and his hurt shoulder. Hopefully some information will come to light as spring training starts up.

Player Return Timetables

Name Injury Injury/Surgery Date Early Return Date Later Return date Status Source(s)
Scott Baker TJS 4/17/12 Start of Spring Training Opening day Throwing off mound (1)
Brandon Beachy TJS 6/21/12 Mid June Mid June Playing Catch (1)
Jeremy Bonderman TJS 04/24/12 Late March Late March Healthy (1)
Chris Carpenter Nerve 02/05/13 September Retire Rest (1)
 Andrew Cashner Thumb laceration 1/25/13 May May Rest (1)
Carl Crawford TJS 8/23/12 Early April Unknown Throwing (1)
Kyle Drabek TJS 6/19/12 Mid Season Mid Season Unknown (1)
Danny Duffy TJS 6/13/12 Late May/Early June All Star Game Playing Catch (1)
Neftali Feliz TJS 8/1/12 July August Playing Catch (1)
Corey Hart Right knee surgery 1/26/13 Late April Late May Rest (1)
Daniel Hudson TJS 7/9/12 July July Playing Catch (1)
Drew Hutchison TJS 08/08/12 August October Rehabilitation (1)
Derek Jeter Fractured Left Ankle 10/1/12 Late March Late March Fielding (1)
Ryan Kalish Shoulder Surgery 1/25/13 Early April Unknown Rest (1)
Matt Kemp Shoulder 8/1/12 Late March Late March Light Training (1)
Francisco Liriano Broken humerus 12/1/12 Early April Late May Rest (1)
Cory Luebke TJS 5/23/12 July July Unknown (1)
Ryan Madson TJS 04/11/12 Late March Late March Throwing off mound (1)
Brian McCann Torn labrum 7/4/12 Opening Day Mid April Running and throwing (1)
Logan Morrison Knee 9/1/12 Late March Late April Light Training (1)
Charlie Morton TJS 06/21/12 June Unknown Throwing (1)
Juan Oviedo TJS 09/06/12 September 2014 Rest (1)
Felipe Paulino TJS 7/3/12 Early July Early July Unknown (1)
Carl Pavano Ruptured spleen 1/25/13 Late March Mid April Rest (1)
Mike Pelfrey TJS 05/01/12 Late March Late March Throwing (1)
Michael Pineda Shoulder Surgery 5/1/12 May Early July Rest (1)
Alex Rodriguez Hip surgery 1/16/13 Early July 2014 season Rest (1)
CC Sabathia Bone Spur 10/1/12 Late March Late March Throwing (1)
Joakim Soria TJS 4/2/12 Late May Early June Playing Catch (1)
Eric Surkamp TJS 07/24/12 Late July September Unknown
Tsuyoshi Wada TJS 05/11/12 Late March Early July Unknown (1)(2)
Josh Tomlin TJS 08/22/12 August 2014 Rest (1)
Joe Wieland TJS 07/27/12 Early August August Catch (1)
Brian Wilson TJS 4/19/12 Unknown Unknown Not ready to pitch (1)
Randy Wolf TJS 10/30/12 2014 2014 Rest (1)

Players Returning From Injury

Information will be added as it becomes available.

Players Playing Through Injuries

Name Injury Source
Hanley Ramirez Shoulder (1)

Here is the list of players who should exceed their power projections for 2013:

Ryan Zimmerman, Ryan Howard, Cameron Maybin, Trevor Plouffe, Justin Upton, Paul Konerko, Dustin Pedroia, Luke Scott, Matt Kemp, Joey Votto, Mike Moustakas, Pablo Sandoval, Carl Crawford, Giancarlo Stanton, Jacoby Ellsbury, Evan Longoria, and Troy Tulowitzki




Print This Post

Jeff writes for FanGraphs, The Hardball Times and Royals Review, as well as his own website, Baseball Heat Maps with his brother Darrell. In tandem with Bill Petti, he won the 2013 SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

13 Responses to “MASH Report (2/7/13)”

You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed.
  1. Chicago Mark says:

    Good stuff Jeff. I haven’t seen anything on Scherzer either. Talk last year was shoulder fatigue. I read he lost some velosity and I think he missed at least one start. Given what we know, would you de-value him at all? I’ll need to make a hold decision on him soon and can’t wait to much longer.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  2. B. Fife says:

    I love me some MASH!
    Is Cory Luebke in hiding? Is he Greta Garbo’s grandson?
    What’s with “The Amazing Luebke”?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  3. twayda says:

    I dont know why I cant find it, but where can you find flyball/home run distance for players?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  4. Rick M says:

    I noticed that Colby Lewis seems to be missing from the ‘MASH REPORT’.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  5. The Theory says:

    That Chris Carpenter news is both sad and sadly unsurprising.

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  6. Stuck in a slump says:

    5 players now unlikely to open the season healthy on my team… FML

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  7. Stuck in a slump says:

    Any news about Juan Nicasio?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

  8. Pops says:

    How about Adrian Gonzalez? Is there any reason to worry about any lingering injuries with him? Do you think he is being undervalued in the drafts that you’ve seen, or taken part in?

    Vote -1 Vote +1

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>

Current day month ye@r *