MASH Report (5/28/14)

Just one MASH report this week as the holiday and other commitments took up my time. Next week, I will be back on a regular schedule of a Monday and Thursday post.

• With the Yordano Ventura elbow scare, an injury didn’t surprise me one bit since he has me worried for over a month now.

I would like to see him drop down to the 95 mph range and maybe save his elbow for a season or two more.

Bronson Arroyo says his elbow doesn’t hurt while his manager says it does. I am guessing it does. His fastball velocity is down 1.4 mph from 2013 and his Zone% is down over 10% points (56.1% to 45.6%). His current PAIN value, comparing 2013 to 2014, is at 154 (more than 100 means he has traits of an injured pitcher). I believe he is hurt and is just trying to throw through it which I don’t think will turn out well.

Mike Napoli‘s thumb injury gives a perfect opportunity to see if the effects of the injury was showing up in his play. He got the injury on April 15th. His ISO dropped from .208 to .129. His Contact percentage increased from 73.5% to 76%. I could see how a thumb would have more of impact on power vs. contact.

James Paxton‘s return hit a snag when he experienced inflammation in his throwing shoulder. The injury will set back his return at least a couple of weeks.

Yu Darvish‘s neck injury seems like an injury which may continue to cost him a few more starts over the course of the season.

• I would not be surprised to see Clay Buchholz go on the DL for his knee (i.e suckitude).

Jason Kipnis will be activated today.

Mark Teixeira said this spring training that his wrist would never be normal and it giving him issues right now.

• Mets are up to the same incompetence when it comes to injuries. Dillon Gee has a lat strain. For pitchers (see Kyle Zimmer and James Paxton), it takes about two months to return. The Mets expected Gee to throw after a couple weeks and had no success. Don’t be surprised if Gee is not back until mid-July.

Jurickson Profar, who re-injured his shoulder in bed, is pretty much droppable in all redraft leagues.

Stephen Strasburg talks arms injuries.

Fastball Velocity Watch for Pitchers Returning From the DL

Jason Grilli‘s velocity looks OK

Sean Burnett‘s velocity is on the low side. Also, he is probably DL bound again.

Chris Sale‘s velocity is fine.

Alex Cobb‘s velocity is also fine.

Players on the DL

(*) 15 Day Disabled List
(**) 60 Day Disabled List
(***) 7 Day Concussion List
(****) Free Agent
Red colored entries are updates since last report.

Major League Report


Minor League Report

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Jeff writes for FanGraphs, The Hardball Times and Royals Review, as well as his own website, Baseball Heat Maps with his brother Darrell. In tandem with Bill Petti, he won the 2013 SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

11 Responses to “MASH Report (5/28/14)”

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  1. chri521 says:

    Thanks Jeff, how about Jaime Garcia? Is his velocity still holding / even up from his pre-injury years? Expecting ok things?

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    • Jeff Zimmerman says:

      Everything looks good. Velocity up, throwing strikes.If he gets the home runs under control, he looks good.

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  2. dude says:

    Is release point data affected by where apitcher stands on the rubber each pitch?

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  3. whoa_now says:

    love the injury report on Johan Santana

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  4. JMo37 says:


    Where is the best site to look for release points? Roto has velocity charts, but not release points (unless I have missed it).

    Enjoy the MASH Report very much.

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  5. ThatsRobbery says:

    Hey Jeff,

    Any concerns about Drew Hutchison?? Pretty significant velocity drop over the past few games

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    • Jeff Zimmerman says:

      Nothing else, but the drop which is getting close to 2013 levels. I would be concerned though. the 5 game drop is obvious.

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  6. DeQuarium Lumpkin says:

    Good call on Sean Burnett: slated for TJ surgery.

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